Guest Posted 16 March 2016 Posted 16 March 2016 With 8 matches remaining, does anyone know what the worst run of 8 in row we've done this season? And for that matter what's the best form Spurs have managed over 8?
Guest NGoloMode Posted 16 March 2016 Posted 16 March 2016 Both teams had a loss of form during a bit of a fixture congestion which means both should probably strengthen squads for next season in Europe. Spurs' came when they reached the latter rounds of the cups. LCFC Spurs *edit* just realized you wanted Spurs best form.. not too bad with wins over us and Man City but some easy ones in there too.
Guest ttfn Posted 16 March 2016 Posted 16 March 2016 Our worst 8 game run this season has yielded 15 points. This has happened twice - the first 8 games (easy start, they'll drop off, haven't played anyone good etc) and Liverpool at Anfield through to Man City at the Etihad. There's some overlap with that last one - I.e our wins over Stoke, Liverpool and City at the end of that run are interchangeable with the wins over Swansea, Chelsea and Everton at the start.
Alf Bentley Posted 16 March 2016 Posted 16 March 2016 If we get 15pts from our last 8, we win the title, I think. The runs required for anyone else to reach 78pts are too unlikely. Spurs would have to either win 7 out of 8, or win 6 and draw 2, which seems highly unlikely. Any other challenger would have to win every single match, I think Still, we just need to concentrate on 1 match at a time, not panic at 1 bad result - and notch those 15+ points (and we might not even need 15; 12-14 might be enough -> 75-77pts)
Vlad the Fox Posted 16 March 2016 Posted 16 March 2016 I found this article a couple of games back. http://www.independent.co.uk/sport/football/premier-league/how-do-arsenal-leicester-tottenham-and-manchester-city-tend-to-end-the-season-a6903516.html arsenal have the highest points total with 26 one season and man city with 23 twice over the last 10 games of a season. Apply this to the next 8 games and another six wins for us would mean that Spurs need to win all the remaining games, if they draw two games 5 wins and a draw, will do, lose 2 and 5 wins will be enough. Therefore we should be allowed a small margin of error but should not have that in our minds as anything can happen in football.
Alf Bentley Posted 16 March 2016 Posted 16 March 2016 Four wins and two draws will be enough Almost certainly, I reckon. To outdo that (77pts), Spurs would have to win 6 and draw 1 of their last 8. Not impossible, but highly unlikely as they have a few tough games. Their last match - Newcastle (A) - suddenly looks a lot harder than it did. Imagine if the Geordies need points to stay up on the last day, stadium rocking etc. That scenario is quite likely as, unless they reel in someone like Palace, they'll need to finish above both Norwich & Sunderland, one of whom (probably the Mackems) will pick up a decent points haul...& I suspect Rafa will keep them in contention.
weller54 Posted 16 March 2016 Posted 16 March 2016 Almost certainly, I reckon. To outdo that (77pts), Spurs would have to win 6 and draw 1 of their last 8. Not impossible, but highly unlikely as they have a few tough games. Their last match - Newcastle (A) - suddenly looks a lot harder than it did. Imagine if the Geordies need points to stay up on the last day, stadium rocking etc. That scenario is quite likely as, unless they reel in someone like Palace, they'll need to finish above both Norwich & Sunderland, one of whom (probably the Mackems) will pick up a decent points haul...& I suspect Rafa will keep them in contention. If that's the scenario then Spuds will fold like a cheap suit!
sylofox Posted 16 March 2016 Posted 16 March 2016 It's not the form of the last 8 months we need to worry about. Just the next 8 games is all that matters now.
Guest Posted 16 March 2016 Posted 16 March 2016 Both teams had a loss of form during a bit of a fixture congestion which means both should probably strengthen squads for next season in Europe. Spurs' came when they reached the latter rounds of the cups. LCFC Spurs *edit* just realized you wanted Spurs best form.. not too bad with wins over us and Man City but some easy ones in there too. thanks for the stats. makes me a little nervous but i noticed they include cup results as well. Hopefully our remaining 8 isn't that poor, and tottenham's isn't that good.
AjcW Posted 16 March 2016 Posted 16 March 2016 That Spurs win... it's starting to look more and more important, it really could just come down to that cheeky 1-0!!
AKCJ Posted 16 March 2016 Posted 16 March 2016 That Spurs win... it's starting to look more and more important, it really could just come down to that cheeky 1-0!! Not to mention Mahrez's late equaliser against them early on. Who would have thought that was a match between the two title favourites? Barmy season.
ThaiFox Posted 16 March 2016 Posted 16 March 2016 It's not the form of the last 8 months we need to worry about. Just the next 8 games is all that matters now. Exactly. Past form becomes irrelevant now. We already have those 63 points, but we don't yet have enough to win the title. All that matters is the next 8 matches. Who knows what will happen? We could win it with 8 draws, or lose it with 5 wins, although I think five wins and it's ours. Four wins and three draws should do it too. Whatever, if we don't win it I just hope it's not those spuds that win it. Palace will be very tough. I hope their cup run is in their heads because they need points and are on a dire league run.
