st albans fox

When I was younger it was much tougher to commit genocide and be a nazi ……… it was never forecast to be anything more than high cat 3/low cat 4 at landfall. They shouldn’t be speaking about Milton downgrading in strength other than with a comment ‘as expected’ before they say it and pushing the narrative that it’s the storm surge and tornado activity as much as the hurricane force winds which will be life threatening.

Or the last time the Tory members voted for a leader …..

More like the economic viability of rebuilding against the statical likelihood of it being decimated again within a period will become the question. Human nature will mean that people will still rebuild though - however wont be able to get insurance and these communities will dwindle as a consequence. There are physical characteristics of certain coastal locations that make them more prone to the flooding - I’m guessing that communities will slowly relocate away from these and find areas which are more ‘secure’.

Winds on the coast when it hits are predicted to be max 110mph. The issue is the storm surge because of its track - the wind will effectively drive the gulf waters into the west coast of florida, south of the track. Storm surge could be 10/15 feet (with waves atop that)

Yes - we’re talking about the average American ……. and yes, we voted for brexit

Harris is having some tricky interviews last couple days. will the republicans go all in on the basis that she won’t be able to step up whereas their guy has done it already ??? basically that you can trust trump whereas you have no idea whether Harris can do the job

Hamas would prefer ‘the genocide’ therein lies the problem on one side clearly sig issues on the other too but being comfortable to see their people go through such horrendous trauma isn’t one of them

We already swapped that debt for equity not sure how much owner debt is left. (If at all) They wont be able to apply retrospective interest costs because clubs have been following the rules as they were understood I reckon things will change for season ending 25/26 ref commercial interest costs being applied to owner debt

There is a risk for his opponents that if he gets a ceasefire in Gaza (with the return of any living hostages) then a continuation of war against hezbollah will build his support base further. mind you, I think sinwar is alive to this and will attempt to exact a high price (probably many high value prisoners released ). Sinwar should try to connect Gaza and Lebanon to avoid this happening. Actually - that window is narrowing again !

sinwar should be in Gaza …….. I believe that the IDF had him in a location after they took control of the philadelphi corridor Hezbollah had said that a ceasefire in Gaza would mean they stopped lobbing rockets into n Israel (with responses) - that was before Israel upped the ante on them. a ceasefire requires both sides to ceasefire and I can’t see Israel letting them re equip and re establish their military structure. This gives BN the chance to agree something in Gaza whilst still keeping the country at war in the north- a fight which does have wide domestic support

Some of my thoughts have been way off the mark but with reports from channel 12 in Israel that sinwar has made contact with negotiators (after many weeks of nothing) and from yesterday that Israel think they’ve destroyed every tunnel under the Philadelphi corridor into Egypt, I think the window for a ceasefire deal in Gaza is as large as it’s been for many months. (add that domestically BN is no longer totally reliant on some of the ultra right for his majority) with war ongoing with Hezbollah, BN doesn’t need war in Gaza to maintain his premiership. (At the moment).

the PL have issued statements that the tribunal found mainly for the PL and it was mainly these interest free loans which they had issues with. I suppose that means APT is good to continue - just that the loans must be declared and interest paid (or they’re not allowed) wonder if this will be backdated to 2021 where clubs will be required to take interest on the loans into account on their psr returns this season ? That will be cheaper than having to pay compensation to Man City

Isn’t it the opposite of that ? That shareholder loans should be included and because they aren’t, the APT rules are unenforceable????

I’m seeing some reports of polling in swing states that should alarm Harris are these erroneous ??

Sky got their selection wrong ……..

If it was us then I know a lot of posters on here that would have been apoplectic that it wasn’t given

We were desperate for a win Now we’ve got one, let’s see what the next three games have in store. Mentally we should be in a better place. They are winnable and at the end of the, we’ll be at 10 games in. then we can make a proper judgement on whether we get rid of cooper at that point or after we’ve managed to somehow stay up!

I’ve not see any evidence that even the RW settlers are interested in areas to the east of the Jordan.(which I think is pretty inhospitable in any case,). The Negev and Sinai is unwanted for obvious reasons. Syria beyond the Golan and s Lebanon - whilst Israel occupies the western golan for strategic reasons, the heights themselves are generally inhabited by Druze. Israel occupied s Lebanon for 18 years in the run up to 2000. There were no attempts to settle there. from what I can see, it’s only some areas of the West Bank which are subject to illegal settlements. We also know that there were settlements in Gaza pre 2005. I don’t see that even the more extreme proponents of Zionism would attempt to expand east beyond areas of the West Bank currently being ‘settled’ and no doubt they’d be keen to get access to parts of Gaza. Your map from 2018 of ‘biblical Israel’ is probably not relevant now.

The armistice agreement of 1949 set new legal boundaries. I would say that Zionism is, by its nature, expansionist within the biblical homeland of Judaism. We can’t know how things would have played out if the Arab countries had accepted the 1947 partition plan. Israel has expanded its territory because three times its Arab neighbours have gone to war against it and three times lost. the fact they lost in 1948/49 is quite remarkable. I suppose you can understand why they thought it was a good idea to launch the war, given that Israel’s army and air force were fledgling at best. In the period pre mid seventies it was the Arab countries who continually miscalculated. Thereafter the ‘Palestinians’ took over their interest in both Gaza and the West Bank because Egypt and Jordan had lost control in the 67 and 73 wars. Prior to 1967, Gaza was part of Egypt and the West Bank part of Jordan. (Golan heights part of Syria - the Palestinians have never been interested in settling in that area preferring that it be returned to Syria). I wouldn’t think that Zionism has much detailed interest in what defines Palestine. But within that expansionist ideology it didn’t start three wars with its neighbours and it left Gaza in 2005 (forcibly evicting Israelis settled there ) and it offered the PLA pretty much all the West Bank in 2001.. so whilst Zionism is imo expansionist (within that biblical area), the Arabs would control much of what is now Israel (and occupied lands) if they’d kept their guns in their holsters and even allowing for those 3 poor calls, the Palestinians could possibly be governing (with no Israeli interference) both Gaza and the West Bank if Arafat hadn’t been scared of assassination for agreeing a deal. Whilst Israel would have wanted a big say in what was allowed militarily in both areas 20 years ago, without any subsequent security problems, by now the two countries could be prospering in mutual co existence. How far away from that we seem to be now - I think a Harris win in November may reshape the speed at which something can be done to move things forward.

I was surprised when I first saw this map because I never realised how little of the land Israel was ‘given’ in the partition plan. (almost all of the land south of Beersheba is the Negev desert). the decision of the Arab countries surrounding Israel to attack it in 1948 and to instruct the Arab population living there to flee was possibly the worst strategic call in modern history.

i think Biden has been clumsy in the face of a difficult political situation and I think trump is more dumb than evil when it comes to foreign affairs the gates to hades are sure gonna be busy ……..

Can I take issue with your Hezbollah line ? they launched their first rockets on October 8th. Israel were still fighting against Hamas inside their country on Oct 8th. Hezbollah’s actions were purely opportunistic on Oct 8th. It was done in support of Hamas and to try and open up a second front to stretch the Israeli forces. It was only much much later that they linked it to a ceasefire.

Shame for Sammi cos he’s actively gone out to get game time alves - no surprise as he’s simply not playing at any level

Zionism was originally defined as supporting the existence of a Jewish state. The word has been hijacked over the past few years, especially the past twelve months.

We couldn’t possibly become involved in regime change ……. Well not overtly