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Posts
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Everything posted by Gerard
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Are people really thinking about winning the Championship rather than top two? Top two is all that matters, if we come first great but top two is the only thing we should be thinking about as today stands.
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We need to win two from three to guarantee promotion. If we draw tonight we need to win two from two to guarantee promotion.
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I'm talking about finishing top two not winning the Championship, who cares who wins it? The prize is top two not top one.
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A loss tonight and it's still in our hands but we would then need to win our last two from two to not rely on others. A draw still has it's merits as it's one point more but it only becomes useful if Leeds and Ipswich don't win their remaining games. For Southampton the equation is simple, they have a slim chance already of going up but a draw tonight is almost the same as a loss tonight for them, expect them to gamble if the game is tied going into the last 15 mins which should suit us as neither side will be happy with a point tonight.
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It wouldn't be a "very good result" at all. As things stand we need 6pts to keep it in our own hands. That's two wins needed from three games. A draw tomorrow and Leeds and Ipswich win their next game before we play means we'll still need two wins from two games going into the Preston game otherwise we're relying on Leeds and Ipswich slipping up in the last week. At this point you have to keep things in your own hands and draws are no good to us in that respect.
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No but I would have took 4pts from the next two games before West Brom. Massive 3pts and we only need a draw against Southampton or one more win this season to guarantee finishing above them so they're more or less out of the equation for us at least because if we lose to them and fail to win in the last two we're probably not going to make it anyway.
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Far too passive. We should not be thinking that a point at home to Southampton is a good result for us, it's not.
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I'm frustrated as well, we dominated against Plymouth, less so Millwall but they managed to take their very few chances whilst we didn't create anywhere near enough in both games considering how much of the play we had. After today I'm more the glass is half full, we now need three wins out of four to guarantee promotion, we can still afford to lose another game and we only have to avoid finishing bottom of our three team mini league although I accept Southampton are not without a chance of automatic.
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But we didn't and we should celebrate this as another lifeline grabbed rather than moan about what's gone on. We needed 5 wins to guarantee promotion before Millwall and now we need 3 wins.
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Well it shouldn't, our game has gone so this is a huge bonus. I would argue we've had a better few days than Leeds, we lost twice away and they got 1pt from two home games. We now have room for error again and it looks like we'll need it, three wins from four now guarantees.
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That shot before he got subbed FFS. The sort of shot you would have expected from someone on here with six cans down them.
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I've been defending this team but I feel like what Einstein said now about doing the same thing over and over again and expecting a different result. Once again dominated the play but look completely impotent in front of goal and always give the opposition a chance. Still in our hands and with three out of four games at home but you have zero confidence in this shower.
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Fancy us tonight to win by at least two clear goals. Let the pile on begin.
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Same as me, I was a Gold Member then and expected to get my ticket but 3,000 Thais from King Power made their way into the ground instead. I ended up buying a ticket for £250 from an Everton fan outside.
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Now I've seen Dier thinks it was unfair because we played first 5 times out of 8 and we had an 89th minute winner against Norwich in February it has soiled the title win for me that we didn't win it fair and square.
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Not only were Leicester always playing before Spurs but they were also fluking last-minute wins during the final couple of months We scored an 89th minute winner versus Norwich in February, the Ulloa "earthquake" goal. After that the latest we scored a winner was the 66th minute versus Sunderland in a 2-0 win.
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If they win their last six that puts them on 96pts, that means Leeds would have to win their next three games to finish above them. We would need 8pts from four to beat them on GD. It's tough but it's doable.
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Being too positive? We had a bad midweek but so did both our rivals, guarantee we all think we've blown it this week and only one of the three will be right come season end. It's pointless looking back and what might have been, we have 3pts from our last two games, Leeds and Ipswich have 1pt each from their last two games. We don't have to be world beaters just better than one of them two. We dust ourselves down and go again on Friday and I'm quietly confident we win and put pressure on the pair of them at the weekend,
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I would suggest that the midweek results were slightly favourable for us, pre match implied chances of winning were: Leeds 75% Ipswich 67% Leicester 58% Both our rivals failed to win at home to mid table teams, solitary points don't really get the job done when your heavy favourites. Yesterday we needed 5 wins to guarantee promotion, tonight we now need four. It's another game ticked off and we're still top of the league with a game in hand. Also remember we just need to avoid finishing bottom of this three team mini league, we're still very much in the box seat and have room for error.
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Before tonight we needed 5 wins or 4 wins and 2 draws to guarantee promotion. Tonight we need 4 wins to guarantee promotion. Performance was poor but not that much has changed, I'd argue tonight was worse for Leeds than us. Leeds were an implied 75% chance to win pre match, we were 58%. Solitary points don't count for much at this stage, Leeds will be more gutted tonight than us.
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By the betting exchanges odds converted into probability. Of course we can only do our own job and seven wins makes the rest irrelevant but for today to be considered a good day a win is not enough, we have to see at least one of Ipswich or Leeds drop points.
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Implied chances of winning tomorrow on the betting: Leicester 74% Leeds 49% Ipswich 38% It will only be a good day if we win and at least one of the other two don't, if all three win we'll have had the worst day.
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This sounds like your wife deciding to go to Tenerife instead of the Maldives this year when you've just explained to her you've lost your job, you're overdraft and credit cards are maxed out and you can't pay the bills or mortgage this month.
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You can't keep going to the wire and expect last minute winners. Ipswich have been tremendous at that this season but they're gutsy and most importantly that's good variance more than any other factor. There will be Leeds and Ipswich fans looking at their fixtures and our fixtures thinking it's a two horse race between them two as we'll be first. The truth is that it's all to play for and all three of us are likely to drop a good few points between now and the end.
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Well we have a lot of outs. We have the best run in. We're favourites to finish first. If we don't finish first we're favourites to finish second. If we finish third we're favourites for the play offs. Enjoy the ride.
