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Fktf

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About Fktf

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  1. Fktf

    Corona Virus

    Rambling.. Maybe.. But you're not writing a scientific report. There's some brilliant points here. My biggest fear is science and experts being lumped in with the mainstream. Imagine a world where people are fed up of experts (or has that already happened??) X
  2. Fktf

    Corona Virus

    Vaccines are not the only hope. We might find an existing drug that is a decent treatment, vastly improving survival rates in those admitted to hospital. Whoever had the herd immunity idea pushed for it too soon. We should have bought time to get the NHS ready, assess possible treatments, get antigen and antibody tests ready. The outcome is still to go for herd immunity in the end, but you're in a position to manage it much better
  3. Fktf

    Corona Virus

    I read somewhere - it might even have been on here - that once you're on a ventilator due to the virus you're very unlikely to recover. Does this chime with what you're seeing?
  4. Fktf

    Corona Virus

    My mistake, this is a more accurate estimate. Couldn't be bothered to look up the death figures, and what I had in memory was clearly out of date! Only by a day at least..
  5. Fktf

    Corona Virus

    The next few days will tell us, but I don't hold much hope for us being any different. The time to change the course of the disease in this country passed us by a few weeks ago. At that time we were on a similar path to Italy, and our lack of action at that time means we've continued to follow them. We're edging closer and closer to the 800 deaths per day that Spain and Italy are seeing, and if we start to hit those numbers consistently, we'll have a very similar outcome.
  6. Fktf

    Corona Virus

    You're right that the measure will always be subject to error, as no test is 100 percent accurate. My point is we have way more than 30000 cases at the moment, which makes the death rate look bad. We're probably between 1 and 2 million cases
  7. Fktf

    Corona Virus

    Our confirmed cases won't be an accurate reflection of the true number of cases. We won't know the true death rate until we get antibody testing.
  8. Fktf

    Corona Virus

    You're right, this is only enforcement of what we should have all been doing anyway. My missus is currently fuming about how she's only allowed out once a day to walk the dog, because of the 'idiots who kept going to the parks'. However, most days she's too tired from being pregnant to go out more than once anyway..
  9. Fktf

    Corona Virus

    It does amaze me that people are still looking for loop holes in order to carry on as normal. How serious does shit have to get before people realise not following the guidance could kill your mam, dad, grandparents..
  10. Fktf

    Corona Virus

    I'm an uni lecturer. I live in fear of the time that the 'in head' conversation accidentally pops out. Students tend to use family illness as a reason for an extension for coursework. From the reasoning we hear, some families have extremely bad luck when it comes to strokes, cancer diagnosis, heart attacks etc, especially when it starts to happen to the 5th grandparent..
  11. Fktf

    Corona Virus

    F-ing hell. I had a lorry driver tell me he was saving Britain by continuing to work. No idea of his cargo, but I could buy the importance if it was food. This is just incredible. Will you share the reasoning she gave for being essential?
  12. Fktf

    Corona Virus

    The science of behaviour change says otherwise. Let's take pubs as an example. Keeping them open normalises it is OK to drink together. When they close, people just carry on the behaviour in other venues (e.g. I've heard 2 bbqs going in across the gardens in my village today). The word surprise that you use us very relevant. In the science, the more surprising an event is, the quicker and better it is learned about.
  13. Fktf

    Corona Virus

    But I bet they do tonight..
  14. Fktf

    Corona Virus

    I was thinking more about the social distancing measures we've gradually introduced. Rural pubs will open tonight, and people will still congregate in houses.
  15. Fktf

    Corona Virus

    Something seriously needs to change about the way people engage with experts. I was part if the 500 so behavioural scientists that signed the letter to the govt about social distancing. No one really asked about why we signed that letter, we were just dismissed as knowing Jack all about the current crisis because we're not experts on diseases. Most people on that letter didn't sign because we thought we were better than the disease modellers about knowing the likely spread of the virus. We signed because we know how to instigate behaviour change, and the incremental steps that our govt, France etc are taking are not particularly effective.
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