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fleckneymike

Foxblogger cuts through the bullshit

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A frustrating day at the office.

This was Leicester’s ninth defeat of the season. Of the five sides to win promotion in second place over the last five seasons City have already they’ve lost more games than West Brom (7) and Norwich (8), and as many as Birmingham and Stoke. Last year Southampton went up having suffered ten defeats.

With 16 games to go – and points being dropped all over the place – it already looks redundant to assess the points required for automatic promotion using previous seasons as a guide. 80 points could well be enough.

The key numbers;

1 – This was the first time Leicester have conceded in the final ten minutes this season. Incredibly, Peterborough United are also the first Championship side to score twice against Leicester in the second half.

4 – This was the fourth time in a row that David Nugent and Jamie Vardy have started together and Leicester have lost. Against Crystal Palace, at Millwall, at home to Cardiff and yesterday the partnership failed to yield a single point. Then again, Leicester won five in a row earlier in the season with the duo starting in the same side. It’s perhaps a little dangerous to draw strong opinions on this information alone.

6 – It’s been 20 years since Leicester won six in a row and this was the sixth time Leicester have failed at the final hurdle. In 2002/03 a five match winning run was brought to an end with a 1-1 draw at Rotherham. Simon Grayson’s Leeds snatched a 1-1 draw in the last minute to stop City winning six in a row in League One. Depending which defeat you count (the playoff loss to Cardiff or the 3-2 opening day defeat at Crystal Palace the following season) City could not improve on the five wins that ended the 2009/10 league campaign. A 2-0 loss at Cardiff did for Sven’s five match winning run in 2010/11 and a 1-1 draw at Birmingahm City earlier this season again kept a six match winning run out of reach as well.

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Think reading into previous teams points totals is something you do in pre-season as a bit of a benchmark, we're still 2nd regardless of the number of defeats.

Yep, regardless of previous season's defeats or points total. The fact is we have the second best record this season & our rivals have (fractionally) worse records than us & therefore are further away.

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Previous totals are irrelevant and too much reading is done into them. Each year the championship has different teams on different form with different approaches etc...

It is impossible to predict one season from the past.

What will be will be and all that...

At the end of the day, if we don't get automatic it is because we will have fewer points than second place, not because we didn't get 85 points or whatever the "average" is

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Interesting.

Depending how long Wood is out for I think NP needs to utilise the loan market because he is in cookout land if he think Waggy or Vardy will get us anywhere near the autos

Absolutely, because we were languishing around midtable before Chris Wood arrived.

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