DJ Barry Hammond

Look - Farage is a very good public speaker - and his campaign was fun, had a buzz about it. His message also hits deeply into young people’s concerns in particular areas. Also - those Minecraft videos - which he didn’t even do - massive!

One of the expected Reform seats is Lomas (Barnsley) who was expelled for “comments”.

Anyone watching channel 4 - judging by the voters they spoke to, it sounds like the Tory attacks on Labour were cutting through. The problem they clearly had was they couldn’t back it up with a positive case to persuade people to vote for them for another term. It also suggests Labour’s message wasn’t that clearly received… but that might not count against them long term - low expectations isn’t a bad place to start from.

Speaker - and probably the Northern Ireland guys.

He’ll be demanding a referendum on electoral reform - that will be his play.

• Planning laws. • Parliamentary / Lords reform • Resolve Doctors strike • Something on immigration. • Criminal Justice / Prison measures (jails are full, so this is in urgent need of attention).

Sunak expected to keep his seat I believe - rated at 99%

Plus Tice is a clear dick - he doesn’t have the ‘charm’ of Farage.

I’d expect a couple in the North-East - Hartlepool / Sunderland. Maybe Boston (strong Brexit vote). Maybe a seat out on the North West coast?

I haven’t spotted any panicked Labour social media activity today - which to me suggests they feel comfortable in their position. The Conservatives on the other hand - some MP’s in particular have been at it all day. Think Nigel’s relaxed too based on his activity - although success for him can be counted at anywhere above 2 seats and a midterms vote share.

2 confirmed breaches, 1 further pending and a host of clubs using ‘workarounds’ show how difficult these rules are to account for.

You say that, but one of the clear problems with PSR is how difficult it will be to account for. Ultimately it requires projecting your profit and loss position - not only across one season, but across multiple seasons given the rolling 3-year criteria. Having transfer fees that are amortised across the length of a contract doesn’t make this any easier either - it creates lingering draggy costs. And of course this is all against income variables that can change dramatically depending on performance and other factors. This stuff then becomes even harder due to the covid years where income flows were interrupted / deferred and you see huge upswings in other areas of your cost base due to inflation. Oh - and we had the European seasons during all this too, making estimating what a base ‘Premier League income only’ year would be like very difficult indeed.

I think there’s also a case to say it’s always worth exhausting all appeal avenues against the Premier League because they’re that incompetent you could well find they’ve broken their own rules during the process.

I can’t see how this happens. Nigel has effectively parked his tanks on Conservative lawns and sent volley after volley for almost 20 years - so would they actually contemplate letting him in the party? Well, ok, maybe they would because they’re going to be pretty desperate… … but then does Nigel’s ego allow him to join them, especially if it’s not for the top job? He’s leader and chief dividend recipient of his party (ahem, Private Company!), the Conservative brand is in the toilet and the demographic of support he’s built under UKIP / Brexit Party / Reform is not a natural fit for the Conservative party. Even one of his main MO’s of being anti-establishment is incompatible to what the Conservatives are… making a great replacement much more likely than an integrated union.

I get the sense Starmer knows this - which is why stuff like Planning Reform will be a focus early on, something that could have a big long run impact but realistically doesn’t cost much to implement.

When he’s not managing, he’s quite likeable is old Neil!

Well @worth_the_wait - I do hold some hope in Starmer for a few reasons; • He seems like the first adult Prime Minister we’ve had for a long time. I’d say May was probably the last one previous to that but that she was hamstrung by her party and trying to balance conflicting wings of her party rather than being decisive. • Starmer doesn’t appear to have that ‘conflict’ issue within his party - and a strong majority will help further with that. Note: Owen Jones can’t stand the guy - which has to be a good sign! • If you look at various aspects of what Starmers done - it’s all meticulously planned out. He’s set up his front bench, his campaign was clearly ready to go as soon as Rishi said ‘go’. Even the leaflets and various campaign material were planned and templated with colour coding for the different policy areas. • He’s not tried to promise everything - which fits with the reality of the situation the country faces. • Yet there are still interesting policy aspects being proposed. Getting the railways back into public hands seems sensible and if the government is going to spend loads on ensuring energy security going forward (it feels like it has to either way), owning it under GB Energy seems sensible (private companies are always designed to take profit out so it’s no surprise that these privately owned monopolised industries have proved poor value for money). • Farage will be in the background to keep him honest. The only real downside I can find is he’s an avid Gooner. But he’s clearly a decent, intelligent person that I can believe will ultimately have good intentions at heart in whatever decision he makes - so I far from dread what Starmer might have instore. I’d also say this is where the Conservatives strategy of foretelling doom and gloom under Labour could backfire further still. It’s clearly a message that’s cut through - but that just means all Labour need to do is ‘not be shit’ to look like a reasonably capable government in 5 years time. Edit: obviously this assumes he gets in… but unless Nigel pulls a huge rabbit out of a hat, I don’t see how Labour doesn’t.

