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Cardiff_Fox

The "do they mean us?" thread pt 2

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He doesn’t even count as home grown due to his time playing in Portugal

 

Imagine using a foreign player spot in your squad registration to fit that waste of space into your squad

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2 hours ago, Babylon said:

Eric Dier is the second most overrated player in recent times... only beaten out by England's latest bang average DM, Rice. 

I'd throw Dele Alli in there too. He's probably more overated than Rice.

 

Let's not forget Rashford too.

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8 minutes ago, Koke said:

 

This man would solve many of our problems.

 

Team_Korea_Russia_WorldCup_02_(cropped).thumb.png.740ba459b574d9930217992374a2025e.png

I was thinking Son would be the only player I'd have from Spurs too... 

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12 minutes ago, Koke said:

 

This man would solve many of our problems.

 

Team_Korea_Russia_WorldCup_02_(cropped).thumb.png.740ba459b574d9930217992374a2025e.png

Only Spurs could sign a player who needed to win an actual ****ing trophy to avoid military service before he was 28.

 

 

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10 hours ago, Dahnsouff said:

Imagine this has been asked before, but any idea who this was "close to joining Leicester" at 6:30 ?

 

 

Mbappe, if I recall correctly. 

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14 hours ago, Dahnsouff said:

Imagine this has been asked before, but any idea who this was "close to joining Leicester" at 6:30 ?

 

Patrick Roberts.

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5 minutes ago, egg_fried_rice said:

https://www.football365.com/news/whisper-it-but-leicester-city-arent-a-good-attacking-side

 

The general consensus on Leicester City is that Brendan Rodgers has put together a squad that’s 1) young 2) exciting 3) a genuine candidate for the top four. It’s one of the reasons this season is so f***ing brilliant. All of this may be true, but the stats might surprise you, particularly if you watched their 5-0 demolition of Newcastle.

Let’s get numerical and see exactly what Leicester are doing right (and wrong).

 

Attack
As we know, total shots tend to indicate the strength of a team’s attack. The top three in the league right now are Manchester City, Chelsea, and Liverpool. Where are Leicester City? At 13th, between Brighton and Norwich.

Okay, but the Foxes are tied for fourth in total goals, which probably means they’re getting pretty good shots. So naturally we go to xG, and we find that Leicester are…19th. That’s right: both Statsbomb and Understat have them next to last in the league in xG, ahead only of Newcastle. If we tweak it a bit, and drop penalties from the equation, they jump all the way to 18th, ahead of Crystal Palace as well.

 

Fourth in goals and 18th in xG is a gigantic discrepancy, which among other things suggests that Leicester get a high percentage of their shots on target. Going to that number, we find they’ve made the keeper work with 30.1% of their shots. The league average is 33.9%. They’re actually below average in hitting the target.

So how are they scoring? The answer is shooting percentage, or the percentage of their shots on target that actually go in. If we discount the one own goal, Leicester have scored 13 times from 28 shots on target. That’s 46.4%. That’s also impossible to sustain. Mo Salah, in his miracle year, was at 47.8%, and no one has a team of 2017/18 Mo Salahs. Last year the Man City attack had a shooting percentage of 35%. Liverpool did a bit better, at 37.6%. Arsenal topped the lot with a super-high 40.6%. This is a stat that tends to regress very strongly to the mean (at the moment 31.7%), so we can be sure Leicester’s numbers will drop.

When we look at the team’s individual scorers, we can see the problem more clearly. One man dominates the stats, Jamie Vardy with five goals, well ahead of James Maddison, Wilfred Ndidi and Ricardo Pereira with two each. But Vardy’s five goals have come from only seven shots on target, an absurd shooting percentage of 71.4%. Once again, Mo Salah’s big year was 47.8%. Going to conversion rate, Vardy’s five goals have come from only 12 unblocked shots, a similarly ridiculous 41.7%. The magnificent Mo only hit 28.9%.

As for the others, Maddison shoots as soon as he wakes up in the morning, but his two goals have come from only four shots on target. Ndidi and Pereira? They each have two goals from…two shots on target. By my calculation, that’s exactly 100%. We’re bordering on madness here.


 

I stopped reading here because I’m sure I’ve seen both players miss with attempts at goal this season. Am I wrong? 

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5 minutes ago, Al-aLondon-Foxile said:


 

I stopped reading here because I’m sure I’ve seen both players miss with attempts at goal this season. Am I wrong? 

I think it's not clearly worded - I believe the 100% refers to shooting percentage (i.e. shots on target that go in), not conversion rate (i.e. % of goals from total shots). Basically, neither have had a saved shot - only missed or scored.

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I don't know. I guess its just me, but when I try to read articles like that my eyes glaze over and my mind goes numb.

Kind of like learning math in elementary school. With no actual reference to the outside world. Total disconnect. To each his own.

Edited by SO1
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Dangerous to ignore such glaringly poor chance creation stats but we've played a lot of the more difficult defences already as Ealing said.

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Looks like it was written by a Liverpool fan with their constant adulation of Mo Salah's scoring rate. 

 

When we won the league (and even in subsequent seasons) Vardy has regularly had one of the best conversion rates in the top flight - almost twice as high as Harry Kane, and above some of Salah's numbers. If you looked at these same stats in our title season they'd probably paint a similar picture to what they do now and people were calling us 'unsustainable'. Didn't matter then, doesn't matter now.

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Reeks of the same insecurities we saw from Spurs fans in 15/16.

 

We are in the champions league spots because we have the 4th most points after 8 games. That's literally all there is to it.

Edited by AKCJ
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7 minutes ago, Cardiff_Fox said:

I'll be astounded if Wilf hasn't hoofed at least one shot over the bar so far this season. 

His Field Goal attempts have been lacking this season.

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37 minutes ago, Xen said:

Looks like it was written by a Liverpool fan with their constant adulation of Mo Salah's scoring rate. 

 

Well if it was someone in the media who wrote it, it will have been a Liverpool fan. 

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