Spudulike Posted 7 December 2015 Posted 7 December 2015 So, the lowest a table-topper after 15 games (EPL) has finished is 6th (Villa, 1999). I reckon we can beat that. http://www.bbc.co.uk/sport/0/football/35021767 Will Leicester win the league? The team that's top in early December is most likely to go on to claim the title, right? If history is any indicator, Leicester City have actually got almost a 50-50 chance of causing a massive shock and becoming champions. Where does the team top after 15 games finish? Season Team Final position Season Team Final position1993 Norwich 3rd 2005 Chelsea 1st 1994 Man Utd 1st 2006 Chelsea 1st 1995 Man Utd 2nd 2007 Man Utd 1st 1996 Newcastle 2nd 2008 Arsenal 3rd 1997 Arsenal 3rd 2009 Liverpool 2nd 1998 Man Utd 2nd 2010 Chelsea 1st 1999 Aston Villa 6th 2011 Man Utd 1st 2000 Man Utd 1st 2012 Man City 1st 2001 Man Utd 1st 2013 Man Utd 1st 2002 Liverpool 2nd 2014 Arsenal 3rd 2003 Arsenal 2nd 2015 Chelsea 1st 2004 Chelsea 2nd 2016 Leicester ? In Premier League history, the team top after 15 games has gone on to win the title 47.8% of the time. And that rises to 72.7% over the past 11 seasons. Manchester United have been top after 15 games eight times - and have converted that into a title on six occasions But of the eight different clubs to be top at this stage, only three - Manchester United, Manchester City and Chelsea - have gone on to win the title. Edit: Sorry, formatting all over the place
EGBFitness Posted 7 December 2015 Posted 7 December 2015 I'd take any of those positions but Villas. Love to see Leicester in champions league
Captain... Posted 8 December 2015 Posted 8 December 2015 But the team that finished 14th the previous season has never won the league! What I'm saying is looking for trends in historical stats is fundamentally flawed, like whoever is bottom on Christmas day will be relegated. We have given ourselves a great chance of a great final position, at the moment that is all.
Les-TA-Jon Posted 8 December 2015 Posted 8 December 2015 But the team that finished 14th the previous season has never won the league! What I'm saying is looking for trends in historical stats is fundamentally flawed, like whoever is bottom on Christmas day will be relegated. We have given ourselves a great chance of a great final position, at the moment that is all. This seems crucial to me. I'd be really interested in an analysis of teams that have finished mid-table the season before. However, I imagine that'd be pretty difficult, since not many teams have ever been in our current position.
Stan Posted 8 December 2015 Posted 8 December 2015 But the team that finished 14th the previous season has never won the league! What I'm saying is looking for trends in historical stats is fundamentally flawed, like whoever is bottom on Christmas day will be relegated. We have given ourselves a great chance of a great final position, at the moment that is all. But at least the analysis is taking into account a single season. Clearly, our 32 points after 15 games may have a substantial bearing on the likelihood of us finishing around the top four. Last year's finishing place has absolutely no influence on this season
Captain... Posted 8 December 2015 Posted 8 December 2015 But at least the analysis is taking into account a single season. Clearly, our 32 points after 15 games may have a substantial bearing on the likelihood of us finishing around the top four. Last year's finishing place has absolutely no influence on this season Of course, we aren't out of the running, in fact we are in pole position, but just because no team who is leading at this stage has finished below sixth, doesn't mean that we will finish at least sixth. All it means is we have given ourselves a great start and a great chance of achieving our highest finish in my lifetime. But it is only a chance and we have to take it.
Julian Joachim Jr Shabadoo Posted 8 December 2015 Posted 8 December 2015 Can you even imagine the scenes?
ARM1968 Posted 8 December 2015 Posted 8 December 2015 I think we'd all just sit there gobsmacked to be honest. Probably take 10 years to sink in.
Finn Claw II Posted 8 December 2015 Posted 8 December 2015 Another way of looking at that is the 'smaller' teams, Norwich, Villa, Newcastle (though that was the Keegan season I believe) have never kept the form up for all of the season. Spurs and Everton are the only 'smaller' teams to make it the CL outside the big clubs in recent history. Getting to the Europa league is an achievement, CL unbelievable, Champions dreamland!
ARM1968 Posted 8 December 2015 Posted 8 December 2015 Oh and here's another statistic. We've never won the league in the top tier. So historically our chances are slim. By that same token we've never won it so I guess that should change eventually.
fuchsntf Posted 8 December 2015 Posted 8 December 2015 Oh and here's another statistic. We've never won the league in the top tier. So historically our chances are slim. By that same token we've never won it so I guess that should change eventually. ahhh now then...now then...Before we didnt have king dick fighting in our corner, but now.!
whoareyaaa Posted 8 December 2015 Posted 8 December 2015 Oh and here's another statistic. We've never won the league in the top tier. So historically our chances are slim. By that same token we've never won it so I guess that should change eventually. We have however stormed the Championship in the recent past with more than a handful of players in our current squad. This is a young and hungry team who want success full of quality, we have given ourselfs an unbelievable chance now to go and get a top 4 finish and possibily the best chance ever to actually win it, the big question is can these players keep this up all season one things for sure this is no fluke.
ARM1968 Posted 8 December 2015 Posted 8 December 2015 If they don't believe they can they might. If they start believing the hype they won't.
Arriba Los Zorros Posted 8 December 2015 Posted 8 December 2015 Forum's gone mad - no way are we winning the league! Just not going to happen! I'm starting to believe we may grab 6th place, can't see any higher
Itsthejoeker Posted 8 December 2015 Posted 8 December 2015 If we win the league I will run the London marathon dressed as Jamie Vardy.
Mr gregs Posted 8 December 2015 Posted 8 December 2015 Pragmatism is the word!!!!I'd take top ten now,! That's not lessening anything so far!,top ten was a dream in summer! ! Off course I WISH,top6 ,even 4,,,,,
Zapp Posted 9 December 2015 Posted 9 December 2015 Pragmatism is the word!!!!I'd take top ten now,! That's not lessening anything so far!,top ten was a dream in summer! ! Off course I WISH,top6 ,even 4,,,,, If you'd be happy to take 10th now you're mental
Mr gregs Posted 18 December 2015 Posted 18 December 2015 If you'd be happy to take 10th now you're mentalI mean review it as we go on! I want them finish high as they can ! ( just what city Claudio ,players etc, will be saying
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