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Carl the Llama

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Carl the Llama last won the day on 20 November 2018

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About Carl the Llama

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    Walkers cartel boss
  • Birthday 06/10/1989

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    Such a pretty house and such a pretty garden
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  1. Carl the Llama

    Also in the news

    Would never have imagined the libs becoming a minority party a decade ago. The state of uk polarisation is appalling.
  2. Carl the Llama

    Nintendo Switch

    What?! Hadn't heard of this, settled for Tiny Metal to scratch my AW itch recently but it ain't the same. I'll have a look at this later.
  3. Carl the Llama

    Questions Thread

    Nope, as probability mathematics goes this is a pretty straightforward question to answer tbh. You don't have to take Kopf's or my word for it over people with no maths background if you don't want to though
  4. Carl the Llama

    Questions Thread

    I'm afraid they don't though: The prob of winning on the last 2 is the same regardless of if you go first or second: 3/4 x 2/3 x 1/2 = 1/4 To work out CF's question you need to work out all possible winning conditions for each player, find the individual probability of each outcome, then add them together, which is what I've done above for player 1. Going second the only other winning move besides that above is if p1 picks the empty cup straight off the bat (1/4) which adds to the odds of winning on the last round to make a total chance of winning of 1/4 + 1/4 = 50% for p2, which bears out my earlier post. Also 0.25 x 0.66 x 0.5 is not 0.825, it's 0.0825, so that would be a chance to win of 8.25% if your methodology were correct.
  5. Carl the Llama

    Questions Thread

    Yeah that's how I see it. Going first you'll win if: -You pick beans, they pick empty (3/4 x 1/3) = 1/4 -You pick beans, they pick beans, you pick beans (3/4 x 2/3 x 1/2) = 1/4 Therefore the total probability of winning when you go first is 1/4 + 1/4 = 1/2, so 50% It goes without saying that the probability of winning when you go second is also 50%.
  6. Carl the Llama

    Questions Thread

    You've worked out the probability of winning in the most possible moves there. I'll have a look later. Edit: Wait, no you haven't, I'm not really sure what you've done there
  7. Carl the Llama

    How Was Your Day?

  8. Carl the Llama

    NYT's British-Irish Dialect Quiz

    South east. Guilty as.
  9. Carl the Llama

    Unpopular Opinions You Hold

    Prawn sandwiches are tasty.
  10. Carl the Llama

    What floats my boat.....

    Life's full of surprises
  11. Carl the Llama

    Also in the news

    A handshake from carbon monoxide? (Not actually advocating for the death penalty I hasten to add)
  12. Carl the Llama

    Civilization VI

    Does it now? I wonder if it's cheaper if you already have R&F then... This is exactly my logic: Get it while it's cheap and enjoy what you have while waiting for a sale on the expansion. As it happens I've gone in on core+civs&scenarios+R&F so there's plenty of meat to sink my teeth into in the meantime. As expected yesterday was a complete write off Now then, what's everyone's favourite character? I've started a long game as the American Indian dude, poundland or something, because his strong recon units appeal to me, but not after sitting at the selection screen for hours umming and ahing over the decision. Turned out pretty useful for warding the Aztecs away from a diamond vein in no man's land while I work out a way to get my settler past the hordes.
  13. Carl the Llama

    What floats my boat.....

    Reduced to clear though, if you can pass that up you're a more resolute man than I.
  14. Carl the Llama

    What floats my boat.....

    Vests are great and it doesn't even matter if they get stained in a standoff with a chicken korma.
  15. Carl the Llama

    Also in the news

    It's pretty cold in here atm so I'm wearing my hood up to keep warm instead of turning the heater on. Hoodies are pretty eco-friendly.