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Stevosevic

The Masters

By Stevosevic, in General Football and Sport

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Poakey

Poakey

Posted
Posted
Starts on Thursday. anyone else really looking forward to this? who's gonna win?

Woods for me :thumbup:

Yeah looking forward to it,i'd love to see a brit win but its not gonna happen.Woods to win.

lcfc_jme

lcfc_jme

Posted
Posted

Woods has to be the favourite again surely? He seems to step his game up when it comes to the Masters. And when he does it's highly unlikely anyone will keep up with him. I envisage a Woods victory, taking him one step closer to equalling Jack Nicklaus' record of majors won.

Milky

Milky

Posted
Posted
Henrik Stenson is in brilliant form at the minute.

I think there might be a shock this year.

perhaps a European will finally win a major. It's been about 7 years

Ric Flair

Ric Flair

Posted
Posted
perhaps a European will finally win a major. It's been about 7 years

lol

That's what I was thinking/hoping.

Paul Lawrie was the last I think? In 1999, I might be wrong though. Perhaps that was the last Brit to win one.

Milky

Milky

Posted
Posted
lol

That's what I was thinking/hoping.

Paul Lawrie was the last I think? In 1999, I might be wrong though. Perhaps that was the last Brit to win one.

yeh that's right. Lawrie in 99, and jose maria won the masters in 99 aswell.

Geo V

Geo V

Posted
Posted
Starts on Thursday. anyone else really looking forward to this? who's gonna win?

Woods for me :thumbup:

Its great viewing usually but Woods has spoilt Golf as an event as if he wants to win he does and there is nothing that anyone can do about it!

Leicester Lass

Leicester Lass

Posted
Posted
Or at work!! :whistle:

Well up for it now after watching the BBC Masters preveiw program(between flicking throuigh the Cricket)with our Gary.

Everyone on there seems to think it's going to be a one-man show as well.

Loving Gary's white golf shoes though lol

Bridge

Bridge

Posted
Posted

Tiger will be tough to beat. Have Justin Rose at 13-1 to be top European. Too back it's not match play like the Ryder Cup..you might stand a chance. :whistle:

Thracian

Thracian

Posted
Posted

Logic has never pointed more strongly towards Tiger.

His focus is just phenomenol and the aura with which he's surrounding himself is becoming increasingly intimidating. The game badly needs a challenger.

But Tiger's relentlessly disciplined yet competitive background makes natural to him what is an unnatural challenge to others. The problem for the opposition is sustaining their threat and for me Tiger has all the motivation and all the answers.

Someone will need the tournament of their lives to beat him. It's possible I suppose but there's no-one you could realistically choose.

.

Poakey

Poakey

Posted
Posted
When i saw this i thought you were on about the football masters :blush:lol

Anyway Tiger ftw

Theres only 1 masters!

If your gonna watch 1 golf tournament in your life,make it the Masters.

dandannieldanok

dandannieldanok

Posted
Posted

I think if you are looking for an outsider to back, what about Justin Rose, after falling back from boy wonder status at the end of the last decade, he has reinvented himself. Led at halfway in 2004, perhaps if he manages to play well all weekend, you never know.......

Leicfox

Leicfox

Posted
Posted

The Masters - Main Preview, 4 April 2007 - Stat On Sports.

The Masters is probably the one tournament where past performances count for more than any other form factor. The same names crop up time and again and almost half of the winners in the Bentgrass era (since 1981) have been former champions.

In the last decade two players have shared the limelight; Tiger Woods and Phil Mickelson. Woods has donned the Green Jacket on four occasions whilst Lefty has won two of the last three. In all our analysis Mickelson probably shades Woods but Tiger is the clear favourite (2.78). Since Winged Foot Mickleson has dropped his performance levels noticeably. This is reflected in his price at 9.6.

As we’ve said though, Masters form is the key here; we believe Mickelson and Woods are a level above the rest at Augusta and, of the two, it is the left-hander who has been more consistent. This looks the perfect opportunity to back Mickelson on his favourite course at favourable odds in what could well be a two-horse race.

