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Alf Bentley

Who can qualify for Europe 2016-17?

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Posted

My ageing brain can't handle the permutations as easily as it used to.

 

In case you're the same, here's a handy guide from the Indy to who can qualify for Europe this season:  http://www.independent.co.uk/sport/football/european/european-qualification-permutations-which-teams-can-still-qualify-for-the-champions-league-and-a7008056.html

 

Correct me if my calculations are wrong, but.....

 

Qualifiers as league positions stand (CL = Champions League; EL = Europa League):

CL seeds: Leicester City  :)

CL group stage, unseeded: Spurs & Arsenal

CL qualifying round: Man City (& Liverpool if they win EL 15-16)

EL group stage: Man Utd & either West Ham (if Man Utd win FA Cup) or Palace (if they win FA Cup)

EL qualifying round: West Ham (if Palace win FA Cup) or Southampton (if Man Utd win FA Cup)

 

Potential for individual teams:

Leicester City - guaranteed CL seeds  :D

Spurs - guaranteed CL group stage (barring mathematical miracles)

Arsenal - CL group stage, CL qualifying round or EL 

Man City - CL group stage, CL qualifying round or EL 

Man Utd - CL group stage (unlikely), CL qualifying round, EL or miss qualification 

West Ham - CL group stage (unlikely), CL qualifying round, EL or miss qualification

Southampton - EL or miss qualification

Liverpool - CL qualifying round (if they win EL 15-16), EL or miss qualification

Palace - EL group stage (if they win FA Cup) or miss qualification

Chelsea - Miss qualification (barring mathematical miracle)

Stoke & all lower teams - Have definitely missed qualification

 

Footnote 1: There are no longer any "fair play" qualifiers

Footnote 2: Man City play Arsenal this weekend, which affects permutations

 

Bedtime!

  • 2 weeks later...
Posted

I agree.

 

 

I don't!

 

 

West Ham are left biting their nails over Europa League qualification, hoping that Man Utd win the FA Cup and that Liverpool don't win the Europa League....that's the gist of it now, I think?

 

As I understand it, if Liverpool get into the Champions League by winning this year's Europa League, we get 5 Champions League places.....but only 2 Europa League.

So, if Palace won the FA Cup, those would go to Man Utd (5th place) & Palace (FA Cup winners). Southampton would miss out along with West Ham.

 

Yet if Sevilla win the Europa League and Man Utd win the FA Cup, we're back to 4 in the Champions League & 3 in the Europa League: Man Utd (FA Cup/5th), Southampton (6th) & West Ham (7th).

 

Vlad the Fox started it! 

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