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leicsmac

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Everything posted by leicsmac

  1. A more sedate debate today, some barbs, no real fireworks. Which, given the current state of play, suits Biden just fine.
  2. That's already been sorted out. My guess would be a clearer idea about the Artemis Program and us getting back there. Clock's ticking.
  3. I agree, which tbh is why I asked the question about the US being a statistical outlier in the first place - I honestly don't know what the most pertinent factors are in place. The fact is though, Le Pen is probably the closest thing Western Europe/Scandinavia has to Trump in recent times and she still didn't get much near power - lost in an utter landslide in a 1v1, though that was the final stage. So while Europe might well consider that kind of right-wing dictatorial scoundrel in numbers (look at the adulation Farage gets from some corners), they don't really come all that close
  4. That choice is pretty close to accurate in what the Americans have right now IMO. And yet is somehow still is a contest over there.
  5. Oh yeah, I'm totally with you on this one. I was just being a pedantic bastard and highlighting that sometimes it's possible to get exhausted with human stupidity for the right reasons.
  6. It was a bit surprising to me too, I'd like to see how representative the poll was. That being said, the trend overall isn't that surprising.
  7. To be fair to the guy, there are certain situations (climate change being one of note) where consistently having to point out where people are ignoring scientific fact for the sake of their own self interest *is* a bit exhausting. And also such viewpoints aren't exactly harmless when the people that hold them can vote and therefore indirectly craft policy based on those viewpoints.
  8. https://europeelects.eu/2020/10/18/polls-europeans-favour-biden-over-trump-by-wide-margins/ I'd hazard a guess that the figures would be similar for first world nations in other continents, too. Why, I wonder, is the US such a statistical outlier among the first world nations in terms of general political viewpoints? The religious element might play a part but that's nowhere near the whole picture.
  9. It's a pun on his second name, though I'm guessing you knew that Alf.
  10. https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/8-tips-to-stay-sane-in-the-final-15-days-of-the-campaign/ Nate's Liver with some more astute observations. Particularly point number 4.
  11. There's a similar argument to be made there for responses to the whole thing worldwide, to be honest - there are some exceptions, but as a rule the countries that have dealt with something like this before and/or have detailed plans in place to deal with it have done better at containing it all than those that have not.
  12. https://www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-54519628 Good for Ms Ardern - by all accounts she's been an outstanding leader for NZ in difficult times for everyone.
  13. Voter suppression has been a thing that the Repubs have relied upon for some time now - this is just the tip of the iceberg. It is undemocratic, but at the same time pointing that out, like pointing out the hypocrisy, doesn't really matter because the Repub political leaders aren't interested in moral reputation - they're interested in winning and the power that comes with it. It's like pointing out the sharp poker player who uses all the "legal" angles they can and rakes it in at the table; at the end of the day, you either back away from the table or you find a way to beat them.
  14. https://www.bbc.com/news/election-us-2020-54572790 Encouraging signs.
  15. ...if a redux of "BUT HUR EMAILZZZZZ" sourced and distributed by a Murdoch-run tabloid (rather than an announcement of an FBI investigation like in 2016) is the best that the Trump team can do for an "October Surprise" this time round then it's not likely to be good enough, quite frankly. Incidentally, it would be a good idea to point out the utter hypocrisy of Repubs when it comes to corruption and freedom of speech in matters like this if the Repubs themselves didn't then simply ignore it and continue with what they were doing in the first place. They don't care about being hypoc
  16. Not according to this school of statistics: Which is what I was using. All totally fair maths, right? NB. Not sure where the 19724 figure came from? I'm using https://coronaboard.kr/en/ which states 18396. The figures do seem to have a little variance, though.
  17. Even more impressively, a false positive rate of 2.3% means that with Korea having undergone 18396 tests and 110 positive results today, they're sitting on a very tidy -313 positive cases! ...if Carlsberg did statistical analysis, huh?
  18. ....And in the meantime, some countries around the world are actually managing to keep a lid on this thing and manage their economies without having to resort to extreme lockdowns or opening everything up and hoping for the best. Funny thing, really.
  19. In the meantime, here's a look at the jurisprudence of the latest nominee for the Supreme Court: A most disingenuous piece of legal eagling.
  20. I'm curious to know what this has to do with the White House issuing a press release regarding Columbus Day that not only mentions nothing about the way indigenous Americans were treated in the aftermath of his visit, but flat-out implies that everyone else should say nothing about it either?
  21. Honestly man, if it's known on Election Day (hopefully) or a bit later (could get messy) that Biden has won by the degree forecasted by the pollsters, I'll not be inclined to celebrate or go "told you so" at all. There will be no exultance from me. Only profound, exhausted relief - and the hope that the absolutely necessary work on climate change etc starts to get done.
  22. To expand on this, latest: Texas - Trump + 3.0% (0.2% swing to Trump from a week ago) Iowa - Trump + 0.8% (1.9% swing to Biden) Georgia - Trump +0.8% (no change) North Carolina - Biden +2.4% (1.2% swing to Biden) Ohio - Biden +0.2% (0.2% swing to Biden) Florida - Biden + 3.9% (2.1% swing to Biden) Arizona - Biden + 2.9% (no change) Pennsylvania - Biden + 6.5% (0.9% swing to Biden) That's some serious swings in FL, NC and IA over the last week. And bear in mind, once again, that Trump needs to win all of the above while losing no others
  23. Well, a vaccine hopefully being in the pipeline and not far away notwithstanding... You might be right about your assessment here, but, believe me, it would be better to hope that you're not. Because if the reaction of humanity to a relatively mild crisis where not everyone is as vulnerable as the next person is to go "every man (or little group) for themselves" when things start getting tough, that doesn't really say much about our ability to handle the rather bigger problems that might be waiting further along.
  24. Columbus Day over the pond soon, and of course the WH has their viewpoint: https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/proclamation-columbus-day-2020 “Sadly, in recent years, radical activists have sought to undermine Christopher Columbus’s legacy. These extremists seek to replace discussion of his vast contributions with talk of failings, his discoveries with atrocities, and his achievements with transgressions. Rather than learn from our history, this radical ideology and its adherents seek to revise it, deprive it of any splendor, and mark it as inherently sinist
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