Guest MattP Posted 3 June 2017 Posted 3 June 2017 1 minute ago, LiberalFox said: Westminster voting intention: CON: 40% (-6) LAB: 39% (+5) LDEM: 8% (-) UKIP: 5% (+2) (via Survation / 03 Jun) Westminster voting intention: CON: 47% (+1) LAB: 35% (+1) LDEM: 8% (-) UKIP: 4% (-) GRN: 1% (-) (via ComRes / 31 May - 02 Jun) No one has a clue do they?
Sharpe's Fox Posted 3 June 2017 Posted 3 June 2017 5 minutes ago, LiberalFox said: Westminster voting intention: CON: 40% (-6) LAB: 39% (+5) LDEM: 8% (-) UKIP: 5% (+2) (via Survation / 03 Jun)
Sharpe's Fox Posted 3 June 2017 Posted 3 June 2017 8 minutes ago, LiberalFox said: Westminster voting intention: CON: 40% (-6) LAB: 39% (+5) LDEM: 8% (-) UKIP: 5% (+2) (via Survation / 03 Jun) SORRY LADS BUT YOUR BOYS TOOK ONE HELL OF A BEATING
LiberalFox Posted 3 June 2017 Posted 3 June 2017 2 minutes ago, MattP said: Westminster voting intention: CON: 47% (+1) LAB: 35% (+1) LDEM: 8% (-) UKIP: 4% (-) GRN: 1% (-) (via ComRes / 31 May - 02 Jun) No one has a clue do they? Seems like it. It doesn't feel like 47% of the country is about to vote Tory but it's unusual for polling not to overestimate the Labour vote so I have no idea.
leicsmac Posted 3 June 2017 Posted 3 June 2017 2 minutes ago, MattP said: Westminster voting intention: CON: 47% (+1) LAB: 35% (+1) LDEM: 8% (-) UKIP: 4% (-) GRN: 1% (-) (via ComRes / 31 May - 02 Jun) No one has a clue do they? 1 I know, right? It's like someone came down from outer space at the beginning of 2016 and did some kind of thing that made almost all pollsters have zero idea what the fvck they're doing. Hung parliament? 30-60 Tory majority? 100+ Tory majority? Does anyone have any idea?
Guest Posted 3 June 2017 Posted 3 June 2017 Last time everybody expected a hung parliament until 1 minute into the BBC election special when they presented their exit poll. This time nobody has a clue so I suspect the exit poll will be massive. At least it's interesting!
bovril Posted 3 June 2017 Posted 3 June 2017 3 minutes ago, Sharpe's Fox said: SORRY LADS BUT YOUR BOYS TOOK ONE HELL OF A BEATING Bet you a fiver they're all members of Peterborough CAMRA.
Guest MattP Posted 3 June 2017 Posted 3 June 2017 Is there genuinely one Labour supporter on here who believes they are polling at 40%?
Guest Posted 3 June 2017 Posted 3 June 2017 2 minutes ago, MattP said: Is there genuinely one Labour supporter on here who believes they are polling at 40%? It seems unlikely but who has a clue. 13 minutes ago, MattP said: Westminster voting intention: CON: 47% (+1) LAB: 35% (+1) LDEM: 8% (-) UKIP: 4% (-) GRN: 1% (-) (via ComRes / 31 May - 02 Jun) No one has a clue do they? Despite this, they also found that: How do these two polls make sense?!
Guest MattP Posted 3 June 2017 Posted 3 June 2017 Westminster voting intention: CON: 45% (+1) LAB: 36% (-2) LDEM: 8% (+1) UKIP: 4% (-1) (via ORB International / 31 May - 01 Jun)
Guest Posted 3 June 2017 Posted 3 June 2017 I don't know the exact figure but didn't the Tories have about a 6% lead in the last election? So potentially even if Labour get it down to a small % loss they might do enough to get a hung parliament. If it's hung then if the left wing parties have any sense the Tories will be out. Big if though, I realise. Anybody seen any figures on this sort of thing?
separator Posted 3 June 2017 Posted 3 June 2017 Well I voted Tory on my postal vote today for what its worth in Leicester West. Now to sit back and watch the political carnage unfold.
Strokes Posted 3 June 2017 Posted 3 June 2017 1 minute ago, toddybad said: I don't know the exact figure but didn't the Tories have about a 6% lead in the last election? So potentially even if Labour get it down to a small % loss they might do enough to get a hung parliament. If it's hung then if the left wing parties have any sense the Tories will be out. Big if though, I realise. Anybody seen any figures on this sort of thing? The boundary changes will have skewed that comparison though.
Guest Posted 3 June 2017 Posted 3 June 2017 Also, which polls are generally seen as the 'best'? Do any tend to give right/left leaning scores? It would be interesting to know.
Realist Guy In The Room Posted 3 June 2017 Posted 3 June 2017 Forget the polls now. With the frequency they're happening I doubt any of them at this stage will be particularly reliable.
Guest MattP Posted 3 June 2017 Posted 3 June 2017 Westminster voting intention: CON: 45% (-) LAB: 34% (+1) LDEM: 9% (+1) UKIP: 5% (-) GRN: 3% (-) (via @ICM Research) I think I know the result of this election.
The Floyd Posted 3 June 2017 Posted 3 June 2017 Despite their own best efforts and Labour's poll surge, I'd be very surprised to see anything other than a comfortable Tory majority next week. The turnout will be interesting though.
LiberalFox Posted 3 June 2017 Posted 3 June 2017 I feel like I'm watching the Eurovision song contest and the song I thought was the most sh*t keeps getting 12 points. Think that yougov poll had to show a Labour lead. Westminster voting intention: CON: 42% (-) LAB: 38% (-1) LDEM: 9% (+2) UKIP: 4% (-) (via Yougov / 01 - 02 Jun)
Guest Dirkster the Fox Posted 3 June 2017 Posted 3 June 2017 10 hours ago, Buce said: Which proves that there is an exception to every rule. Love it. Well done Buce. Indeed good old Sir Winston nailed it referring to the vast majority, but maybe I'm the exception and without a brain ?
Guest Posted 3 June 2017 Posted 3 June 2017 Think with the leader debates done you have to expect things to settle down. This means a decent Tory majority. TBH I'll be gutted and fully expect economic ruin and the collapse of public services in the next 3 years. I'm not joking either
LiberalFox Posted 3 June 2017 Posted 3 June 2017 Just hoping Corbyn goes, it's the perfect time. Also Lord Ashcroft is suggesting a conservative majority of 60, last time it was 140.
Nick Posted 3 June 2017 Posted 3 June 2017 2 hours ago, Dirkster the Fox said: Swan Lesta First Team 5,635 posts More posts than me you internet warrior.... Err. Yeah.
Guest Posted 3 June 2017 Posted 3 June 2017 Just have to hope for a high youth turnout and for mums (polls shows significantly favour Labour because of the state of education) to turn up in force. We can't seriously vote in a party with absolutely no ideas whatsoever.
Alf Bentley Posted 3 June 2017 Posted 3 June 2017 1 hour ago, Strokes said: The boundary changes will have skewed that comparison though. Boundary changes haven't been implemented yet, so same boundaries as 2015, I think.
Strokes Posted 3 June 2017 Posted 3 June 2017 1 minute ago, Alf Bentley said: Boundary changes haven't been implemented yet, so same boundaries as 2015, I think. Ah ok, I thought I'd read they were for the next election. Before this was announced. I probably should have checked
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