Something positive that can be said for Starmer at least is that I think he could be good for football. I’m sure a few may have noticed his deliberate choice to clock up as many football grounds as he could in the campaign trail - a lot of them non-league. I’m certain if Labour are elected they will look to get a football governance bill in pretty sharpish… and that it’s something Starmer will pay particular attention to.

I’m not so convinced 3 at the back works as well with our quality in wide positions. You want that extra man in midfield, with fullbacks able to back them up on the flanks.

We used to like doing our business quietly - if this is a sign of how we’re going forward, great stuff.

I’m not so sure this is an accurate reflection of the circumstances back then. Labour were massively tarnished by the Iraq War and of course the Blair / Brown switch was quite a change in terms of leader dynamics. On the other side you had Cameron who had managed to regroup the Conservatives into a somewhat sane and younger looking party - drifting more centrally in the process in an effort to capture Mondeo man! Of course you also had the financial crash which had a big impact on the election and future policy direction. But it should be remembered that Brown did have an earlier window where had he called an election he conceivably would have won… assuming he didn’t call a random member of the public a “bigoted women.” And that say’s a lot for Labour’s record in office across the period given this country tends to lean to the right politically. Edit: I should add - that election result was a hung Parliament following a 5.1% swing from Labour to the Conservatives.

Thanks 😉 I do try - I guess in a world of sensationalist views being balanced appears refreshing rather than boring 😂

I get that - and Reform will no doubt get a decent share of the vote. But I do sense that the Reform voters tend to be the vocal type that will publish everything about their lives on social media - but there are still a lot of people that will keep themselves to themself and will vote in different ways.

I get your issue - I think a lot of people are probably in the same position. Now a declaration: I won’t be voting tomorrow, I didn’t want to change my registered address and vote in an area I don’t see myself being in for long. But some suggestions on how you might choose who to vote for: Vote informed locally: You might want to base your vote on who is to represent you locally. There will no doubt be a few candidates, so if you want to narrow it down to who stands a chance you could check out the site below which will show you polling data for your area (I’ve put two links, the first one was running slooooow!); https://www.electoralcalculus.co.uk/newseatlookup.html https://ig.ft.com/uk-general-election/2024/projection/?constituency=E14001172 Then just check them out on social media a little, get an idea of their character and go on gut feel - usually our first instincts are good judges of character and ultimately that’s what you want in an elected representative. Vote based on the national picture: The other option would be to look at the national picture and vote based on either the party or political leader you think should be leading the country. Whilst in this case your vote would be an indirect approval because ultimately your vote is always for your local representative - this is still a perfectly valid way of choosing how to vote given it will be the parties and their leaders that will have the large say on things that happen nationally. Again, in this instance I wouldn’t suggest you go too hard into research - the whole point of having a months worth of campaigning is for the parties to pitch to you. So maybe think of something that impressed you, caught your interest, whatever and go with what your guts telling you - because there’s really no right or wrong answer, it’s about your choice and what you feel comfortable with. As with above, you may want to check your seats polling position to check which of the parties have more of a chance of winning with the idea of placing a potentially decisive vote. This could include choosing to vote ‘tactically’ - by voting for the rival of a person / party you decide you definitely don’t want to hold power. Note on Election Deposit One final thing - each candidate that runs for election has to pay a £500 deposit. If they receive more than 5% of the valid votes cast they get that back - but if not, not only does that candidate suffer the embarrassment of loosing (badly), they’re also £500 down on their efforts. So if you were drawn to an outsider / independent candidate that has little chance of winning overall - don’t feel voting for them is a wasted vote; because it might just be the difference in them getting their £500 back. Hope that helps 😉

A suggestion he’s signed the thing!