reynard Posted 10 April 2012 Posted 10 April 2012 How many teams have achieved 6 wins in a row in the league this season? I think it may only be Reading which shows how unlikely this would be. Could be wrong but I think we will get 7 points from the remaining four games and that won't be enough.
harpendenfox Posted 10 April 2012 Posted 10 April 2012 http://www.statto.com/football/stats/england/league-championship/2011-2012/form-table/full Take a look at the wonderful Statto website, which provides a mine of statistical magnificence. This shows that if the last six games of form were to be repeated by us, Cardiff, Boro and Brighton, we would make the play offs by virtue of our superior goal difference. You might like to look at the form tables against top half and bottom half opp. Against top half, we're second to Reading. Against bottom half, we're about 19th. It's not that we're not good enough, it's that we haven't been good enough against the teams having a bad season (eg Bristol City, Posh, Pompey, 3 points from 18) For those of you who likes stats but didn't know of Statto, I may just have ruined your working week.
blueblood88 Posted 10 April 2012 Posted 10 April 2012 My final table: 1 Southampton 92 2 Reading 90 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 3 West Ham 86 4 Birmingham 80 5 Blackpool 75 6 Leicester 70 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 7 Cardiff 70 8 M' Boro 69 9 Derby 67 10 Burnley 66 11 Hull 66 12 Brighton 64 13 Ipswich 60 14 Watford 60 15 C Palace 59 16 Leeds 59 17 P'Boro 55 18 Forest 50 19 Barnsley 50 20 Millwall 47 21 Bristol City 46 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 22 Coventry 43 23 Portsmouth 38 24 Doncaster 38 I had us to draw away to Millwall and at home to West Ham, with wins at home to Burnley and away at Leeds, we finish 6th thanks to our superior goal difference over Cardiff. It's definately doable.
whoareyaaa Posted 10 April 2012 Posted 10 April 2012 Ive said it since we dropped the points and will hold onto it... those two points dropped at Forest will cost us the Playoffs.
AKCJ Posted 10 April 2012 Posted 10 April 2012 These predictions things are a load of bollocks. If you can satisfy yourself that we will or wont make it by predicting 20 games (5 teams each with 4games) with correct scores, you're best going to the bookies and sticking 100 on on a big bet. If youre not confident enough to do that the point in this thread is all bollocks and speculation It's just a bit of fun mate
Cussler Posted 10 April 2012 Posted 10 April 2012 I did this just out of interest but It is a very unlikely outcome. I know this doesn't take form into account and gives "home advantage" to the away team, but if the reverse fixtures all repeat the results then it doesn't look good for us. I guess this just again highlights our poor away form and inconsistency have cost us. I still have faith, but this team really needs to do better in every fixture. 1 Southampton 92 2 West Ham 88 -------------------------- 3 Reading 87 4 Birmingham 75 5 Cardiff 75 6 Blackpool 73 --------------------------- 7 Middlesbrough 72 8 Brighton 67 9 Hull 67 10 Leicester 65 11 Burnley 65 12 Leeds 64 13 Watford 64 14 Derby 63 15 Crystal Palace 59 16 Millwall 56 17 Ipswich 56 18 Nott'm Forest 52 19 Peterborough 51 20 Barnsley 50 21 Bristol City 50 --------------------------- 22 Portsmouth 41 23 Coventry 40 24 Doncaster 36
burni Posted 10 April 2012 Posted 10 April 2012 I had us missing out by a point with 2 wins 1 draw 1 loss which could quite easily happen. 3 wins 1 loss or maybe 3 wins 1 draw and we are in with a shout i reckon. It's just nice we still have something to play for (probably wont last much longer) which for me I didn't expect after how inconsistent we are. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
banko71 Posted 10 April 2012 Posted 10 April 2012 Millwall (Away) 2-0 win Burnley (Home) 3-1 win West Ham Utd (Home) 2-2 draw Leeds Utd (Away) 3-1 win
Raw Dykes Posted 10 April 2012 Posted 10 April 2012 I won't be surprised to see Cardiff miss out on the playoffs. They're experts at choking, and the pressure's on them. Middlesbrough's form and goal difference is poor at the mo. Brighton have still got to play Reading, West Ham and Brum. They couldn't really have a more difficult run-in. Hull lost 5 in a row before yesterday. Blackpool aren't too far away to catch yet. It's probably an advantage that 3 of the teams we have to play don't really have anything to play for. The pressure will be off them, but they might want to rest their best players and blood some youngsters, instead. I was just hoping that we'd finish the season in decent form, but after looking at things more closely, I think there's a few things going our way. Maybe we can finish top 6.
