I have also had a look at this using our results against teams in a similar position to those we are going to play and put them into 6 categories.
Home Top Six (HS) W1, D1, L2 Average Points 1.00
Away Top Six (AS) W0, D1, L5 Average Points 0.17
Home Mid Table (HM) W3, D0, L0 Average Points 3.00
Away Mid Table (AM) W2, D4, L2 Average Points 1.25
Home Bottom (HB) W2, D1, L1 Average Points 1.75
Away Bottom (AB) W1, D1, L0 Average Points 2.00
If you then put that average points per game against the sides we have left to play it looks like this: