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davieG

Do you need 40 points to stay up?

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Posted
4 hours ago, TJB-fox said:

I'd take staying up and getting through to knockout stages of CL tbh, even if we go out to sevilla. Could've done far better this year  domestically (league and cups) but this was always going to be a tough season.

Agreed ? 

Posted

The important difference is the spread. This year although the points average is low, its tight between 6/7 teams. 

 

Couple of wins and you bounce, few losses and your in the mire. Look at Swansea. Looked certain till Xmas, hit form and everyone's talking like they're vying for champions league. I bet they're spitting we bounced above them. 

Posted
9 hours ago, MattP said:

With in-depth studies like that those researchers at Sky Sports are earning their money.

 

You would this year is going to be one of the lowest in years given Middlesborough are currently 18th with 22 points from 27 games, 35 points should be enough.

Was thinking the same thing. "Sky Sports has found"? You mean they took a few minutes to look up the tables on ESPN or their preferred site? 

 

We can only hope this crack research team wasn't also tasked with creating that dishy chart. Easy on the eyes, that. Must've taken loads of effort for the child to draw the lines so straight.

Posted

I've had a few attempts at predicting the results until the end of the season at http://www.worldfootball.net/table_calculator/eng-premier-league/

 

Obviously I wont be exactly right every week otherwise I'd be minted. But I played out the season maybe 3 or 4 times giving us a good/bad/predictable run etc. The best we ended up finishing was 14th and the worst was 17th. I think we could genuinely stay up with only another 7/8 points until the end of the season, however I fully expect us to surpass 40 points myself.

Posted

We now sit 6 points off 10th and 3 points above 18th (albeit with a much better goal difference). 

 

The next five matches provide a tremendous opportunity for us. Let's seize that opportunity, lads!

Posted

There are loads of teams involved in the battle to avoid the drop, so I think 36 points will be enough to stay up as teams will play each other. 

 

 

Posted

After this weekend, here's the stats.

 

If you mirror the results from the first half of the season, 32 points will be enough to stay up. 

 

If you use the form on the last six games, 37 points will be enough. 

 

If you use the form on the last ten games, 37 points will be enough. 

 

If you use points per game, 34 points will be enough. 

 

For a reminder, 

Games against the top 6

Swansea 2/10

Palace 6/11

Middlesbrough 5/11

Sunderland 4/11

Hull 2/10

Bournemouth 3/10

Leicester 3/11

 

Next weekend - 

Saturday

Crystal Palace v Watford

Sunderland v Burnley

Everton v Hull

West Ham v Leicester

Bournemouth v Swansea 1730

 

Sunday 

Middlesbrough v Manchester U 1200

 

Could be squeeky bum times next week. 

 

 

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