In what is regularly a shoot-out between the big guns, Vijay Singh (18.0) and Retief Goosen (34.0) look the next best choices. Vijay is showing signs of a proper return to form, he has the Augusta pedigree, and he and Goosen have the second and third best ‘average finishing positions’ respectively over the last five years – better than Tiger.

Charles Howell is the form player on tour this year and could follow Chad Campbell’s lead last year of converting early season form into Masters contention. We believe the Augusta local will actually struggle as he has many correlation factors counting against him including an MC in 2006. We would steer clear of the young American.

Luke Donald (66-1), Stewart Cink (125-1), Mike Weir (125-1) and Darren Clarke (280-1) would be our longer odds choices. These are best traded each-way.

Brett Quigley is a doubt after his wife went into labour this week but if he makes his tee-time he has good credentials to be top debutant at 10-1.

Sergio Garcia, Chris DiMarco and Darren Clarke all tend to start better than they finish. They are available at 22-1, 50-1 and 150-1 to lead after 18 holes.

Tiger is traditionally a slow starter in this event. He has never shot better than 70 on the first day in 12 appearances and has had a total of two birdies and 14 bogeys on the first hole. Those who are looking to get with Woods would be advised to trade in-running after the opening hole for marginally better value. Our hole-by-hole records for the main protagonists will be published on Thursday morning.

Our choice of match bets on the first day would be:

* David Howell at 5-4 to win his three-ball with Stephen Ames and Craig Stadler

* KJ Choi at 9-4 to win his three-ball with Mike Weir and Henrik Stenson

Spread traders may take an interest in Scott Verplank. The American missed his first six cuts at Augusta but has finished in the top 30 the last four years. Sporting go 35-38 on his finishing position and sellers face a maximum downside of around 15 points should he miss the cut.

Rod Pampling looks the value in his supremacy match bet with Jim Furyk. The American is priced at 4-7 with Sporting but Pampling has had two top-20s in his two starts and never shot worse than 73 in eight rounds. Furyk has only once broken 72 in 10 Augusta Thursdays and tends to be a weekend performer in the Masters.

l444ry

l444ry

Posted
Posted

Commentators apart, it's a shame the BBC have it. The first two days are hardly covered, and the rest only partially. Useless, in fact, if you're trying to lay/back in-running.

Leicfox

Leicfox

Posted
Posted

The Masters - Round 2 Update, Stat On Sports

It is an odd statistic but no winner in the last 40 years has opened with a 73. Tiger Woods, Vijay Singh and Luke Donald are all in this camp this week. We do not believe it is enough to discount any of these players but it is a strong trend.

The question is can any of the players who shot more than 75 still win this tournament. No-one has done it in the history of the Masters. We feel Phil Mickelson (76) could still break this pattern due to his exceptional Masters pedigree but none of the other big names like Ernie Els (78) or Retief Goosen (76), Sergio Garcia (76) are any longer in with a chance.

As no-one since 1987 has won this event from outside the world’s top-15 except former champions we are quickly whittling down the list of potential winners. One in nine players who shoots more than six shots better than the field average on Thursday has gone onto win (11%) and as four players fit this category currently, there ought to be around a 43% chance of one of them winning.

There is also a strong pattern of the winner shooting 70 on Day One – it has happened in four of the last six years and in three of the seven years when the opening day field average was over 75.50. Despite both being outside the world’s top-15 David Toms and David Howell both look decent prospects at 27.0 and 28.0 respectively bearing all this in mind.

Of the leading quartet we believe Brett Wetterich will be the fastest faller as he has a poor record after good starts. He is in good form after coming second at Doral but he may be reaching the top of his peak.

As for Tiger, although we have a few reservations about his hopes this week, with his main rival Mickelson so far back, we feel he ought to be around an even money shot. His current price of 2.62 looks to offer some value. He has the best Friday record in the field so he should at least move close to the lead today.

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