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Huuuuuume

101 points?

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Lies, Damn Lies & Statistics pdf_button.png printButton.png emailButton.png Written by Matt Davis Tuesday, 03 February 2009 The facts for the last 20 years in our current division:

Being the sad statistics man that I am, I’ve been reading up on the final points total in our current division (called division 3,2 then 1 depending on the year!). All I wanted to see was what points total we need to 1) make the play offs, 2) be promoted and 3) to go up as champions.

The results are as follows (and are after the Walsall match i.e. 29 games played and 67 points):

To make the play off’s i.e. finish sixth:

The (mean) average points total over the last 20 years in order to make sixth place is 75 points. We are currently on 67 points with 17 games to play. This would therefore require a further 8 points out of a remaining 51 points to play for.

Word of caution: The best points total over this 20 year period that was required to make sixth place was 82 in the 1999/00 season for Stoke City.

Word of optimism: The worst points total over this 20 year period that was required to make sixth place was 69 in the 1989/90 season for Bolton......

To make automatic promotion i.e. to finish second:

The (mean) average points total over the last 20 years in order to make second place is 85 points. We are currently on 67 points with 17 games to play. This would therefore require a further 18 points out of a remaining 51 points to play for.

Word of caution: The best points total over this 20 year period that was required to make second place was 91 in the 1989/90 for Bristol City & 2000/01 for Rotherham.

Word of optimism: The worst points total over this 20 year period that was required to make second place was 81 in the 1991/92 season for Birmingham.

To go up as champions:

The (mean) average points total over the last 20 years in order to be crowned champions is 91 points. We are currently on 67 points with 17 games to play. This would therefore require a further 24 points out of a remaining 51 points to play for.

Word of caution: The best points total over this 20 year period that was achieved to be crowned champions was 101 in the 1998/99 season for Fulham.

Word of optimism: The worst points total over this 20 year period that was achieved to be crowned as champions was 82 in the 1991/92 season for Brentford & in the 2005/06 for Southend

Please don’t tell Nigel Pearson I’ve been dreaming already, but I hope you found these snippets from Matt (Motson) Davis a worthwhile read!!!

Last Updated ( Tuesday, 03 February 2009 )

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By my calculations, I reckon we will hit 101 points...

17 games remain,

10 wins (30 points),

4 draws (4 points),

3 defeats (Unlikely :giggle: )

So 34 points plus the 67 we have = 101

:chant:

What do you guys think? More? Less?

Anyone else done some maths?

Why would we lose 3 in 17 When we have only lost 2 in 29? :S

We are on course for 106 or 107 points, which would be a record! ;)

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Why would we lose 3 in 17 When we have only lost 2 in 29? :S

We are on course for 106 or 107 points, which would be a record! ;)

nerves? other teams having more to play for than us when/if we become mathematically clear?

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nerves? other teams having more to play for than us when/if we become mathematically clear?

I don't believe that for a second! Just think back to Brighton when we were 2 up and lost 3 v 2, and now the difference in games like Huddersfield away & home, Carlisle away, Northampton away, each time we have been calm when behind and showed our attributes to not panic and just play football and work hard.

Pearson has given the team a backbone that I have not seen in years and always wished for Leicester to have. :thumbup:

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I don't believe that for a second! Just think back to Brighton when we were 2 up and lost 3 v 2, and now the difference in games like Huddersfield away & home, Carlisle away, Northampton away, each time we have been calm when behind and showed our attributes to not panic and just play football and work hard.

Pearson has given the team a backbone that I have not seen in years and always wished for Leicester to have. :thumbup:

me neither...

but, you did ask - and stranger things have happened

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