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Dan

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Everything posted by Dan

  1. Yeah agree with most of your assessment. I had far higher expectations for PSV, wondered if the acoustics were a bit of a problem but then I remember it having a couple of decent moments. Copenhagen were loud, them and Atletico the best in the CL. Sevilla's ultras boycotted against us, think they'd have possibly been the best if they hadn't, that place looks a pit at times. Spain seems to be quite bad for league games but has a real high ceiling in Europe.
  2. And the latter bit is genuinely very hard. Like I said earlier, I got let down on this by 1/5 and 1/6 shots after landing two sides at 9/1 last weekend. Even despite this you are being offered crazy odds. You don't have to win often to profit.
  3. Basically if one of your teams are winning, you can 'freeze' them and it pays out that leg as a winner. What I've been doing is taking a massive priced team and then freezing them on the off chance they go ahead. You can only use it 5 times a week, max stake on the acca is £20 and the acca has to have at least 5 teams. So it's quite hard to land one but you will land one at a better rate than the odds imply unless you're stupidly unlucky. I'm banned from using acca freeze from Monday so I'm just going all out at them this weekend. The fact they've banned me tells you it works.
  4. It was strange. Was like... thanks but... wtf are you doing. No idea what happened to mine. Think I just didn't take one. Roma very good, I really rated Rennes as well but Legia Warsaw was just unbelievable. It's the one time I've been to an away game and almost forgiven our fans for barely stringing a song together because you literally couldn't hear each other. Was great actually witnessing somewhere with such high expectation and it living up to it.
  5. Awful kick off time. Shit ticket prices. Transport has its obstacles. It's like they're trying to make it as shit as possible.
  6. I've made the mistake on these of picking the same 'other' teams though. One of them is bound to blow it.
  7. Freiburg as well!!!!!!!! **** me, what a start. Cannot wait to see who blows all this.
  8. BOOM Jong Ajax ahead and frozen. Up yours ***** @SkyBet
  9. I think unless you really want to keep the feature alive for your own betting then there's no harm in it really. Maybe there was a way I could've made it less obvious but I'm not really sure what. Lots of people have been bagged doing it. You can't put two opponents in the same acca, but what I have done a few times is mix and matched, so for example, done two accas. Lets use these Dutch games as an example. Den Haag v Jong Ajax De Graafschap v Top Oss I've not done this tonight, but in the past, I have done two accas like this... Team A Team B Team C Jong Ajax De Graafschap Team A Team B Team C Den Haag Top Oss So the flip side is if your underdog goes behind, you at least get another one of your heavy favourites selections winning. The ideal scenario is the big outsider goes ahead and loses - which is still a fairly plausible scenario. The down side is any draw and you're bust on the lot of them. Likewise for picking your other sides, probably best finding about 7/8 'safe' winners and just mixing and matching them a bit. Last weekend I landed Rio Ave to beat Sporting Lisbon at 12/1 (ended up 3-3) while Panathinaikos, at home to bottom of the table Kifisia, drew 1-1 having gotten a late red card and conceded. If I'd had Panathinaikos in every acca, I'd have been bust. I've done about 25 accas, only won 3, but the point is the wins are at such excellent odds that you can't not profit. I think you've got to be severely unlucky to not profit doing it. I'm rambling on a little now but to give an idea of the true value, take this accumulator with Ajax Reserves. They're 5/2 to go 0-1 up (therefore probably about 2/1 to lead the game at any time) yet I've got them at 17/2 to do this. If you have an accumulator with 4 teams at 1/5 and Ajax Reserves to go ahead at 17/2, this is giving you odds of 17/1 for something that is 'actually' about 5/1 to win. I think if you did this 100 times you'd be nearly certain to win quite handily. I think the fact they've banned me from doing it proves it works.
  10. I can't really explain the exact intricacies of this but I feel like while we risk giving the ball away in bad areas, we normally always seem prepared for the ensuing attack. So we 'absorb' shots as such. Not including the Blackburn & Watford goals in that as they were just obviously calamities.
  11. Quite like Freiburg, Jong Ajax and Top Oss tonight. Remember, just to go ahead, freeze them if they do. I reckon one of them will lead.
  12. some drop. From 100% to 40% just like that.
  13. 12:45 Sunday.
  14. Of course, pretty much the worst possible time.
  15. Remember the club giving people free blue scarves with their ticket
  16. Eerste Divisie must be a quite good one. I've not been doing it for long but the point for me is you're just being offered without any doubt a far superior price to what you should be getting. Take the AEK - PAS Giannina game again from the other night. Giannina were 5/1 to go 0-1 up, yet if they took the lead at any point you could freeze them as a winner at 19/1. So you're being offered 19/1 on something that is actually shorter than 5/1 (as they can go behind and go ahead, which they did as it happens). Honestly doing this - you'd be surprised how many high odds sides actually do go ahead. Crazy odds being offered. I genuinely find the harder bit to be picking the other four teams. Ipswich must be even better.
  17. Yep. I honestly don't see how you can lose in the long run. I'm something like £150 up from it and I've just been doing fivers, and I've not even been particularly lucky either - in-fact the ones I've won I've actually not even needed the freeze as they've gone onto win anyway. I've been let down by Chesterfield (1/5) and Panathinaikos (1/6) on other bets for another £400 or so. It's a big loophole. I'm not surprised they've banned me from it but I thought it would take a bit longer. I had all sorts planned.
  18. We were actually quite unlucky with our draws. You compare it to West Ham's run and the fact we were away second each leg too. I think even 2022 Rodgers would've made the final at least with their run.
  19. From Monday they're taking that feature away from me so they say. To be honest I knew they would, it's complete insanity from them, they're literally giving money away but I think I'm more annoyed that I've got on it relatively late. Only been doing it a couple of weeks and they've got me already. I had an absolute sickener on it last night. Went for PAS Giannina at AEK Athens at 19/1, they went behind, then 1-2 up, I go to freeze - they've taken the Greek league off. Everything else has sailed in too. Livid. I'm banned from it from Monday.
  20. They will move games and deny us a promotion / title winning game again like in 2014. Can see it a mile off.
  21. They're losing at Huddersfield. I've seen the script. Could've been a fake but looked pretty real to me.
  22. I completely felt this while still enjoying the trips - mainly because I was that gutted that we'd had it wrongly stolen away from us the season before. It's been weird with Leicester in Europe - pretty much every time we've played in Europe we've been quite bad on the pitch and clearly on the decline. Proper hangover feel. I never at any point during that Conference League run felt we'd win the whole thing.
  23. Sky Bet bagging loads including myself on Accafreeze. No longer allowed to use it from Monday. Great feature... unless you actually have the gall to win money using it. Nobheads.
  24. It is genuinely a shame how disliked Rodgers ended up being and I don't put that on our fans either - he's a very peculiar character. I've had small reservations at times over Maresca but they've never lasted long. He won't get the credit because of who he's managing but he's a very talented and principled coach. I do think the environments he's spent a lot of his playing and coaching career around will only serve him well - one of the main reasons I trust him to see this through.
  25. It's the first win in absolutely ages I've felt genuinely proud watching us. Never quite thought I'd think that of a win over Bournemouth but XI v XI we were big underdogs in that game and we got through it. Though I would say obviously I was proud of the cup final win as well. I think the Liverpool win in December 2021 was of a similar nature. All of them named 1-0 wins. Think it's my Simeone / Mourinho side coming out.
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