Not sure I see much logic in this from our point of view, because as @Ric Flair said, we spent well in the Summer, and I also don’t buy the ‘scared of new punishment regime’. Just feels really odd.
Maybe they asked he said yes please?
Or maybe (as is well known in certain intimate circles) him and Harry had a punch up, they played conkers for who would need to leave, and Kiernan lost.