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lovelcfc

Final league table

By lovelcfc, in Leicester City Forum

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artursteppe

artursteppe

Posted
Posted

According to this statto site at this point of reckoning they have us to finish 7th on 71 points

http://www.statto.com/football/odds/ratings/england/league-championship

However complicated they make the site look, 71 points would be the total for the season if we got exactly the same number of points per game in our last 15 games, as we achieved in our first 31.It is interesting that they reckon 82 points, if we got that, would give us automatic promotion in 2nd place.

luckyalex13

luckyalex13

Posted
Posted

However complicated they make the site look, 71 points would be the total for the season if we got exactly the same number of points per game in our last 15 games, as we achieved in our first 31.It is interesting that they reckon 82 points, if we got that, would give us automatic promotion in 2nd place.

so we can afford to lose 3 and draw one and still go up in second place ....Happy Days :thumbup:

blueredswed

blueredswed

Posted
Posted

Any betting people can help me?

I put £20 on leicester to finish 1st 2nd or 3rd the day sven took over (we were bottom) and the odds I got were 50/1, how much will I win if this happens?

Cheers

Congratulations!

Number 6

Number 6

Posted
Posted

I have us in 6th facing a rematch with Cardiff. Norwich face Leeds in the other play-off. QPR go up as champions with Forest runners up.

More interestingly, where do you think we would have finished with Sven in all season? The way we are playing at the moment reminds me a little of Reading's 106 point team.

B52

B52

Posted
Posted

Notts Forest can only reach 56 points with games in hand. Nearly every game in hand has gone and we are, at the most, 8 points off automatic promotion.... :scarf: And 4 points off play-offs.

Not bad at all. :chant:

step

step

Posted
Posted

Using statitistics to calculate the the maximum and minimum expected points of any league possition.

Even though the max and min points are based on a small sample of six seasons, You can be about 80% confident (Statitistically its not significant) that leicester will get between 73 and 84 points

Poss, Max Pts, Min Pts

1 103 83

2 93 80

3 88 75

4 89 79

5 91 83

6 83 68

7 84 74

8 84 73 Leicester

9 81 70

10 83 75

11 79 67

12 79 69

13 82 75

14 78 67

15 81 74

16 80 73

17 75 64

18 76 68

19 72 61

20 72 63

21 73 65

22 67 55

23 68 62

24 61 50

A lot of calc's that dont prove a lot. but I did try

Leicester_Mad

Leicester_Mad

Posted
Posted

1. QPR 89 pts GD 48

2 Cardiff 88 pts GD 31

------------------------------------

3. Swansea 88 pts GD 26

4. Leeds 86 pts GD 24

5. Leicester 82 pts GD 16

6. Forest 81 pts GD 28

------------------------------------

7. Norwich 79 pts GD 20

So with that I have:

QPR getting a further 29/45 pts.

Cardiff getting 33/45 pts

Swansea getting 35/45 pts

Leeds getting 34/45 pts

Leicester getting 34/45 pts

Forest getting 28/45 pts

Norwich getting 25/45 pts

Not very realistic really, tried to be fair but there is no chance you'll need 80 points to get 6th spot lol

Leicester results:

Leicester 3-0 Bristol City

Cardiff 3-1 Leicester

Leicester 2-0 Coventry

QPR 1-2 Leicester

Leicester 2-1 Norwich

S****horpe 1-3 Leicester

Leicester 3-1 Portsmouth

Middlesbrough 2-1 Leicester

Leicester 2-0 Burnley

Leicester 3-1 Palace

Reading 1-1 Leicester

Forest 2-0 Leicester

Leicester 3-1 Watford

Doncaster 0-1 Leicester

Leicester 2-0 Ipswich

8 home wins there :ph34r:

Guest ttfn

Guest ttfn

Posted
Posted

These predictions though fun are speculative and highly optomistic for all teams involved.

History teaches us the 75 points should be enough for a play off place, so 27 points out of 45 is the target, less than 2 points a game from here.

Statisticlly speaking, all the teams involved will have poor results, they all have games against fellow contenders, some may even have a poor run, the result will probably be fewer points for everyone, compared to the predicted tables above.

