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Matt

Cheltenham Festival 2012

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Posted

Thehillofuisneach in the 2nd - can stay all day at a decent cruising speed. 6 lto surprised me, but his form before that reads a lot better. Gergahty on board and Jonjo O'Neill has a good strikerate in Festival Handicaps.

Niceonefrankie in the 5th - Viennitta Williams is yet to have a winner this week, despite her horses having been in red hot form running up to festival. This is one that has been performing admirably in its last few starts and could still be well handicapped - definitely in with a shout in this ace.

And in the 1st, small each way on Red Tanber I expect. It'll be a 100-1 or more, as despite a load of 1's in the form line, they have all been obtained in lowly class 4's. However, I will take the view that winning is a habit and that this horse may well be able to keep in the grove despite the increased class In opposition - you never know! That said Peddlars Cross should be hard to beat.

Posted

Who is getyourtips out backing today?

I can't fault the lad for yesterday seeing as I know **** all about horses he got me to within 1 place of a win. Should have stuck with Flair's tip of Call The Police which I'd originally selected as well.

Posted

Decided to go Each Way on some good runners

13:30- Solix (any money won i'll run onto Oscar)

14:05 Catch me

16:00 Notus de la tour

16:40 Midnight appeal

Really hoping to win some big money today picked 5 out of 7 each way yesterday but foolishly let it run on a dud. Everything crossed for today

Posted

Pinning my hopes on GYTO again with:

Race 1 - Sir Des Champs,

Race 2 - Sergent Guib's,

Race 3 - Riverside Theat',

Race 4 - Oscar Whisky,

Race 5 - Notus De La Tour,

Race 6 - Midnight Appeal

Posted

Pinning my hopes on GYTO again with:

Race 1 - Sir Des Champs,

Race 2 - Sergent Guib's,

Race 3 - Riverside Theat',

Race 4 - Oscar Whisky,

Race 5 - Notus De La Tour,

Race 6 - Midnight Appeal

Same I just put £30 on the 4 he posted for the lucky 15.

Never bet this big before. Better come in!

He's been right most of the time so fingers crossed

Posted

Gurtacrue @ 18/1 EW @ 1/4 1-4

15 Mar 2012 - 4:00 Cheltenham - Win

Giorgio Quercus @ 20/1 EW @ 1/4 1-4

15 Mar 2012 - 3:20 Cheltenham - Win

Voler La Vedette @ 18/1 EW @ 1/4 1-3

15 Mar 2012 - 2:05 Cheltenham - Win

Restless Harry @ 25/1 EW @ 1/4 1-4

15 Mar 2012 - 1:30 Cheltenham - Win

Sir Des Champs @ 4/1 EW @ 1/4 1-3

I fancy a few large price each way selections today so I've done a lucky 31. With regards to the Byrne Group Plate (4:00) Nice One Frankie is also strongly fancied and I've had an ew single on it.

Posted

Big bet on Big Buck's? Tempted.

I'd avoid it Listening to the people down there quite a bit of money is being moved off big bucks just as Paddy Power and Sky bet are bigging him up... can see an upset, My friend dropped 100 on Hurricane fly and i think anyone can learn a lesson from that. Theres never a banker in horses

Posted

Big bet on Big Buck's? Tempted.

it is tempting but seeing the likes of grand crus and hurricane fly this week i am staying away from it!

Posted

Yeah I don't normally do big stupid bets done one in the past and it lost, and followed the favourites this week and lost, am slightly tempted still, gonna consider it.

Posted

Yeah I don't normally do big stupid bets done one in the past and it lost, and followed the favourites this week and lost, am slightly tempted still, gonna consider it.

Remember your life lesson from yesterday, young Matthew - go with your instinct!!!

Posted

Stat attack. Malcolm Boyles placepot analysis on sportinglife is good for a quick reference of stats.

2:05: Seven of the last eight winners of the Pertemps Final have carried weights of 10-9 or less, as have 23 of the 32 horses to have claimed win and place positions since 2003. Just one five-year-old winner has emerged during the 37 renewals of this event.

The last eight renewals of this event have proved to be a bookmaker's bonanza with all eight favourites being beaten with just one market leader finishing in the frame, which from an each way perspective in a fiercely competitive hurdle event, is particularly important for the layers. Going back further in time, it's worth noting that just one favourite has prevailed in the last 15 years.

3:20:

Fate of favourites: 19 market leaders-7 winners-5 places-7 unplaced

First three in betting: 51 representatives-12 winners-18 placed-21 unplaced Last nine years: 9 winners-12 placed-9 unplaced

4:00

Although eight-year-olds have 'only' won four of the last 13 renewals, win and place investors should consider that vintage representatives have secured 21 of the 41 available place positions during the study period.

Horses carrying 11-2 or more have claimed just three victories and seven place positions, leaving horses lower down the handicap to run riot.

The last favourite to win this race was Majadou for Martin Pipe and Tony McCoy back in 1999

4:40

Nine-year-olds have long since held sway in this event and with eight of the last 13 renewals having been secured by vintage representatives, the trend shows no signs of stopping. Nine-year-olds have claimed 19 of the last 44 available win and place positions

11 of the last 14 contests have been secured by horses carrying 10-13 or more as have 30 of the 43 available toteplacepot positions.

Three favourites have won during the last decade, whilst the other winners were sent off at odds ranging between 9/1 and 40/1. Six of the eleven market leaders finished in the frame during the period.

Posted

Another great start. Had a few quid on Sir Des Champs to win, and Champion Court to place. £25 returns :).

GYTO is on fire...

Sir Des Champs in my Yankee!

Posted

Stats were correct (ish) with that race.

Seven of the last eight winners of the Pertemps Final have carried weights of 10-9 or less, as have 23 of the 32 horses to have claimed win and place positions since 2003. Just one five-year-old winner has emerged during the 37 renewals of this event.

Apart from the winner (10-11) the others in the first 5 were weighted at 10-9 or less.

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