st albans fox

Oil prices dropped after Iran’s tepid response on Monday evening ahead of the announcements. If the war was still ongoing today then I doubt oil prices would be much changed from where they were mon evening. Obvs they dropped significantly once this ceasefire was announced a few leaders referencing how fragile this ceasefire is this afternoon which is worrying.

Apparently drugged up according to reports (and known to authorities) there’s also stuff on SM about him which is currently totally unsubstantiated ( apparently you can just make stuff up - who knew?) l avoided watching the footage so I didn’t see how shocking it was.

K/off shortly in the eng Netherlands semi temp 33C !!!! why don’t they have evening starts at this time of year for semis ??.

Reckon we have to get the reminding 4 wickets within the next five overs or we won’t have time. And track looks way too flat and true for that MATCH DRAWN

That lbw appeal from Trevaskis looked v close on replaying it

I was surprised reckon they’ve now ruled themselves out of second place.

Brave call maybe they can see something in a wearing wicket ??? (Though no evidence based on their 2nd innings ) and derbys have started fast

Reckon Gloucester might decide a draw is ok for them rather than risk losing - would put derbys 2 results beyond them in the table rather than 1. Glam defo happy with a draw as you say.

Could be both ?

Very responsible from the captain

The response was supposed to ‘shake Tehran’ (according to the rw nut job) or at the very least be a strong response it ended up as two bombs dropped on a radar station north of tehran so pretty symbolic and trump will hope that Iran doesn’t react to that

There were some reports yesterday that the Americans had asked starmer if Britain wanted to take part in Saturday night’s attack and starmer had passed on it. are we to join the dots that trump doing the dirty work with the MOP’s gave him leverage to force BN to agree to a ceasefire sooner than he’d have liked???. And if that’s not the case and there are strategic reasons for BN’s decision (eg. defensive weaponry running low ) then trump retains that serious leverage re events over the weekend.

Must be some arm twisting going on behind the scenes but it’s all in line with what I was thinking yesterday evening after the ‘attack’ on Qatar assuming this ceasefire breakage and any response can be kept in check then the light at the end of the tunnel is still there.

I wonder if I’m right then I’ll refer back to this post I can’t say what I’m thinking cos it will likely be too controversial for the thread - just hope that today was the lowest point of the past 20 months and there is light at the end of the tunnel

Our nige upper class ?? I’ll have you know he’s all beer and sandwiches !!

Macron doesn’t have to make public his opinion - but as you say there’s no love lost between him and trump. Presume they will meet tomorrow at the NATO summit ?

It was in my original post but because it’s a) then b) isn’t relevant

There were reports earlier today that the Israeli’s had made noises that their attacks would be over in a few days and if Iran stops then they would also stop (but I think Iran also has to agree to enter meaningful negotiations with USA and E3 re no enrichment - enter putin stage left ).

Looks like a) symbolic and a limited attack on equipment taking care to avoid any injuries to deaths (and possibly intercepted by defences).

Qatar close their airspace expecting an attack from Iran towards USA bases probably if Iran have decided to respond this way then it will either be a) symbolic and a limited attack on equipment taking care to avoid any injuries to deaths (and possibly intercepted by defences). b) not the above and they’ve decided to go for broke with a notable barrage on the basis that they calculate that trump will not want to get involved in a proper war. this shows their population and others in the region that they will stand against ‘the real Satan’. They may well be worried about the Iranian population beginning to protest against them.

We need an unsure/not bothered option stan !

Bottled it (again ) gonna be so tough to get that monkey off his back now

My sentiments exactly hopefully he can get over the line - at least it’s not a major so the pressure is a tad lower

Doesn't seem to have been particularly effective since Thursday as the barrages of 20/30 missiles continue to be launched. (Admittedly less barrages each day but that could be a tactical call ).

Russia and china have strategic agreements with Iran Russia won’t get involved - in fact they’re probably hoping the straits of Hormuz become compromised because a rise in oil prices is great for them. china is the interesting one for me - behind most of the geo political decisions being made by trump is the USA/china relationship. we won’t see anyone becoming militarily involved in support of Iran (n Korea is the joker here but let’s assume he stays within his box), but china will not like their regional influence being affected. it should also be noted that Hezbollah have so far refused to become involved - under pressure from Lebanese govt and also their self interest not to be destroyed. This force was created by Iran as a deterrent to being attacked by Isr.