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filbertway

Betting Thread

By filbertway, in General Football and Sport

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The Bear

The Bear

Posted
Posted (edited)

Got this absolute doozy on tonight if it comes in based on the odds. The mad thing is those 4 away "bankers" are all in great form and up against teams that really aren't much cop so it has a reasonable chance. I genuinely would have picked those selections at 1.5 too so the odds are a bit of a mystery as to why they're so high. I guess the bookies aren't often wrong. I almost had the full £20 on it just because of how much it makes if it comes in. 

 

Just need Chelsea to play ball and get an early goal. Though I hear Palmer is ill and won't play which limits my chances. 

 

 

Screenshot_2024-04-23-08-46-25-144_com.skybet.app.skybet-edit.jpg

Edited by The Bear
goose2010

goose2010

Posted
Posted (edited)
17 minutes ago, The Bear said:

Ideal night for it tonight but Olympiakos have already let me down in a 1/3 shotnon both Sheff Utd and Everton. Ugh. 

Got 2 accas running at the minute both froze. One with Everton one with sheff utd. Just need Ajax (down to 10 men) and Maidstone  to turn it around currently 

Edited by goose2010
  • Like 1
The Bear

The Bear

Posted
Posted

On a terrible run at the minute since my last win. Probably 20 accas in a row without a return. 90% it's bankers doing me. And I've only managed to freeze a handful the last week and a half. 

 

Hoping for some better luck next week and another big win or two before the season ends. 

The Bear

The Bear

Posted
Posted
On 28/04/2024 at 21:54, The Bear said:

On a terrible run at the minute since my last win. Probably 20 accas in a row without a return. 90% it's bankers doing me. And I've only managed to freeze a handful the last week and a half. 

 

Hoping for some better luck next week and another big win or two before the season ends. 

Well the luck never arrived. An absolute terrible couple of weeks after I won £360. Thought I was gonna go onto bigger things after that quick win but the increase to £10 stakes has just seen me whittle my bank much faster down to £20!! Probably 30+ accas all losing. Ridiculous stats. 

 

Whether it's bankers letting me down or just like today not a single outsider scoring first. Will have to lower my stakes tomorrow to eke out the bit I've got left. 

The Bear

The Bear

Posted
Posted

Weirdly, dropping back down to £3 stakes has seen the betting gods smile on me again. Two freezes up today and just Benfica away at Famalicao needed for £500 across the two accas. Hopefully FC Zwolle might give me another contender shortly. 

 

Question is do I lay Fanalicao on the exchanges for a guaranteed £350 or risk it for a biscuit for the full £500? Benfica are in good form and have gotten the better of Famalicao in all recent games. But I could end up with zip again after two weeks of nothingness in returns. 

Leeds Fox

Leeds Fox

Posted
Posted
28 minutes ago, The Bear said:

Weirdly, dropping back down to £3 stakes has seen the betting gods smile on me again. Two freezes up today and just Benfica away at Famalicao needed for £500 across the two accas. Hopefully FC Zwolle might give me another contender shortly. 

 

Question is do I lay Fanalicao on the exchanges for a guaranteed £350 or risk it for a biscuit for the full £500? Benfica are in good form and have gotten the better of Famalicao in all recent games. But I could end up with zip again after two weeks of nothingness in returns. 


I’d guarantee the £350 profit. Always tricky when the games are spread apart but I think guaranteeing what is a decent return from £3 is sensible.

 

Pot built back up, start again, happy days!

  • Like 1
The Bear

The Bear

Posted
Posted (edited)

And the gifts just keep coming. Casa Pia go ahead to add another £147 to the potential win pot. Making it £650 total. Laying Benfica guarantees £450 back. 

 

The only REALLY annoying thing is, if this had happened with the £10 stakes I'd be looking at just over £2k potential win. 

Edited by The Bear
The Bear

The Bear

Posted
Posted (edited)

Was a good decision. 2-0 Famalacao on 85 mins!!' I'm just imagining how gutted I'd be if I'd let it run...

 

Also has the added bonus of winning your profit at the exchange rather than the bookies. Keeps the account alive longer. 

