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filbertway

Betting Thread

By filbertway, in General Football and Sport

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Dan

Dan

Posted
Posted

Norwich or draw at home to Liverpool in the early kick off is 5/6. Having that. That's got Liverpool bottlejob written all over it.

 

I don't even know what to say anymore.

Guest Col city fan

Guest Col city fan

Posted
Posted

I don't even know what to say anymore.

Do you use cash out, Dan?

How the game went yesterday, it looked like there'd be more goals. I think I'd have gotten out at 3-1 up.

Fox92

Fox92

Posted
Posted

Had saints, watford, spurs 20/1 nice

 

Wish I had the bottle to put Southampton on. I always talk myself out of betting against the big clubs even though I knew Southampton would get something at Old Trafford yesterday.

Unabomber

Unabomber

Posted
Posted

Wish I had the bottle to put Southampton on. I always talk myself out of betting against the big clubs even though I knew Southampton would get something at Old Trafford yesterday.

Yeah it was one that I added to my betslip saw the odds so knew I had to do or otherwise I would've been kicking myself. Only had a fiver on though.

Strokes

Strokes

Posted
Posted

Do you use cash out, Dan?

How the game went yesterday, it looked like there'd be more goals. I think I'd have gotten out at 3-1 up.

He only had a minute or so before they clawed one back, so he would have needed to be quick.
maddog

maddog

Posted
Posted

Burnley to win - 7.60 profit.

Both teams to score - 2 profit

Gray to score - 4.50 profit

Ince to score - 2.50 loss.

Continuing nearly all small bets and incremental gains. Up 300 ish for the season now.

ScouseFox

ScouseFox

Posted
Posted

does anyone with more knowledge than me wanna explain cheltenham's price tonight to me? 21/10 (and drifting, massively, was about 6/4 this morning) at home against a team from a league below? 

 

cheltenham's form in their last 21 games is;

 

13 wins, 8 draws and 1 defeat, which was to a team from a higher division in the FA cup. their home form shows 6 wins in their last 7, drawing the other. 

 

oxford city, their opponents, are 27 league places lower and have form of 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat. but are even money favourites to go to cheltenham, top of the league above, and win?

 

has the whole cheltenham team died? or is this the most ridiculous price that anyone has ever given on anything? 

HowardsBulletHeader

HowardsBulletHeader

Posted
Posted (edited)

does anyone with more knowledge than me wanna explain cheltenham's price tonight to me? 21/10 (and drifting, massively, was about 6/4 this morning) at home against a team from a league below?

cheltenham's form in their last 21 games is;

13 wins, 8 draws and 1 defeat, which was to a team from a higher division in the FA cup. their home form shows 6 wins in their last 7, drawing the other.

oxford city, their opponents, are 27 league places lower and have form of 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat. but are even money favourites to go to cheltenham, top of the league above, and win?

has the whole cheltenham team died? or is this the most ridiculous price that anyone has ever given on anything?

I've just read an article about this:

Cheltenham are playing "second year scholars" in their game against Oxford City. They are playing up to 8 to see if they earn professional contracts. In the first game against Oxford, 5 started and two more came from the bench.

http://www.gloucestershireecho.co.uk/Cheltenham-Town-NEWS-VIDEO-Opportunity-knocks/story-28599286-detail/story.html

Edited by HowardsBulletHeader
ScouseFox

ScouseFox

Posted
Posted

I've just read an article about this:

Cheltenham are playing "second year scholars" in their game against Oxford City. They are playing up to 8 to see if they earn professional contracts. In the first game against Oxford, 5 started and two more came from the bench.

http://www.gloucestershireecho.co.uk/Cheltenham-Town-NEWS-VIDEO-Opportunity-knocks/story-28599286-detail/story.html

 

haha wtf is a second year scholar and why play them now. 

 

also if they managed a draw away with loads of them in then i can't see why they'd be such a big price at home. 

 

but yeah, swerve that. interesting though. 

HowardsBulletHeader

HowardsBulletHeader

Posted
Posted

haha wtf is a second year scholar and why play them now.

also if they managed a draw away with loads of them in then i can't see why they'd be such a big price at home.

but yeah, swerve that. interesting though.

When I saw your write up I was fuming because I had literally just put my bet on for tonight and didn't spot the FA Trophy games...

