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leicsmac

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Everything posted by leicsmac

  1. I really don't want to believe that's true, because if it is dark times lie ahead no matter what road is taken. But it is possible enough to be scary.
  2. I would agree. And the confidence with which he engaged in that commitment scares me a little because it does imply that he and those around him know something about how November will play out that we don't.
  3. They both play into the first possibility. Perhaps people around him have tried to tell him but he simply hasn't listened. Which would be all to the good, because it would lead to him being out on his ear in Nov.
  4. I wish I could believe that - but then there have been so many times in the past that really should have been "gone one step too far" that weren't, apparently. Mocking a disabled reporter really should have been the beginning and end of it all, for instance. I guess we'll find out. November can't come quickly enough.
  5. This is likely repeating myself - but again, I think there are only two explanations for Trump responding in the way he has with November on the horizon. The first is that he has miscalculated how this will affect him electorally and in terms of attracting new voters rather than ones already in his voter base, as well as getting people to vote against him that didn't in 2016. I would have thought he would have people around him telling him exactly this, so I'm not sure how likely it is. The second (more scary) possibility is that he knows he doesn't need to care about the response because plans are in place that will make absolutely sure he'll win in November anyway, no matter how he addresses what is going on now or at any time between now and November. If there's a third or fourth possibility I've missed here, I wouldn't mind hearing it.
  6. I think this is probably correct, but I'm again not sure about how effective it will be in this era without additional shenanigans on the side.
  7. I don't think he can actually get more people out to vote for him than he did last time - he's pretty much tapped out there, people not voting for Hillary in 2016 was at least as big a factor as people voting for Trump. So...I think if he is thinking in the way you suggest here, I think he's miscalculated - which is possible but I'm not sure why he would when it seems reasonably obvious and he has smart people working for him who would tell him exactly this. Hence my thoughts about there being other factors in play that might not be as well known. WRT the last paragraph, you're spot on and that Tweet is utterly ineffectual playing to the gallery, nothing more.
  8. That's exactly what he's worried about. Thing is, he has to know the more this goes on the more likely the black vote will come out for anyone - even Biden - in order to remove him and that confrontation like this will be a long-run loser for him? Unless, of course, he knows or thinks that voting bloc can be suppressed well enough for it not to matter...
  9. This, along with the response to Covid, is either going to make or break Trumps re-election chances - and I think he knows it. Going for the "terrorism" angle (but Dylan Roof among others never was one, huh?) is just attempting to draw the battle lines.
  10. Guilty of being against police brutality against minority groups, clearly.
  11. I think it's 13 mins to docking and an hour and a half to hatches open, but I'm not sure?
  12. Yep. A mess, unfortunately, that has been coming for some time.
  13. ....I think I'll leave that one open-ended.
  14. But but but...we don't know the context behind these quick cut clips! I mean, they could have been provoked, and they have a very tough job, and some other protestors looted so it makes it justified and...
  15. And a quick reminder: Fred Hampton and Martin Luther King both did advocate for peaceful solutions to the various socioeconomic problems for black people in the US (which is of course the better way in principle because it ensures a more lasting solution)...how did the various racists and the establishment there respond to them when they did? With smears, threats and eventually bullets to the head.
  16. https://www.bbc.com/news/science-environment-52855029 As smoothly as could be expected, by all accounts. A small step, but with the Artemis Program in the pipeline, exciting times.
  17. Well, Norway gave us Roald Dahl and by and large they seem to be great people too so that's a good idea IMO.
  18. Wealth and other societal disparities that are sometimes race-based and sometimes not in the US are still huge. Of course the government doesn't discriminate anymore (but watch out for the voter suppression), but there is still many, many reasons for people to feel disenfranchised with the way things are now. If people got educated about social media, perhaps they might realise just how effective a tool it is at being able to manipulate and radicalise and how Trump in particular is remarkably good at it. I said this before, but thinking that social media and the opinions expressed thereon by powerful individuals somehow exists in a vacuum and has nothing to do with actionable consequences is either ignorant or deliberate naivete.
  19. Or... “I think America must see that riots do not develop out of thin air. Certain conditions continue to exist in our society which must be condemned as vigorously as we condemn riots. But in the final analysis, a riot is the language of the unheard. And what is it that America has failed to hear? It has failed to hear that the plight of the Negro poor has worsened over the last few years. It has failed to hear that the promises of freedom and justice have not been met. And it has failed to hear that large segments of white society are more concerned about tranquillity and the status quo than about justice, equality, and humanity. And so in a real sense our nation’s summers of riots are caused by our nation’s winters of delay. And as long as America postpones justice, we stand in the position of having these recurrences of violence and riots over and over again. Social justice and progress are the absolute guarantors of riot prevention". - Martin Luther King, 1967 That's curious. It's almost as if...yes, they are. And that is hardly novel nor surprising information.
  20. Hopefully the end of the year will see the end of it. Or at least less.
  21. ....so there is no difference in the magnitude of importance attached to an opinion of a person on account of the power that person has? Powerful people can say what they like and the consequences of it are completely independent from their words? (And yes, the start of the last sentence of this post heavily implies this.) I'm sorry, but that for me shows a fundamental lack of understanding of the effect words have from the powerful throughout history and in the present day and I think I'll leave it at that.
  22. I would say that democracies and republics get the government they deserve but that wouldn't be fair to the decent people who are having to live with the way things are now under this administration.
  23. https://www.theverge.com/2020/5/29/21274931/spacex-starship-prototype-rocket-explosion-static-fire-test Well, damn. Not been a great week for SpaceX so far, here's hoping the launch today goes smoothly.
  24. I'm not sure whether the misunderstanding on your part is deliberate or not, Prussian, but Dahnsouff made it pretty clear with his reply and I'll repeat in my own words here. Opinions expressed as fact by people with a great degree of power have more effect in terms of both possibility and actuality of susbsequent actions than the opinions of people with less power. People aren't all equal, so the words they say are not, either. As such, what Trump says on Twitter or anywhere else matters - quite significantly more than what we're saying on here for instance - and I'm rather tired of the lie that it doesn't.
  25. It is dangerous, but in a perverse way it's good that the administration can no longer really use "it's just his personal opinion, nothing to do with policy" as a figleaf. Masks off, I believe they call it.
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