The Occasional 2023-24 Math Thread

[lnkstern]

26 minutes ago, Aus Fox said:

@lnkstern some phenomenal maths here mate. 👏 

Many doubted the 93, 4 teams will get 100!

93 proved to be the magic number and we’re going up!

 

Like all the financial adverts -- "Past performance is no guarantee of future results."  But, often there isn't much else to go on!

 

I am now quite curious what points the 3rd-place team ends up on.  Might even end up being 93... 

 

[Nalis]

On 23/04/2024 at 22:19, Nalis said:

THE RUN IN

 

Update after Cov v Hull

 

1. Leicester P 44 GD 47 Pts 94

2. Leeds P44 GD 43 Pts 90

3. Ipswich P43 GD 32 Pts 89

 

RUN-IN SEQUENCE (league position of opponent / what they are likely to be playing for

 

1) Fri 26th April

20:00 QPR (19th / outside chance of relegation) v Leeds

 

Sat 27th
20:00 Hull (7th / outside chance of playoffs) v Ipswich

 

Mon 29th
20:00 PNE (10th / nothing) v Leicester

 

2) Tues 30th
20:00 Coventry (8th / almost definitely nothing) v Ipswich

 

3) Sat 4th May
12.30 Ipswich v Huddersfield (22nd / relegation battle)

12.30 Leeds v Southampton (4th / nothing)

12.30 Leicester v Blackburn (19th / outside chance of relegation)

Update after QPR Leeds

 

WE ARE GOING UP!!!!

[FrankieADZ]

what do we need now to win the title?

[ChrisWalken456]

1 minute ago, FrankieADZ said:

what do we need now to win the title?

4 points if Ipswich win all their games.

[Foxmeister]

3 minutes ago, FrankieADZ said:

what do we need now to win the title?

A total of 5 points that we gain or Ipswich drop, probably 4 with the goal difference.

[Spudulike]

So, 94 was the magic number.

[coolhandfox]

On 21/04/2024 at 17:43, lnkstern said:

As of today (Sunday, 21 Apr 24), the top four Championship teams have all played 43 matches.  After a couple of disappointing losses, Leicester won their most recent.

 

Status:  91 of 93 points required for automatic promotion. 

 

Current points rate is 2.12/match.  0.33 points/match required for the rest of the season (2 points from 3 matches).

 

We are in first place and have a 4-point gap over third place (Leeds).

 

We have 97.8% of the required points for automatic promotion after 93.5% of the season.

 

 

P.S.  I acknowledge 93 points may not be sufficient.  We shall see.  I am not changing the target point total until it is demonstrably incorrect.

To be fair it was about spot on. 

[Jattdogg]

1 hour ago, coolhandfox said:

To be fair it was about spot on. 

Your stats don't lie.

[lnkstern]

3 hours ago, coolhandfox said:

To be fair it was about spot on. 

 

It is still possible for Leeds and/or Ipswich to end up with 93 points and still not get one of the automatic promotion slots.  If that happens, the new points target for the autos will be 94.

[Foxmeister]

A win on Saturday will make Blackburn the 13th team we have done the double over this season, could this be a record?

[Torten]

6 hours ago, Foxmeister said:

A win on Saturday will make Blackburn the 13th team we have done the double over this season, could this be a record?

Certainly more than we managed 10 years ago which was 10 if I've calculated it right.

[Foxmeister]

5 hours ago, Torten said:

Certainly more than we managed 10 years ago which was 10 if I've calculated it right.

Obviously the most possible with 32 wins is 16 and we'll be only 1 short of the all time wins record across all 4 leagues but, I would imagine unusually, we've failed to beat 4 teams at all.