We will probably have a good result or two against the better teams and cock up against teams we should beat, but, you can pretty much guarantee, so will everyone else.

At the turn of the year it was calculated that an average of 2 points a game from there, would see us to 73 points, which should give us a decent chance at a playoff spot. That has not changed, 73 points give us about a 50/50 chance, two or three more will almost certainly be enough.

So far this year we have taken 19 points from 7 games, that's way ahead of the curve and a standard we are unlikely to maintain, hovever we don't have to, 2 points a game will almost certainly be enough...:thumbup:

You're spot on. ALL of the teams challenging will have at least 3 or 4 odd results between now and the end of the season.

I'd be astonished if 75 points wasn't enough for the play-offs.

cc_star

cc_star

Posted
Posted

I think it was Brian Little who said:

25 wins & 10 draws for the runner-up spot (85pts)

We've got 14 wins & 6 draws. It's possible, but super-human, as we need 11 wins & 4 draws from our remaining 15 games.

Realistically I think the play-offs, hopefully 3rd or 4th for the return leg at home

marbelladave

marbelladave

Posted
Posted

You're spot on. ALL of the teams challenging will have at least 3 or 4 odd results between now and the end of the season.

I'd be astonished if 75 points wasn't enough for the play-offs.

And most probably so will we....:cry:

Most of the predicted tables in this thread show the entire top 6 on 80+ points, highly unlikely.

It is now getting very tight, all the games in hand have disappeared bar just one for Forest and we are just 4 points (and a good few goals) off a playoff spot.

Some of the teams above us will cock up, we just have to make sure we don't...:thumbup:

Leicester_Mad

Leicester_Mad

Posted
Posted

And most probably so will we....:cry:

Most of the predicted tables in this thread show the entire top 6 on 80+ points, highly unlikely.

It is now getting very tight, all the games in hand have disappeared bar just one for Forest and we are just 4 points (and a good few goals) off a playoff spot.

Some of the teams above us will cock up, we just have to make sure we don't...:thumbup:

we will cock up somewhere...i'd rather it be at S****horpe or somewhere like that rather than against the top 6 teams as losing to them is like losing 6 points...although they will not be looking forward to playing us. Gonna be more interesting end to this season than last season, probably because we are chasing rather than looking over our shoulders...at the minute :santa:

marbelladave

marbelladave

Posted
Posted

I rolled a die, it said 4, therefore we are definitely going to finish in fourth. Simple

I just love the scientific method.....:thumbup:

but i rolled a die twice and got a 2 and then a 3 so where does that leave us :S

Bottom but one, massive points reduction due to MM's dodgy dealings earlier in the season...:whistle:

One Arm Babba

One Arm Babba

Posted
Posted

Cardiff getting 33/45pts

Swansea getting 35/45 pts

Leeds getting 34/45 pts

Too positive for Leeds and Swansea IMO, even Cardiff won't score that many points in 15 games. I'm expecting Swansea, Leeds and Norwich to hit a sticky patch and Cardiff will always choke towards the end of the season.

I 100% see us finishing top 4.

Merging Cultures

Merging Cultures

Posted
Posted

I am pleased to see the games in hand disappear for the the other teams and that we are still 7th! I was very worried that I was getting too excited and the teams with games in hand would jump quickly above us.

Phew!

I think we'll be 5th...

ibbosuk

ibbosuk

Posted
Posted

7th or 8th I think. Top 3 is impossible in reality for me.

You think so.........I am going to have £50 on them getting automatic promotion, I'll do this tomorrow, before the Bristol City game, I don't know what odds I'll get, but its a bit of fun.....:scarf:

Narborough_fox

Narborough_fox

Posted
Posted

I can see Forest collapsing, Davies with his small squad and they've got a mountain of games in April/ May. See Swansea fading away as well. If we get 35 from the remaining games we'll easily make it into the PO's push for Automatic if we continue the way we are.

sdb

sdb

Posted
Posted

You think so.........I am going to have £50 on them getting automatic promotion, I'll do this tomorrow, before the Bristol City game, I don't know what odds I'll get, but its a bit of fun.....:scarf:

losing £50 a bit of fun? supporting LCFC when we're near the play offs a bit of fun? you're messed up! just give me the money if you're so willing to lose it

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