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Teams that mathematically can't catch us

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Posted

13 now on the list and a top half finish is mathematically certain:

Huddersfield

Leeds United

Middlesborogh

Bournemouth

Yeovil

Barnsley

Millwall

Doncaster

Blackpool

Birmingham

Charlton

Bolton

Sheffield Wednesday

Posted

Also one of Blackburn or Watford as they have to play each other so at least one must drop points and so that team could not overtake us...the list grows

Posted

I think if we win our next two and Brighton don't win their next two, we're guaranteed a play off place. Along with Reading not winning their next game. My amateur maths may be wrong though

Posted

Won't there be less than catch us now?

Not yet if we win our next game then Ipswich Blackburn and Watford are added to the list, even if we don't, those 3 teams dropping points in the next game would mean they are added to the list

Posted

13 now on the list and a top half finish is mathematically certain:

Huddersfield

Leeds United

Middlesborogh

Bournemouth

Yeovil

Barnsley

Millwall

Doncaster

Blackpool

Birmingham

Charlton

Bolton

Sheffield Wednesday

Let the list grow . . .
Posted

17 points required now to guarantee promotion, and don't forget that is worse case scenario assuming all the other teams in the mix winning ALL their remaining matches. Five wins and two draws  from 11 remaining, put the champagne on ice!!

Posted
At the moment mathmatically we need 97 points to win promotion.

The maximum points for the following teams are :-

QPR 96

Wigan 94

Derby 93

Brighton 88

Forest 87

Reading 86

Blackburn 82

Watford 81

Ipswich 81

 

So as the above teams drop points you can deduct from the above totals, i.e. if Watford or Ipswich drop 1 more point they cannot overtake us, (although they could if their goal average was better). If the top team (as in QPR at the moment) lose points you can deduct from their total and move them down the list, this will reduce the number of points required.

with us getting points and these teams dropping points the list will shrink fast.

Posted

The way teams are dropping points, 80 points could well be enough. I doubt qpr are good enough to pick up 17 points from 10 games.

Somewhere between 85-90 points I think will get us over the line for sure
Posted

So after last night:

 

 

 

At the moment mathmatically we need 94 points to win promotion.
The maximum points for the following teams are :-
 
QPR 93
Derby 93
Wigan 92
Brighton 88
Forest 87
Reading 86
Blackburn 82
Watford 81
Ipswich 81
 
So as the above teams drop points you can deduct from the above totals, i.e. if Watford or Ipswich drop 1 more point they cannot overtake us, (although they could if their goal average was better). If the top team (as in QPR at the moment) lose points you can deduct from their total and move them down the list, this will reduce the number of points required.
with us getting points and these teams dropping points the list will shrink fast.

 

 

So just 14 points needed from 11 games for automatic promotion. Incredible. Can't wait till we can add Burnley to the list!

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