Paulmot Posted 14 February 2011 Posted 14 February 2011 here come more averages I know That some people think comparisons on only eight games is dodgy, But you have to go with the form at the time. So avg points per game, in last eight games, times games left, plus points already accrued. Simples Forest 95 qpr 84 Lcfc 83 Swans 83 cardiff 82 norwich 82 tinted Bearing in mind that as per other posts the top teams have to play each other, it is not inconceivable to gain or lose points on your average So looking through my Blue tinted blinkered glasses I can see us going to the wire for 2nd spot.Our last 3 games are all very winable. Added to this the 4 games against the top 4 as is, then I can see that our destiny is with us. PS Positions with equal point alphabetically COME ON LEICESTER
Haydos Posted 14 February 2011 Posted 14 February 2011 here come more averages I know That some people think comparisons on only eight games is dodgy, But you have to go with the form at the time. So avg points per game, in last eight games, times games left, plus points already accrued. Simples Forest 95 qpr 84 Lcfc 83 Swans 83 cardiff 82 norwich 82 tinted Bearing in mind that as per other posts the top teams have to play each other, it is not inconceivable to gain or lose points on your average So looking through my Blue tinted blinkered glasses I can see us going to the wire for 2nd spot.Our last 3 games are all very winable. Added to this the 4 games against the top 4 as is, then I can see that our destiny is with us. PS Positions with equal point alphabetically COME ON LEICESTER Please explain this. We have had a relatively 'easy' run of games in which we've taken a decent amount of points. Even though we face much tougher games over the next few weeks than we have done recently, you still seem to think it's justified to base our points for the next 15 on our last 8 (We only drop 10 altogther!!!) Can someone put a good argument forward for this?
Paulmot Posted 14 February 2011 Posted 14 February 2011 Please explain this. We have had a relatively 'easy' run of games in which we've taken a decent amount of points. Even though we face much tougher games over the next few weeks than we have done recently, you still seem to think it's justified to base our points for the next 15 on our last 8 (We only drop 10 altogther!!!) Can someone put a good argument forward for this? Hi we have played 21 games under Sven 12 wins 5 loses 4 draws 40 points average ppg =1.90 which would give us almost 29 points We Have improved the squad and confidence is sky high. the ppg for last 8 is 2.37. I realise it is a tough task to maintain this, however the oppurtunity is there and the criteria for Sven was promotion. I think we have seen he is ruthless IE Hobbs,Weale, Berner. I cannot see why we could not achieve at least 32 - 35 points from our remaining fixtures we have 4 hard games and as you pointed out 11 "easy games" The 3 Big away games may well define our season
luckyalex13 Posted 15 February 2011 Posted 15 February 2011 Hi we have played 21 games under Sven 12 wins 5 loses 4 draws 40 points average ppg =1.90 which would give us almost 29 points We Have improved the squad and confidence is sky high. the ppg for last 8 is 2.37. I realise it is a tough task to maintain this, however the oppurtunity is there and the criteria for Sven was promotion. I think we have seen he is ruthless IE Hobbs,Weale, Berner. I cannot see why we could not achieve at least 32 - 35 points from our remaining fixtures we have 4 hard games and as you pointed out 11 "easy games" The 3 Big away games may well define our season i think your right 'the 3 BIG' away games will be the making or breaking of this season
marbelladave Posted 15 February 2011 Posted 15 February 2011 These predictions though fun are speculative and highly optomistic for all teams involved. History teaches us the 75 points should be enough for a play off place, so 27 points out of 45 is the target, less than 2 points a game from here. Statisticlly speaking, all the teams involved will have poor results, they all have games against fellow contenders, some may even have a poor run, the result will probably be fewer points for everyone, compared to the predicted tables above. We will probably have a good result or two against the better teams and cock up against teams we should beat, but, you can pretty much guarantee, so will everyone else. At the turn of the year it was calculated that an average of 2 points a game from there, would see us to 73 points, which should give us a decent chance at a playoff spot. That has not changed, 73 points give us about a 50/50 chance, two or three more will almost certainly be enough. So far this year we have taken 19 points from 7 games, that's way ahead of the curve and a standard we are unlikely to maintain, hovever we don't have to, 2 points a game will almost certainly be enough...
evs_the_fox Posted 15 February 2011 Posted 15 February 2011 One thing that is fact is that we're now officially on a par with where we were at this time last season. 31 games, 48 points. We've even won 2 more than we had at this stage last year. After the horrific start we had this season that in itself is an achievement. While I don't think we'll be hitting 88+ points (we can only finish on 93!), 10 wins from of our last 15 games will see us on 78. Unless this season is a massive freak then that'll be more than enough to see us in to a play-off place. Automatic would take something crazy, since 2000 an average of 87.5 points is required. In that time only twice has anyone gone up in 2nd with less than 85 points ('08, Stoke 79pts and '09, Brum with 83 points). I'm happy to settle for victory in the play-offs, beating Cardiff in the semis and Forest at Wembley ...
artursteppe Posted 15 February 2011 Posted 15 February 2011 22 games since Paulo Sousa left. 18 points from the first 11 of those - 23 points from the next 11 matches. 'The Force is with us'!
