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Lionator

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Lionator last won the day on 27 July 2013

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About Lionator

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  1. Lionator

    Corona Virus

    525 deaths in Italy, the lowest since March 19th. Intensive care cases are decreasing as are cases in general per population tested. Their peak hasn't just been reached, we're starting to see the downward trend which should hopefully accelerate in the coming days and weeks. There is hope.
  2. Think they should do whatever's possible to finish this season and if that means behind closed doors in June/July then so be it. I think sports will return fairly soon, June is probable if we reach the peak now, however people need to understand that sport played with 1000's of supporters present is going to be disrupted until a vaccine is found or the disease is eradicated. It'll be the last thing to return to 'normal'.
  3. Lionator

    Corona Virus

    California introduced social distancing measures very early I believe, they've really 'suppressed' their curve, although their testing has been weak.
  4. Lionator

    Corona Virus

    There's an app which indicate traffic/transport levels in major cities worldwide. London last week was down to 8% of normal levels, while the likes of Barcelona, Madrid and Milan were at 2-3% (Italian and Spanish cases are slowing down), whereas New York was still at 30%. America is going to be absolutely destroyed by this.
  5. Pretty damning on Corbyn that Starmer has been given access to the privy council straight away.
  6. Lionator

    Corona Virus

    My target is to sleep with Margot Robbie by the end of the year.
  7. Sensible to go with fresh blood, Dodds and Stevens have always come across as highly competant, never heard of the other chap but it can't be a bad thing for the party having two welsh MP's in frontline shadow positions.
  8. I'm sad that Andy Burnham was not in a position to be leader this time. He's been shown to be a very capable leader in Manchester, getting them through some tough times showing strong political leadership (compared to London for example).
  9. Lionator

    Corona Virus

    "Italy: the real number of COVID-19 cases in the country could be 5,000,0000 (compared to the 119,827 confirmed ones) according to a study which polled people with symptoms who have not been tested, and up to 10,000,000 or even 20,0000,000 after taking into account asymptomatic cases, according to Carlo La Vecchia, a Professor of Medical Statistics and Epidemiology at the Statale di Milano University. This number would still be insufficient to reach herd immunity, which would require 2/3 of the population (about 40,000,000 people in Italy) having contracted the virus [source]. The number of deaths could also be underestimated by 3/4 (in Italy as well as in other countries) [source], meaning that the real number of deaths in Italy could be around 60,000. If these estimates were true, the mortality rate from COVID-19 would be much lower (around 25 times less) than the case fatality rate based solely on laboratory-confirmed cases and deaths, since it would be underestimating cases (the denominator) by a factor of about 1/100 and deaths by a factor of 1/4." I guess most of this is all relatively good news if true.
  10. Lionator

    Corona Virus

    Do you have a link to that? Would be an interesting read.
  11. One for @MattP from today’s white house conference. You’ve got to hand it to him, to drop this joke in, in the circumstances is ballsy, potentially depraved, to say the least.
  12. Lionator

    Corona Virus

    https://riskytalk.libsyn.com/coronavirus-understanding-the-numbers This is a great anxiety-soothing podcast by a (Cambridge) statistician on numbers related to COVID-19.
  13. Lionator

    Corona Virus

    Given that most people in ICU will be there for 7-21 days dependent on the outcome, this guy will have probably been one of the first people in there, so maybe he's the first out of there.
  14. Lionator

    Corona Virus

    I would like to make a not very bold prediction that Denmark comes out of this better than Sweden, and given their earlier intervention, better than most if not all of Europe. Their PM was lauded as reactionary and over the top when she made the decision to shut things down early on. Not so silly anymore. The Swedish approach is borderline suicide, and I didn't expect it from a scandinavian country but I suppose northern Europeans do tend to socially distance quite well even in normal times.
  15. Lionator

    Corona Virus

    I believe they're just at an earlier stage of their outbreak. The difference is that they could quarantine people a lot quicker than us due to testing so their death rate isn't climbing by anywhere near as much. Furthermore, their testing numbers means that hospital workers can be where they need to be and eventually they'll be able to get their country back to normality a lot quicker than the rest of us.
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