leicsmac

Until there's nowhere else for them to go. Not a problem in the US (for now), but it will become an issue elsewhere, if it isn't already.

Brook is such a talent too. Edit: about 300 test runs to go to be among the fastest to 2000, too.

Outstanding player. Form is temporary, class is permanent.

I think that covers most of the explanations, but then I guess there are also those who simply don't care about those beyond their line of sight and think the consequences won't affect them, so they'll do everything they can to keep things as they are because it benefits them personally. As you say, it's an explanation, but it really isn't an excuse - not now and certainly not in the future should everything go horrible and those who are left look for who to blame for it. There will still be consequences no matter what we do now, but every day we don't get our shit together as a species the cost now and future goes up.

It's been grim across vast areas. How many times does it have to be said that we underestimate humanitarian problems generated by natural consequences and overestimate those caused by other humans? It has a measurable effect in terms of lives and misery. Yeah, that's true. I hope your friends stay safe, and their home too. Terrible events. I think that they're not missing it to be honest, by this point in time I would suggest most of the ignorance is wilful - they just don't care about it until it's at their very doorstep. By which time it will be too late to do much at all. WRT refugees from these situations, well, such people will think there's a time-honoured method of dealing with that too. Namely, by abandoning them to their fate. Whether one thinks that's somehow morally or societally acceptable, or if the consequences of those actions will eventually reach those who really don't care, is naturally up to the beholder.

But the frequency of these more serious ones is increasing all the time, that's sadly verifiable. Believe me, I wish it weren't the case.

Second incredibly nasty one in quick succession. A glimpse of the future.

From that very article: Firstly, warmer ocean waters mean storms can pick up more energy, external, leading to higher wind speeds. Record high sea surface temperatures were a key reason why US scientists forecast an above-normal Atlantic hurricane season for 2024. The high temperatures are mainly due to long-term greenhouse gas emissions. Secondly, a warmer atmosphere can hold more moisture, leading to more intense rainfall. Climate change made the extreme rainfall from Hurricane Harvey in 2017 around three times more likely, according to one estimate, external. and The IPCC quotes "medium confidence" that there has been an increase in the average and peak rainfall rates associated with tropical cyclones. The frequency and magnitude of "rapid intensification events" in the Atlantic has also likely increased, external. This is where maximum wind speeds increase very quickly, which can be especially dangerous. There also seems to have been a slowdown in the speed at which tropical cyclones move, external across the Earth's surface. This typically brings more rainfall for a given location. For example, in 2017 Hurricane Harvey "stalled" over Houston, releasing 100cm of rain in three days, external. In some places, the average location where tropical cyclones reach their peak intensity has shifted poleward - for example the western North Pacific, external. This can expose new communities to these hazards. And there is some evidence, external the increased intensity of US hurricanes means they are causing more damage. However... Globally, the frequency of tropical cyclones has not increased over the past century, and in fact the number may have fallen, external - although long-term data is limited in some regions. So yep, I should have been more accurate in my language and said that climate change, rather clearly, results in more incidences of bigger, more devastating hurricanes and cyclones (as shown by one of the charts in that article), rather than more hurricanes wholesale. Appreciate the call for clarification, but I really hope this isn't a suggestion that climate change isn't contributing negatively to these situations and that the policy of Trump and the Repubs doesn't contribute to that by continually favouring carbon emissions that will result in increased global average temperatures.

Two of the worst hurricanes in decades hit Florida one after another over a matter of weeks. Trump and his Repub team (apart from deSantis) instead focus on fake claims of relief money distribution, rather than actually addressing the problem itself or their policy decisions which will only result in bigger, more frequent and more devastating hurricanes hitting the same areas and beyond. Standard, I guess.

... to do what (outside the economic sphere, and even that's debatable), exactly? Or is the soundbite enough? It could well be tbh.

And it wouldn't end there for the other side, either. The Israelis now clearly want security for their own people through proper Old Testament style vengeance on a disproportionate scale. How well that sits and how justifiable it is clearly is up to the individual beholder.

Which of course is exactly what Netanyahu wants to keep perpetuating as such bloodshed distracts the populace from his... rather questionable decision-making and self-interest.

Would second this. Great little series.

The latest polling collation at Realclearpolitics still has it roughly even.

They did that well enough over in Pakistan the last time.

Odds on the draw anyone?

The fact that Sir David Attenborough considers him his natural successor pretty much tells you all you need to know. Superb science communicator.

It should be mandatory viewing for anyone involved in the nuclear release process and anyone who somehow thinks a nuclear war is "winnable". Extremely grim, but extremely powerful.

But you're forgetting the extra level of self-gratification.

Fair enough. Just have an issue with people passing off opinion, educated projection and guesswork as fact. I see enough of that in much more seriously consequential fields.

If we're being scientific about it, however, it can be reasonably thought there are too many variables that alter between such situations as the Rodgers era and the present one, numerous elements aren't being controlled for, and thereby it's rather tricky for contributors to use such past situations to craft any kind of working hypothesis. Certainly when such a hypothesis involves the club missing out on points in the hope that more points will be gathered later as a result. There is no analysis here, it's merely educated guesswork, which tbf is the same all around in such a field and why such things should always be qualified as such.

The exception that proves the rule.

2004-2008 wasn't bad, but I think 1997-2000 was about the peak tbh.

Supremacism of any kind is shit, that's a given. Mdme Butler and those that think like the views on that poem, however, are not and in all likelihood never will be in any position to make good on those ideas. That perhaps differentiates them from other similar supremacist ideals.

Ad Astra Per Aspera. I would hope that everyone who makes that journey knows the formidable risks involved, and should the worst happen, they'll be remembered, whoever they are or were.