Scenario 1 is most probable because of three reasons -
A) Are we confident that Leeds can beat Spurs? Big fat NO from me. Harry Kane to score at least 2 goals in Spurs last game.
B) Are we confident that Bournemouth can finish off Everton? This is the most iffy fixture. I would say Bournemouth have definitely got it in them to beat Everton after losing 3 in a row to strong sides. Prior to that, they were winning all the games comfortably..
C) If Leicester lose tomorrow, can they beat West Ham on the last game of the season? I would say they can if all the players show up for one last hurrah, they can and will.
So without using the SuperComputer, I would say we are 100% certain to go to the last game of the season with a 50% chance of surviving all of this. But we must beat West Ham and for other results to go our way. I think the other results (using probability above) will go our way. So we must win on the last game of the season.
Newcastle tomorrow needs to be a training session for West Ham on the final game of the season. Moyes will be resting players hopefully for his Europe Cup final. I predict Moyes will rest his top players.