ClaphamFox

I'm not aware of the EFL making a public comment on the 2020-23 PSR period (ie, the one we're still in arbitration with the PL over). Can you point to anything they've said on this?

This is by far the most likely scenario.

Sensible post. The hysteria over what the EFL will supposedly do to us when we go down has gotten way out of hand. The ONE thing that the club has been good at over the past few years is understanding and working around the PSR rules. In fact, our lawyers have proven that that understand the PL's rules better than the PL does. So it's very likely that the club has already looked at the situation re: the EFL and PSR and concluded that they won't be able to touch us. If the club believed the EFL WOULD be able to hit us hard over 2020-23 when we go down, surely it would have spent heavily over the past month to avoid relegation? It wouldn't make any sense to hold back on spending in that scenario. Good question, Lee. The answer is that there are zero grounds for a transfer embargo and probably very few grounds for a points deduction. However there are some who find this hard to believe and insist on repeating the 'The EFL is gonna get us' line without ever bothering to explain how.

Can you provide a source for where the EFL has said this?

On what basis do you believe we’re going to get a big points deduction and a transfer embargo when we’re relegated? Can you at least explain your thinking?

This is an emotional take, not a rational one. Immediate promotion next year is far more likely than a consecutive relegation. Whether we come straight back up or bomb out in the play-offs will depend on who we choose as a manager.

Well we didn’t breach for the year we were in the EFL and it’s far from clear whether the EFL will be able to go after us for the 2020-23 period. Presumably if the club believed an EFL-imposed deduction was inevitable in the event of relegation, it would have done everything it could to stay up? If a points deduction is heading our way no matter what, surely it would be far better to take it in the PL than the Championship? Forget about the transfer embargo. There are no grounds for the EFL to impose one - zilch, zero, nada. It’s not happening. Some people have speculated that the EFL might try to go after us for 2020-23 (the period the PL tried but failed to punish us for), but - as stated above - it is not remotely clear that they will be able to. What I’m getting at is that the club’s decision to prioritise avoiding a PSR breach over survival can only mean that it believes a points deduction will be avoided if we go down. Otherwise our lack of investment over the past month makes no sense whatsoever.

The club has decided that avoiding a PSR breach is more important than survival. Is this the right decision?

“Hit it!”

It would be peak Rudkin to arrange for a player to be assassinated, conduct a posthumous medical on him, then declare him fit and sign him…

KDH is a sub for them tonight. Might be difficult to negotiate with him while he‘s sat on the bench…

Transfer embargoes are not imposed for breaches. They’re a temporary measure that can be imposed if the EFL suspects a club may breach in the current year. There are literally no grounds for the EFL to impose an embargo on us.

They imposed a token embargo when it suspected we might breach for 2021-24, but we didn’t breach. The EFL therefore has no grounds to impose a transfer embargo on us.

There is no prospect of a transfer ban when we get relegated.

Tanner reckons we've rejected a bid from Sunderland for McAteer but they are expected to come back with another offer...

By 10.30pm tonight we're going to be wistfully nostalgic about the Dawson rumour and telling ourselves he could have saved our season...

Sky reporting that the swap deal isn't happening...

The lack of transfer activity this window will be related to avoiding a breach for the current period, which ends in June. Despite our previous legal victories, I assume the club doesn't want to pick another fight if it can be avoided. It seems like we're prepared to accept relegation as the price for complying, which I agree does suggest the club fears we may find ourselves in deep trouble if we breach for this year.

It would be quite generous of the PL to agree to do that if we were already down. If it was clear that an additional points deduction would make no difference as we were down anyway, wouldn't they prefer to let the EFL take a swing at us? Unless of course they knew the EFL wouldn't be able to act against us and just wanted us to accept a deduction as token face-saving exercise for the PL...

We won our case vs the PL. That's a matter of fact, not opinion. They may be trying to appeal it, but their chances of succeeding in that appeal are approximately zero. It has been speculated in some quarters that the EFL may try to go after us for 2020-23, but it's far from clear that they will be able to do so. At the very least I would expect us to mount a very robust legal defence against any attempt by the EFL to charge us for that period. All this fatalistic nonsense about how either the PL or EFL are going to 'get us' eventually is just daft doom-mongering based on a very poor understanding of the actual situation.

What punishment? We won our case vs the PL.

And there are still more than eight hours of the window left

Beats me

Well spill the beans, mate! If you're privy to this information, let us know!