cc_star Posted 27 April 2015 Posted 27 April 2015 Haven't Sunderland already beat Chelsea this season. Chelsea have nothing to play for, Sunderland everything. We cannot rely on Chelsea beating Sunderland on the final day. Beating them is key. We could really do with a better result than Hull, because it's safer to have two teams under us than one. Sunderland are experts at scraping by & doing the bare minimum, they've done it on many occasions
cc_star Posted 27 April 2015 Posted 27 April 2015 Hmm. I still think people are overestimating our chances a teeny bit. We will probably lose on Wednesday. Then Sunderland will be a point behind us with a game in hand. Every team down there has the potential to go on a run like ours. We've come from so far behind, Sunderland or Hull know they only need two wins in a row and they'll be out of it. Burnley and QPR are gonnas I reckon, but it's still 50/50 if we finish above one other club. that's where I am
yorkie1999 Posted 27 April 2015 Posted 27 April 2015 Draw against chelsea and 4 wins = 13 points. 13th in the league nailed on.
Guest kristianity77 Posted 27 April 2015 Posted 27 April 2015 Do you really believe that? With the run ins some of them have along with the fact that they're crap.... Surely it's 50/50 we finish above Sunderland, 50/50 we finish above Hull and 50/50 we finish above Villa, which all adds up to a quite good chance to finish above one of them. I agree with this, your right. It is more or less 50/50 to finish above Sunderland, 50/50 Hull, perhaps not Villa however. But even still, going by two lots of 50/50, means our chances are around 75% to stay up then in that case.
bovril Posted 27 April 2015 Posted 27 April 2015 Quite a lot of pseudo maths on this thread. We have to get more points in the last five games than the teams currently below us.
midland_red Posted 27 April 2015 Posted 27 April 2015 Still 50-50 for me. Enemy teams might do better than expected while we could drop silly points....
Julian Joachim Jr Shabadoo Posted 27 April 2015 Posted 27 April 2015 Voted "quite good" again, refuse to put the "near 100%" until it was only an absolutely outrageous scenario that would still allow us relegation (i.e. final day, we'd need to lose by 10 goals and have other results go against us) - at the moment we are in a great position to see out the season but it's still possible that we could drop off again Having said that though, I wouldn't be surprised if 1 more win was enough - Hull have a really nasty run in, and QPR and Burnley are going to have to really pick up steam to overtake us, both with 1 game less to play. And Sunderland are awful.
Mayofox Posted 27 April 2015 Posted 27 April 2015 Quite a lot of pseudo maths on this thread. We have to get more points in the last five games than the teams currently below us. Here's some more. If Liverpool can beat Hull by 2 (or more) goals tomorrow, we'll be 16th.
Renart Posted 27 April 2015 Author Posted 27 April 2015 Stand by my 100% still. I love your positive attitude!
NotTheMarketLeader Posted 27 April 2015 Posted 27 April 2015 Haven't Sunderland already beat Chelsea this season. Chelsea have nothing to play for, Sunderland everything. We cannot rely on Chelsea beating Sunderland on the final day. Beating them is key. We could really do with a better result than Hull, because it's safer to have two teams under us than one. Sunderland are experts at scraping by & doing the bare minimum, they've done it on many occasions This. I think 38 may be required - 2 wins and a draw. If one of the wins is Sunderland all the better. All we need to do is do better than them between now and the end of the season. Losing to them would put a massive hole in that possibility. It's difficult to go away with 40,000 fans against you and win on the PL. It's also not beyond the bounds of probability that, as others have said, our form dips (we did not play well Saturday imo) or one of the others string some wins together. For me still 50/50. And don't be fooled by people saying the betting markets suggest this that or the other - like that's an scientifically accurate barometer. That's based on a majority of opinion. The majority do not get these things correct - they generally lose money betting as we all should know.
Leicesterpool Posted 27 April 2015 Posted 27 April 2015 Got to be 50/50, people should remember we're only one point from the relegation zone.
Crinklyfox Posted 27 April 2015 Posted 27 April 2015 Better than it was four matches ago, we're not out of the woods yet but we're in with a good chance now. I still think we need 37 points but I also think that we can get them.
Benji Posted 27 April 2015 Posted 27 April 2015 Is it possible to make it so we can see who votes what? I'm interested in the jumpers to 0% if we lose on Wednesday.
DANGEROUS TIGER Posted 27 April 2015 Posted 27 April 2015 I reckon 50/50 now. If Chelsea stuff us, that could really dent our confidence, so we do need to put up a good show, even if we do lose.
Monsell1976 Posted 27 April 2015 Posted 27 April 2015 Predicting results, who's got the best run in means nothing. We have got ourselfs in a good position, I don't know how, after the results this season, but we have. But we have to be mindful of our form before the last four games, and just hope we can get the two wins we need, as 31 points isn't safe. It's been a strange season at the bottom end, we might not win enough games, those below us could go on suprising runs, Newcastle might not get another point and go down. So many unexpected things have happened already, so there could still be so many twists and turns yet. We get another 6 points, and we are safe, fingers crossed.
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