Darkon84 Posted 15 February 2011 Posted 15 February 2011 This is how my predictions turned out, though I think my subconcious may have forced me in to putting some of the results down. Here goes anyway. 1: QPR 48GD 92 2: Leicester City 20GD 85 3: Cardiff 23GD 81 4: Norwich 18GD 80 5: Swansea 18GD 79 6: Burnley 15GD 77 7: Forest 28GD 76 21: Palace -32GD 47 22: Derby -18GD 46 23: Preston -34GD 38 24:Scunny -49GD 35 VERY optimistic I know. I dont reaaaally think it'l end up like that, though it would be nice
Haydos Posted 15 February 2011 Posted 15 February 2011 This is how my predictions turned out, though I think my subconcious may have forced me in to putting some of the results down. Here goes anyway. 1: QPR 48GD 92 2: Leicester City 20GD 85 3: Cardiff 23GD 81 4: Norwich 18GD 80 5: Swansea 18GD 79 6: Burnley 15GD 77 7: Forest 28GD 76 21: Palace -32GD 47 22: Derby -18GD 46 23: Preston -34GD 38 24:Scunny -49GD 35 VERY optimistic I know. I dont reaaaally think it'l end up like that, though it would be nice Forest only gaining 23 more points from 17 games good luck. And we only drop 10 for the rest of the season. Stop messing around
Darkon84 Posted 15 February 2011 Posted 15 February 2011 Forest only gaining 23 more points from 17 games good luck. And we only drop 10 for the rest of the season. Stop messing around My subconcious was too strong and forced me to put those results down Thats how they occurred, it wasnt MY fault, it was the voices in my head
canary joe Posted 15 February 2011 Posted 15 February 2011 I'm quite shocked people see norwich not at least making the top six? We are in very good form atm, and only need around 7 more wins to get playoffs, something that should be relatively simple going on the season so far, and surman is back and looked class against reading...... would love to see a leicester vrs norwich final playoffs, with us scoring a 95th minute winner
acooling08 Posted 15 February 2011 Posted 15 February 2011 1. QPR 2. Cardiff 3. Forest 4. Swansea 5. Leicester 6. Leeds 7. Norwich 8. Milwall 22. S****horpe 23. Crystal Palace 24. Preston
acooling08 Posted 15 February 2011 Posted 15 February 2011 I'm quite shocked people see norwich not at least making the top six? We are in very good form atm, and only need around 7 more wins to get playoffs, something that should be relatively simple going on the season so far, and surman is back and looked class against reading...... would love to see a leicester vrs norwich final playoffs, with us scoring a 95th minute winner On my predictor you lose out on 6th to Leeds on goal difference. You last-minute goal luck has to run out eventually!!
Guppy Posted 15 February 2011 Posted 15 February 2011 1. QPR 2. Forest 3. Cardiff 4. Leicester 5. Norwich 6. Hull
brockmyster Posted 15 February 2011 Posted 15 February 2011 1.QPR 94 2.Cardiff 90 3.Forest 89 4.Leicester 88 5.Norwich 87 6.Swansea 87 7.Leeds 85 21.Palace 42 22.Sheff Utd 41 23.Preston 37 24.S****horpe 31 Maybe a bit biased just one defeat at qpr..
Bob Weasel Fox Posted 16 February 2011 Posted 16 February 2011 i predict we will finish 18th after not winning another game all season
Mack Posted 16 February 2011 Posted 16 February 2011 I dont care about the rest, but I believe we will finish in second place, we are now the best team in the league by some distance.
Tommy G Posted 16 February 2011 Posted 16 February 2011 Any betting people can help me? I put £20 on leicester to finish 1st 2nd or 3rd the day sven took over (we were bottom) and the odds I got were 50/1, how much will I win if this happens? Cheers
Guest Basildon Fox Posted 16 February 2011 Posted 16 February 2011 Sure??? If you bet outright then you will get £1020 back as you get your stake back too.
davieG Posted 16 February 2011 Posted 16 February 2011 According to this statto site at this point of reckoning they have us to finish 7th on 71 points http://www.statto.com/football/odds/ratings/england/league-championship
sam_lcfc Posted 16 February 2011 Posted 16 February 2011 1) QPR (91) 2) Forest (88) ------------------------ 3) Swansea (81) 4) Norwich (79) 5) Cardiff (79) 6) CITY (76) ----------------------- 7) Burnley (74) 8) Leeds (73) 20) Palace (45) 21) Doncaster (44) ----------------------------------- 22) Bristol C (43) 23) Preston (36) 24) S****horpe (35) Leeds have the toughest run in and should drop points. If they don't others will anyway. I still think its borderline, but to be honest I am just happy being able to talk about looking up, rather than despair about certain relegation after the hammering at Pompey earlier in the year. If you had offered me this current league table then, I would have thought you were mad. Norwich v Leicester play-off final. Anything can happen.
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