Guest MattP Posted 7 May 2015 Posted 7 May 2015 Sky studio very upbeat. BBC studio like a morgue. Can't wait for 'Token Tory' Andrew Neil to come on, he'll be beaming.
Strokes Posted 7 May 2015 Posted 7 May 2015 Now I wanna stay up all night.......got to work tomorrow though
Guest Bilo Posted 7 May 2015 Posted 7 May 2015 YouGov is not an exit poll, it is an online one. Keep dreaming. No way is this exit poll right, pretty much everyone has called bullshit on it so far. Even Sturgeon, one of the main beneficiaries, is playing it down.
Benguin Posted 7 May 2015 Posted 7 May 2015 I think there's far more drama to come. Can't see that exit poll being accurate.
The Doctor Posted 7 May 2015 Posted 7 May 2015 Anyone watching daves coverage of it - documentary of Al Murray vs Farage. Pretty funny.
Guest Bilo Posted 7 May 2015 Posted 7 May 2015 I think there's going to be some very disappointed Tories. Exit polls have been thrown completely of late. http://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/generalelection/exit-poll-what-is-it-and-how-accurate-has-it-been-in-the-past-10233667.html EDIT: This looks like of a hell of a shout from the Independent now. This election could see a repeat of 1992 as the rise of smaller parties make it much more complicated to predict how some of the most marginal constituencies will swing.
Vacamion Posted 7 May 2015 Posted 7 May 2015 The exit poll for SNP 58 seats is wrong. Yessers are shouty/zealots. Their actions upon leaving polling stations will be loud and proud. Those who voted for Unionist parties are more likely to tell pollsters 'mind your own business'. I predict mid to high 40s for SNP. The union is still jiggered, though....
BlueSi13 Posted 7 May 2015 Posted 7 May 2015 To be fair, Labour haven't come close to beating the Conservatives in any of the polls. Even if the YouGov poll was accurate, the Conservatives have beaten them by 21 seats! Ed Miliband has had a fine election campaign, but there is no chance Labour can claim the right to rule the country for the next five years if this is accurate.
Stevosevic Posted 7 May 2015 Posted 7 May 2015 Not sure about that exit poll but i think it's safe to say Cameron got the most seats.
MooseBreath Posted 7 May 2015 Posted 7 May 2015 Bilo desperately denying the exit poll The BBC struggling not to describe it as a disaster Got to do a half hour presentation at 9am so could really do with a good night's sleep but seeing the tory majority dream become reality feels too good to miss.
Guest Bilo Posted 7 May 2015 Posted 7 May 2015 Sunderland South coming up..... Tories behind UKIP is a surprise there. Bilo desperately denying the exit poll The BBC struggling not to describe it as a disaster Got to do a half hour presentation at 9am so could really do with a good night's sleep but seeing the tory majority dream become reality feels too good to miss. It's not just me denying it, stop wanking for a second and you'll realise pretty much everybody on the BBC is!
foxoffderby Posted 7 May 2015 Posted 7 May 2015 Quite impressed with channel 4 coverage. Would normally watch Sky News
Guest MattP Posted 7 May 2015 Posted 7 May 2015 Sunderland South coming up..... Tories behind UKIP is a surprise there. Wasn't, UKIP were faves to come 2nd. http://www.betonpolitics.co.uk/constituency/houghton-and-sunderland-south-odds/ 7% swing from Labour to UKIP is interesting, UKIP could be holding 18% if that is repeated across the board.
MooseBreath Posted 7 May 2015 Posted 7 May 2015 Sunderland South coming up..... Tories behind UKIP is a surprise there. It's not just me denying it, stop wanking for a second and you'll realise pretty much everybody on the BBC is! The BBC are panicking. As I said they're reporting this like it's a national disaster. If this is a repeat of 92 then a tory majority is guaranteed. Has there ever been an exit poll where labour have done much better in reality?
SMX11 Posted 7 May 2015 Posted 7 May 2015 I think UKIP will come second in a lot of the northern seats. Tories are toxic in most of those areas.
Guest Bilo Posted 7 May 2015 Posted 7 May 2015 Wasn't, UKIP were faves to come 2nd. http://www.betonpolitics.co.uk/constituency/houghton-and-sunderland-south-odds/ 7% swing from Labour to UKIP is interesting, UKIP could be holding 18% if that is repeated across the board. They'll be the great unknown of this election. UKIP will nick seats from the Tories, SNP are never getting 58 seats and the Lib Dems are never losing 50 seats. This is clearly what was meant in that Indy article, the formerly minor parties are going to nause up the opinion/exit polls.
Guest Bilo Posted 7 May 2015 Posted 7 May 2015 The BBC are panicking. As I said they're reporting this like it's a national disaster. If this is a repeat of 92 then a tory majority is guaranteed. Has there ever been an exit poll where labour have done much better in reality? I think the unknowns that'll come out will be the overestimation of the SNP vote and the underestimation of the Lib Dem and UKIP votes south of the border. Don't get me wrong, it'll be a shit night for Labour in Scotland. That was always obvious, but 58 seats is something even the SNP themselves are scoffing at.
Guest MattP Posted 7 May 2015 Posted 7 May 2015 Oh my god. If Ed Balls has actually lost his seat I am actually going to start jelqing.
Guest Bilo Posted 7 May 2015 Posted 7 May 2015 I wouldn't be disappointed if Balls was gone - he's pretty much an electoral liability.
Guest MattP Posted 7 May 2015 Posted 7 May 2015 The Tory strategy of hammering the Lib Dem seats could be an absolute masterstroke.
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