BlueSi13 Posted 7 May 2015 Posted 7 May 2015 ****ing nora...the blows everything that was predicted out of the water!!! If that is correct the Labour vote has well and truly collapsed!!
johnny the fox Posted 7 May 2015 Posted 7 May 2015 This is great.. Im off out to kick some homeless fooker in celebration....pass the champers!
Guest Bilo Posted 7 May 2015 Posted 7 May 2015 This could easily be the most inaccurate exit poll since 1992 - Tory campaign has failed to capture the imagination as shown by the opinion polls, and there is surely no way the Lib Dems' vote could have collapsed to that extent. It's especially interesting considering the Ashcroft poll earlier today had a slight Labour increase. I'd be very surprised if Parliament looked like that tomorrow morning.
Guest MattP Posted 7 May 2015 Posted 7 May 2015 This could easily be the most inaccurate exit poll since 1992 - Tory campaign has failed to capture the imagination as shown by the opinion polls, and there is surely no way the Lib Dems' vote could have collapsed to that extent. It's especially interesting considering the Ashcroft poll earlier today had a slight Labour increase. I'd be very surprised if Parliament looked like that tomorrow morning. Shy Tories mate....
Guest Bilo Posted 7 May 2015 Posted 7 May 2015 Bye Ed Chuka Umunna or Andy Burnham surely if so? Even Sturgeon doubting this exit poll now, bit too much of a Tory wet dream!
Jon the Hat Posted 7 May 2015 Author Posted 7 May 2015 This could easily be the most inaccurate exit poll since 1992 - Tory campaign has failed to capture the imagination as shown by the opinion polls, and there is surely no way the Lib Dems' vote could have collapsed to that extent. It's especially interesting considering the Ashcroft poll earlier today had a slight Labour increase. I'd be very surprised if Parliament looked like that tomorrow morning. The exit poll was 100% correct last time out, no reason to think it will be materially wrong this time. I do expect that the Lib Dems will look better than that, and Tories probably worse, but we will have another coalition by the looks of it.
bovril Posted 7 May 2015 Posted 7 May 2015 In the words of Barry Davies, "interesting... very interesting". It was the Scottish Sun wot won it?
Jon the Hat Posted 7 May 2015 Author Posted 7 May 2015 316 seats would be amazing for the Tories A few defections and they would be there!
Guest Bilo Posted 7 May 2015 Posted 7 May 2015 The exit poll was 100% correct last time out, no reason to think it will be materially wrong this time. The opinion polls have been nuts all the way through - we've all been saying that this is the most unpredictable election in decades. The 2010 exit poll was unusual in its accuracy, 1992 was spectacularly and infamously wrong in particular. The thought of SNP getting 58 out of 59 seats in Scotland and the Lib Dems losing nigh on 50 seats? It'd be one of the biggest shocks in British political history.
Guest MattP Posted 7 May 2015 Posted 7 May 2015 Is anyone hearing Harriet Harman here? lol Prime Minister odds David Cameron 1/8 Ed Miliband 5/1
Guest ttfn Posted 7 May 2015 Posted 7 May 2015 Is anyone hearing Harriet Harman here? lol She's mental. Milliband would have no moral right to even attempt to form a government with 239 seats. His head would surely be on the block.
Guest ttfn Posted 7 May 2015 Posted 7 May 2015 Is anyone hearing Harriet Harman here? lol Prime Minister odds David Cameron 1/8 Ed Miliband 5/1 Miliband was 8/13 a week ago
Guest MattP Posted 7 May 2015 Posted 7 May 2015 The opinion polls have been nuts all the way through - we've all been saying that this is the most unpredictable election in decades. The 2010 exit poll was unusual in its accuracy, 1992 was spectacularly and infamously wrong in particular. The thought of SNP getting 58 out of 59 seats in Scotland and the Lib Dems losing nigh on 50 seats? It'd be one of the biggest shocks in British political history. That's not really much of a shock, numerous polls have put them on course to wipe out Labour.
MiniFox Posted 7 May 2015 Posted 7 May 2015 YouGov Exit Poll CON 284 LAB 263 LD 31 SNP 48 UKIP 2 PLAID 3 GREEN 1 Seems a lot closer to all the other polls up to this point.
separator Posted 7 May 2015 Posted 7 May 2015 My £20 on Cameron @ 5/6 for next PM yesterday looking decent already,
Guest Bilo Posted 7 May 2015 Posted 7 May 2015 Pretty much everyone casting doubt on this exit poll - BBC could end up looking a bit daft here.
Bryn Posted 7 May 2015 Posted 7 May 2015 Pretty much everyone casting doubt on this exit poll - BBC could end up looking a bit daft here. Same company did the poll for BBC, ITV and Sky fyi. But since everyone watches BBC you're probs right.
Jon the Hat Posted 7 May 2015 Author Posted 7 May 2015 YouGov is not an exit poll, it is an online one. Pretty much everyone casting doubt on this exit poll - BBC could end up looking a bit daft here. Keep dreaming.
Guest MattP Posted 7 May 2015 Posted 7 May 2015 Pretty much everyone casting doubt on this exit poll - BBC could end up looking a bit daft here. This is ten times the sample of anything yougov does and it's based on the marginal seats that can go either way. It should be far more accurate.
Stevosevic Posted 7 May 2015 Posted 7 May 2015 YouGov@YouGov YouGov has not done an exit poll. A re-contact survey today simply gave us no reason to change our final numbers from yesterday.
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