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Drift

How the season is shaping up so far...

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So extrapolating current form it could be about 25 games before we get to 40 points

We're currently picking up 1.875 points a game. That means after 22 games we'll have about 41 points. If we carried that on over the season we'd finish on about 71 points, good enough for 4th last year.

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  • 2 weeks later...

Great this kind of thing, although if we lose to Dull and West Brom, and go on a run like last season, within a fortnight some on here will be baying for Ranieri's blood. Personally I think it is unlikely, because it looked to me like someone has been doing a lot of work with our defence this past week: we looked very tight today, and I thought Morgan and Fuchs both looked class.

 

Draw a median line through the orange and, as has been pointed out, we will be end up with around 70 points. Bloody hell!

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Isn't that the blue line? :unsure:

The blue line represents the steady form required to reach the 40 point target by the end of the season, presumably y=(40/38)x, but he's asking for y=40 so we can see where 40 points is and when our actual points line intersects it.

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OK I've added a straight horizontal line for the points target and renamed the old target to "Form required". Just trying to add the trendline for current points but the online version of Google Sheets looks a bit cut down from Excel.

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OK I've added a straight horizontal line for the points target and renamed the old target to "Form required". Just trying to add the trendline for current points but the online version of Google Sheets looks a bit cut down from Excel.

Thanks Drift, that's what I meant.

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This isn't an accurate graph.

 

Have a line for expectancy and observed.

 

Maybe a graph of our last 38 games so at the start of the season are expectancy was 41 pts and now it should be our return from the last 38 games.

 

Obviously by winning our first and second matches you have wrongly judged our point expectation is 3pts a game which is just absurd.

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This isn't an accurate graph.

Have a line for expectancy and observed.

Maybe a graph of our last 38 games so at the start of the season are expectancy was 41 pts and now it should be our return from the last 38 games.

Obviously by winning our first and second matches you have wrongly judged our point expectation is 3pts a game which is just absurd.

It's protected not expected? As in a projection from the games already this season. Bit of a useless stat over the first few games of the season but it's hardly wrong.

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