inckley fox Posted 16 March 2016 Posted 16 March 2016 I expect Palace to be very aggressive. After our first game against them Pardew said he had a major bone to pick with Ranieri and that he'd 'remember this when Leicester come to our place'. So I expect his team talk to be all about proving a point, ruining the fairytale, teaching a side which looked a little nervy against Newcastle a lesson. And, of course, Palace isn't an easy atmosphere to walk into. If Leicester are even a tad pedestrian this game could be as pivotal a moment for this season as the Palace away debacle was last season. On the flip-side, Okazaki's goal and performance - coupled with the subdued displays of Mahrez and Vardy - may well lead to them focusing more on Kante and Okazaki than other sides, and opening the door to a better display from our two 'star men'. If we win, I think Mahrez and Vardy will, in an attacking sense, prove to be the key. In fact, if we're going to get the 4-6 wins out of 8 we will likely need to win the league, those two players are, at some point, going to have to recapture their peak form and this is the perfect moment for them to start. And, needless to say, Pardew may well feel he has a point to prove, but we don't know how driven his side are to prove it for him. He comes across as pretty obnoxious to me, speaking as a supporter of a different club who's never met the guy, and looking at his managerial history it seems likely that there's a streak within him which prevents him from commanding the respect of all of his own players. As for our form over eight, the title will be sealed in the 75-80 point range, possibly - looking at fixtures - in the 77-78 area. That number is more likely to drop if sides feel they're being left behind, and to go up if they feel they're in with a chance. If we up our performance levels and win the next two then I'm sure we'll see sides drop away. If we don't, the opposite could be the case, and the pressure becomes huge. If that's the case, I'd give ourselves a better chance if we were going into the final three fixtures a point adrift than I would if we were in the jump seat.
Guest Posted 16 March 2016 Posted 16 March 2016 Exactly. Past form becomes irrelevant now. We already have those 63 points, but we don't yet have enough to win the title. All that matters is the next 8 matches. Who knows what will happen? We could win it with 8 draws, or lose it with 5 wins, although I think five wins and it's ours. Four wins and three draws should do it too. Whatever, if we don't win it I just hope it's not those spuds that win it. Palace will be very tough. I hope their cup run is in their heads because they need points and are on a dire league run. no way is past form irrelevant, especially when we're talking within the same season. its very good basis for setting the parameters of reasonable expectation. Hypothetically anything is possible, and there are no absolutes in speculation, of course. But measuring the extremes of either team's consistency gives a better idea of what a possible 'worst case scenario' looks like.
ThaiFox Posted 17 March 2016 Posted 17 March 2016 no way is past form irrelevant, especially when we're talking within the same season. its very good basis for setting the parameters of reasonable expectation. Hypothetically anything is possible, and there are no absolutes in speculation, of course. But measuring the extremes of either team's consistency gives a better idea of what a possible 'worst case scenario' looks like. Was our past form at this point last season irrelevant? If it was we'd have been relegated! So much more comes into play towards the business end of any sport. Ask any player in any sport. Scoreboard pressure can destroy form, or can inspire form. We do not know how we, or any of out title rivals will cope. Ask Blackburn about their winning season, they all say the last few matches were much harder. Arsenal seem to collapse every season at the critical point.
Guest Posted 17 March 2016 Posted 17 March 2016 Was our past form at this point last season irrelevant? If it was we'd have been relegated! So much more comes into play towards the business end of any sport. Ask any player in any sport. Scoreboard pressure can destroy form, or can inspire form. We do not know how we, or any of out title rivals will cope. Ask Blackburn about their winning season, they all say the last few matches were much harder. Arsenal seem to collapse every season at the critical point. Nobody is suggesting that there aren't a number of different factors that come into play, some of which are indeed more important than prior form. I'm just .... you know what, it was a very simple question I was curious about, regarding something that is just one of several dozen useful indicators. But apparently it's really important first and foremost to understand that 'there are other things besides prior form that will ultimately decide future outcomes.' brilliant. point taken.
Hubert Posted 17 March 2016 Posted 17 March 2016 Our worst 8 game run this season has yielded 15 points. This has happened twice - the first 8 games (easy start, they'll drop off, haven't played anyone good etc) and Liverpool at Anfield through to Man City at the Etihad. There's some overlap with that last one - I.e our wins over Stoke, Liverpool and City at the end of that run are interchangeable with the wins over Swansea, Chelsea and Everton at the start. Worst eight game runs are matches 2-9 and 3-10 which both yielded 13 points (three wins, four draws) and included the Arsenal home defeat. We've had the following eight game runs this season... 2 x 13 points 9 x 15 points 7 x 17 points 2 x 19 points 2 x 20 points 1 x 22 points
Biggus Posted 18 March 2016 Posted 18 March 2016 Worst eight game runs are matches 2-9 and 3-10 which both yielded 13 points (three wins, four draws) and included the Arsenal home defeat. We've had the following eight game runs this season... 2 x 13 points 9 x 15 points 7 x 17 points 2 x 19 points 2 x 20 points 1 x 22 points That is my favourite stat of the season. 15 or 17 points should do it.
Guest ttfn Posted 18 March 2016 Posted 18 March 2016 Worst eight game runs are matches 2-9 and 3-10 which both yielded 13 points (three wins, four draws) and included the Arsenal home defeat. We've had the following eight game runs this season... 2 x 13 points 9 x 15 points 7 x 17 points 2 x 19 points 2 x 20 points 1 x 22 points You're right, #ntsg
Hubert Posted 19 March 2016 Posted 19 March 2016 Form over seven... Leicester City “seven game” form – season 2015/16 1 x 10 points 6 x 12 points 6 x 14 points 1 x 15 points 6 x 16 points 2 x 17 points 2 x 19 points Average points per seven games = 14.44
foxes_rule1978 Posted 20 March 2016 Posted 20 March 2016 Worst eight game runs are matches 2-9 and 3-10 which both yielded 13 points (three wins, four draws) and included the Arsenal home defeat. We've had the following eight game runs this season... 2 x 13 points 9 x 15 points 7 x 17 points 2 x 19 points 2 x 20 points 1 x 22 points Started off perfect today in what is the most important 8 games of this clubs history... 1 down 3 points sealed 7 to go ... for me 10 points from the last 7 will be enough for the title
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.