Edited by The Bear
The Bear

The Bear

Posted
Posted (edited)
2 minutes ago, Leeds Fox said:

@The Bear saw Volendam were 25/1 before kickoff. Lead the game twice before HT. Had your name written all over it.

Yep got them at 28/1! lol

 

Plenty of big prices today. Salernitana 18/1, Boavista 16/1. Couple of Turkish ones at 12s too. 

Edited by The Bear
Leeds Fox

Leeds Fox

Posted
Posted (edited)
38 minutes ago, The Bear said:

Ugh. Done out of £700+ in three accas by one banker in each. Newcastle, PSV and PSG.

 

Very frustrating. 


I don’t reckon these bets are value anymore. 
 

One (or 2/3) doesn’t make a summer. 
 

I do 2-2 and 3-3 4 folds and Trixies. Can’t lose if you pick the right games. 
 

Reckon I’m about 4-5k up since the new year. 
 

Bigger stakes though, not £5s qand £10s

 

Disclaimer: it’s definitely possible to lose 

Edited by Leeds Fox
  • Like 1
Leeds Fox

Leeds Fox

Posted
Posted (edited)
25 minutes ago, The Bear said:

Of course their value, the odds bear that out. But the bankers are hard to get right. 


That’s what I’m at, profit is profit. You’re hoping for an outsider to go ahead and ‘bankers’ to win that aren’t really bankers.

 

The value is in same time kickoffs that have goals and you can cashout for what is going to be a losing bet.

 

£100 on 4 2-2s and the trixie. Once goals go in, you can get £200-800. If it all came in, you’d be about £70k up. But you have the choice to leave the trix or the acca. You can gamble and still be a well up. 
 

Really into the horses as well, get a good few tips from my time in North Yorks and Northumberland. More than happy to share but they aren’t my ‘tips’. 
 

 

Edited by Leeds Fox
Dan

Dan

Posted
Posted

Today has been the straw that's broken the camels back in terms of just biting the bullet and saying I'm cashing out any freeze I land. Absolute nonsense scores but some unbelievable freeze odds landed. I've bagged around £250 from today. Would've been even more if Juventus could beat 2 wins all season, no win all 2024 'Salernitana at home' but so be it.

 

They'll pull this soon. It's crazy.

  • Like 1
The Bear

The Bear

Posted
Posted
9 hours ago, Dan LCFC said:

Today has been the straw that's broken the camels back in terms of just biting the bullet and saying I'm cashing out any freeze I land. Absolute nonsense scores but some unbelievable freeze odds landed. I've bagged around £250 from today. Would've been even more if Juventus could beat 2 wins all season, no win all 2024 'Salernitana at home' but so be it.

 

They'll pull this soon. It's crazy.

I definitely regret not cashing some out for £60-80 instead of hoping they all come in, only to be done by one. 

  • Like 1
The Bear

The Bear

Posted
Posted (edited)
9 hours ago, Leeds Fox said:

The value is in same time kickoffs that have goals and you can cashout for what is going to be a losing bet.

 

£100 on 4 2-2s and the trixie. Once goals go in, you can get £200-800. If it all came in, you’d be about £70k up. But you have the choice to leave the trix or the acca. You can gamble and still be a well up. 

You're gonna have to explain in more detail. You bet 4 legs for correct 2-2 scoreline? Hope goals go in early then cash out? 

 

And also pick three of them to put in a trixie? Which you also cash out? 

Edited by The Bear
Leeds Fox

Leeds Fox

Posted
Posted (edited)
7 minutes ago, The Bear said:

You're gonna have to explain in more detail. You bet 4 legs for correct 2-2 scoreline? Hope goals go in early then cash out? 

 

And also pick three of them to put in a trixie? Which you also cash out? 


Yankee* 

 

Hopefully that makes sense! I generally don’t cashout an acca unless I have a bad feeling about the last leg, for ones that have staggered KOs. 
 

With the 2-2s, I’d take the cashout if it’s a decent pick up. Never expect those to win, just look for in play profit.

 

If it’s looking anywhere near, I’d decide whether to cash out the 4 fold or the

Yankee. Always leaving one running (stubbornness). 

 

I didn’t have it today but in hindsight, the two 0-0s would’ve been a great bet.

Edited by Leeds Fox
  • Like 1

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