burni Posted 10 April 2012 Posted 10 April 2012 I won't be surprised to see Cardiff miss out on the playoffs. They're experts at choking, and the pressure's on them. Middlesbrough's form and goal difference is poor at the mo. Brighton have still got to play Reading, West Ham and Brum. They couldn't really have a more difficult run-in. Hull lost 5 in a row before yesterday. Blackpool aren't too far away to catch yet. It's probably an advantage that 3 of the teams we have to play don't really have anything to play for. The pressure will be off them, but they might want to rest their best players and blood some youngsters, instead. I was just hoping that we'd finish the season in decent form, but after looking at things more closely, I think there's a few things going our way. Maybe we can finish top 6. Agreed, I noticed when going through the predictor Brightpoo have got it hard with Middlescrap, Dull and possibly Cardwiffy faltering. Blackball are very unpredictable as well so I definitely think our fate is in our own hands although I'm sure those teams will be saying the same about us
HitchinFox Posted 10 April 2012 Posted 10 April 2012 If the table does look like this come end of the season, Nige should get a huge laminated version and pin it on the dressing room wall. As a reminder for every game next season. Might prevent from us repeating the mistakes of this season and pissing away points to the likes of Bristol City et al...
Leicesterpool Posted 10 April 2012 Posted 10 April 2012 Millwall away- 2-2 Draw Burnley Home- 3-1 Win West Ham home- 1-0 Win Leeds away- 3-3 Draw
Trav Le Bleu Posted 10 April 2012 Posted 10 April 2012 http://news.bbc.co.u...tor/default.stm I put us with an optimistic 3 wins and a draw and we still didn't make the playoffs - 7th 3 pts behind Cardiff.
foxes2011 Posted 10 April 2012 Posted 10 April 2012 millwall a - 2-3 win to leicester burnley h- 3-1 win to leicester west ham h- 1-1 draw leeds a - 1-2 win to leicester (leeds have gave up) we can afford 1 bad result as long as we win 3. millwall and burnley are good games if we play well and leeds have pretty much gave up and waiting for the end of the season. West ham may be a hard one.
Trav Le Bleu Posted 10 April 2012 Posted 10 April 2012 millwall a - 2-3 win to leicester burnley h- 3-1 win to leicester west ham h- 1-1 draw leeds a - 1-2 win to leicester (leeds have gave up) we can afford 1 bad result as long as we win 3. millwall and burnley are good games if we play well and leeds have pretty much gave up and waiting for the end of the season. West ham may be a hard one. West Ham could be easy if they have can't get automatic promotion by that point, but have enough points for home advantage in the play-offs. They might rest players or just genrally not be up for what they will see as a pointless match.
AyewJoking Posted 10 April 2012 Posted 10 April 2012 Milwall (away) 2-1 win Burnley (home) 2-0 win West Ham (home) 2-3 loss Leeds (away) 0-0 draw
RonnieTodger Posted 10 April 2012 Posted 10 April 2012 A Millwall - Lose 2-0 H Burnley - Draw 0-0 H West Ham - Win 3-2 A Leeds - Win 2-1
DANGEROUS TIGER Posted 13 April 2012 Posted 13 April 2012 Millwall - draw Burnley - win West Ham- lose Leeds - draw
Tielemans63 Posted 13 April 2012 Posted 13 April 2012 People are forgetting that special 'X-factor' that make Championship games impossible to predict - Championship referees!
LCFC_FAN_1995 Posted 14 April 2012 Posted 14 April 2012 Probably won't happen but.... Team GD PTS Reading 38 94 Saints 43 91 West Ham 30 86 Birmingham 29 79 Leicester 19 72 Blackpool 15 72
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