'Lucky' Leicester

[Max Wall]

16 minutes ago, Golden Fox said:

My point is that he isn't filling in time: he's being paid to write it, and then to publish it - even claiming that it "demonstrates" results.

 

Unless we do get paid for our threads on here & I'm missing out as I didn't tick the "pay me for my insightful comments" box when I signed up???

They don't pay them for insightful comments. They pay them for regurgitating shite (edit, and mentioning Man Utd). That's where you're going wrong GF. 

Edited 7 August 2018 by Max Wall

[yorkie1999]

14 minutes ago, Golden Fox said:

My point is that he isn't filling in time: he's being paid to write it, and then to publish it - even claiming that it "demonstrates" results.

 

Unless we do get paid for our threads on here & I'm missing out as I didn't tick the "pay me for my insightful comments" box when I signed up???

You're joking, I ticked it.

[Les-TA-Jon]

1 hour ago, Jattdogg said:

Thats the beauty of sport though. You can model all you want. Anything can happen in football. A team can  collapse,  a team can score 2 quick goals out of nowhere, not enough ET etc. You  can make a baseline/model but its all statistical guess work. I do agree that modelling can point you in a certain direction but for sport just too many factors can change a definite outcome. Its almost impossible to account for the individial human thought process during a football match and how they could alter the game. 99% of models could be similar but that 1% outlier  could be the actual outcome. 

Sure - but I was simply correcting you is all. You were saying that they had only analysed the mistakes in isolation, which the article explains isn’t the case. 

 

And of course modelling will only go so far - but this is the most sophisticated model yet and also the only thing we’ve got other than a crystal ball. 

[Babylon]

9 hours ago, Buce said:

 

In a new study examing 'luck' and incorrect refereeing decisions, it is deemed we should have finished 14th due to scoring late in games that overran.

 

No surprises that Man Utd were the luckiest.

 

https://www.bbc.co.uk/sport/football/45087444

 

Eh.... injury time is a "minimum of", not the exact amount. If a games runs over it's because the referee deemed the time needed to be added.

[ultrafox]

We're lucky this has come out just days before we play Man U. It might just give the ref and assistant ref something to think about on Friday night. (to our advantage of course) 

[Corky]

Football has far too many variables to say that this would've happened, wouldn't have happened etc.The injury time thing is nonsense- it is a minimum and you always have 30 seconds added for substitutions plus time wasting. In any case, we gained two points from those three goals so not a massive amount.

[davieG]

So we've moved on from Yucky and Plucky Leicester what a load of **** y

[Bunyip]

13 hours ago, Buce said:

 

In a new study examing 'luck' and incorrect refereeing decisions, it is deemed we should have finished 14th due to scoring late in games that overran.

 

No surprises that Man Utd were the luckiest.

 

https://www.bbc.co.uk/sport/football/45087444

 

It says " how does the luck index work " Stop right there it doesn't. It's a pointless click-bait pile of ordure.