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reynard

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  1. reynard

    Corona Virus

    This is really good news, especially if it continues for the next few days. For all other countries with similar strategies it demonstrates that even in the worst affected country things can turn round. Lowest number of new cases in the last 13 days (since March 17) Highest number of new recoveries (1,590) since the beginning of the epidemic
  2. reynard

    Corona Virus

    It is a shame that just for once you can't see beyond your tory blue spectacles. It is beholden upon any leader at this time to be clear and concise and to leave no grounds for idiots, as you say, interpreting what he may or may not have said. He clearly said that about take it on the chin. Did he then say however, that is not gvoernment policy and our advisors think that is a bad course to follow? No he didn't. Almost certainly because at that time it was a considered route to follow. When his father said he would still be going to the pub, Boris was directly asked about that in the press conference. Did he come out and condemn it as a reckless act and completely against the governement's advice? No he didn't. In fact I seem to recall he tried to make some kind of joke about it. This governement's strategy may prove to be good, only when the final body count can be taken can we tell and I wish them every good luck in what they do. However, some of the communication, especially from the Prime Minister, has been, up unil last Monday, confusing at best.
  3. reynard

    Corona Virus

    I can't see there being a cat in hells chance of the death rate declining in the first full week of April though it would be great news if so. The death rate is doubling every 2.5 days in the UK. So we will have 1500 dead when the figures are released in 48 hours time. We haven't tested enough as you say to know how many are infected but by the end of the first week of April it is hard to see the numbers dropping especially as we actually start to get our act together and test more people. The lockdowns in Italy and Spain, both stricter than in the UK, have not shown a significant levelling off if at all and our trajectory is just as bad. I have a colleague in Italy and they are very worried. They had hoped to see a levelling off around 26th-30th of this month, so still time. However, it is starting to look like the South could be heading the same way as the North and apart from lockdowns there is no plan B to counteract the virus. Same as everwhere else.
  4. reynard

    Corona Virus

    Let's hope so. The trouble with percentages is that though the % may be decreasing it really needs the number of daily new infections to start decreasing, and for more than the occasional isolated day, for the lockdown to really kick in. If Italy and Spain are replayed here it looks like our lockdown will probably need to be tightened and last beyond the end of April.
  5. reynard

    Corona Virus

    Agree with all this. I dug over a plot for veg and went through my old collection of seeds etc. Think I wll be trying to grow more this year. Obviously lucky we both have gardens. Going out is pretty worrying. As my wife works in the care sector with vulnerable elderly people I've pretty much confined myself to the four walls of home and the garden as If I get infected she won't be able to work or worse still could pass it on to some vulnerable people. For many not having a prospective end date will be diffiucult to deal with but you're right we absolutely have to do this and probably more in the next few weeks.
  6. reynard

    Corona Virus

    Don't know if this has been linked already so apologies if so. https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/mar/27/chloe-middleton-death-21-year-old-not-recorded-nhs-covid-19-related
  7. reynard

    Corona Virus

    Well that isn't looking likely. We have to hope what we are doing works because if not in 2 weeks we will have 232000 people infected if the number of infections double every 4 days. If that is what he really meant (Gove at press conference)
  8. reynard

    Corona Virus

    Yes. When all this is over it will be the great industrial nations and groups of nations which are most likely to be in the strongest position. As we will need a new trade deal with China (and they are and will be massively vital to our economic recovery) they will hold virtually all the cards. Any talk of punishing China is Trumpis in the extreme.
  9. reynard

    Corona Virus

    I don't think so. If and it remains, if we get one, it will make toilet roll shopping look like a merry go round. the US, the Eu and China will be in prime position to negotiate quickest delivery and best price and then the rest of the world will follow. Probably need an international trade lawyer to give the definitive answer.
  10. reynard

    Corona Virus

    And that is at 5pm yesterday. This will be the daily death toll soon I fear.
  11. reynard

    Corona Virus

    I hope you are wrong but I don't think you will be. Looking at the infection rates now and the levels of hospitalisation it is near on impossible to imagine thousands of infected people in January who showed no symptoms or very mild ones. If so why are so many now in hospital and dying and not then. We knew the make up of the virus very quickly so I'm sure we would have seen man more people identified with it in hospital. Need those anti body test very soon now for all health workers as a priority.
  12. reynard

    Corona Virus

    Well you could question how on earth has the UK got fewer cases than Switzerland. Well offiically it is down to testing numbers. I guess nobody really trusts the Chinese figures and Iran is a complete unknown really, save to say it is bad there. Otherwise much of Africa won't be able to test because they don't have the kits and countries like India and Indonesia are likely to have a great many cases they simply won't be able to count. I trust figures on deaths for most democratic countries. But France for eg doesn't count those who have died in homes yet and I think our figures only refer to hospital deaths.
  13. reynard

    Corona Virus

    They have tested a lot more. Their figures are compiled daily as they operate a federal system within the country and yes frankly their health care system is pretty good. I seem to recall they had something like 25k ICU beds, 26K ventilators and had ordered another 10k before we got round to thinking about it. Whether they will be able to cope eventually or be overwhelmed we shall have to wait and see.
  14. reynard

    Corona Virus

    As of 5pm on 25 March, of those hospitalised in the UK, 578 have sadly died. NHS figures so these don't include anyone who died but not in a hospital.
  15. reynard

    Corona Virus

    I'm afraid in 10 days this is likely to look quite a good figure.
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