A quick Google made me feel a little better though. Could still be worth a little punt, like you say 2-2 in the first game and the rest will be first team players you would imagine.

filbertway

filbertway

Posted
  • Author
Posted

Well, I backed 12 seperate games tonight on various bets. 8 ended 0-0 and 4 ended 1-0. Is football getting more boring or was it just one of those nights?

whoareyaaa

whoareyaaa

Posted
Posted (edited)

Another one just let me down had Leyton, Burton, Forest green, Woking (woking lost)

 

I think im just going to stick to singles now no matter what the return is.

 

Had Stoke @ 19/4 - win

Stoke to win either half @ 7/4 - win

Barnsley to win @ 21/10 - win

Burton to win @ 9/4 - win

Sheff Utd to win - loss

BTTS in Morcombe game @ 8/11 - won

Leyon Orient 8/11 - won

Forest Green 7/5 - won

Woking - loss.

Forest or draw @ 2/7- win

 

so 2 out of 10 losses 8 wins, the 2 losses ****ed all those bets... wheres if I bet singles only I would of won 8 out 2 leading to a nice profit with that value.

Edited by whoareyaaa
foxinexile

foxinexile

Posted
Posted

 

so 2 out of 10 losses 8 wins, the 2 losses ****ed all those bets... wheres if I bet singles only I would of won 8 out 2 leading to a nice profit with that value.

 

I think singles are really the only way forward to try and make a profit long-term from betting. It can be difficult enough to predict one winner in a football match/horse race etc. and to then find a bet that wins and is value (outside the bookie's over-round) is even more difficult. To do that with accumulators long-term is nigh on impossible! That's why they're a dream for bookmakers. The more bets you add to an accumulator the more you're compounding their over-round. With singles you obviously won't get big wins as you might occasionally get with accumulators but long-term you're more likely to make a profit. If you're able to keep a record of your bets too (total amount staked, profit/loss, yield etc) you'll be able to see the difference. It's a bit time consuming to keep a record and not the most interesting past time to have, but I think it really helps you to look at your betting in a different light. Obviously if it's just a bit of fun and nothing too serious, accumulators can probably make it a little more entertaining!

HowardsBulletHeader

HowardsBulletHeader

Posted
Posted

I think singles are really the only way forward to try and make a profit long-term from betting. It can be difficult enough to predict one winner in a football match/horse race etc. and to then find a bet that wins and is value (outside the bookie's over-round) is even more difficult. To do that with accumulators long-term is nigh on impossible! That's why they're a dream for bookmakers. The more bets you add to an accumulator the more you're compounding their over-round. With singles you obviously won't get big wins as you might occasionally get with accumulators but long-term you're more likely to make a profit. If you're able to keep a record of your bets too (total amount staked, profit/loss, yield etc) you'll be able to see the difference. It's a bit time consuming to keep a record and not the most interesting past time to have, but I think it really helps you to look at your betting in a different light. Obviously if it's just a bit of fun and nothing too serious, accumulators can probably make it a little more entertaining!

I think your last bit highlights it for me- it's entertainment for me. I put my acca on because I'm not willing to put a large enough stake down on a few singles and because winning a single doesn't give me the same buzz that an acca win does.

If I'm close and I've got £100+ to come if my acca holds out, I'm excited.

If my single is close near full time and I'm set to win £6.25, I couldn't really care less.

whoareyaaa

whoareyaaa

Posted
Posted

I think singles are really the only way forward to try and make a profit long-term from betting. It can be difficult enough to predict one winner in a football match/horse race etc. and to then find a bet that wins and is value (outside the bookie's over-round) is even more difficult. To do that with accumulators long-term is nigh on impossible! That's why they're a dream for bookmakers. The more bets you add to an accumulator the more you're compounding their over-round. With singles you obviously won't get big wins as you might occasionally get with accumulators but long-term you're more likely to make a profit. If you're able to keep a record of your bets too (total amount staked, profit/loss, yield etc) you'll be able to see the difference. It's a bit time consuming to keep a record and not the most interesting past time to have, but I think it really helps you to look at your betting in a different light. Obviously if it's just a bit of fun and nothing too serious, accumulators can probably make it a little more entertaining!

 

thanks for the input I think you are right in what your saying, the only way to start betting singles for me is with a large enough balance at the start i.e £500 as I do enjoy the entertainment value but obviously I'm betting to make a profit.

duk3nuk3m

duk3nuk3m

Posted
Posted

NEC to beat FC Twente @ 21/20 looks like value tonight.

 

NEC are unbeaten at home since August last year, losing 2-0 to league leaders Ajax. Twente haven't won away in the Eredivisie since May!

 

DNB or double chance looks like an absolute banker.

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