General Election, June 8th

[StanSP]

6 minutes ago, foxes_rule1978 said:

First two results in conservative favour, the exit polls were massively wrong before, and I think they will get a big majority again which is what the country needs really 

[Guest]

If nothing else the exit poll has made tonight the most exciting election for a long time. 

If it ends more like the polling then the false hope will be dreadful for those of us who suddenly perked up at seeing the bbc exit poll!

Looks like a late one lads - who's staying up?

[ramboacdc]

Just now, foxes_rule1978 said:

2015 it was massively wrong, labour was suppose to be close but lost massively... 2 times it is harder so generally I admit it is right

 

The first two results coming out kind of makes me feel we will see conservative take this a by a margin though. Newcastle and Sunderland generally are huge labour areas. 

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/election-2015-scotland-32633029

 

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/election-2017-40208731

 

they were 1 off in scotland in 2015 and 7 off on labour. only the tories they were wrong about. 

[ramboacdc]

4 minutes ago, KingGTF said:

Both Labour's and Conservative's own polling is saying exit poll is wrong

course they are. they both dont want a hung parliament. 

[The Guvnor]

1 minute ago, toddybad said:

If nothing else the exit poll has made tonight the most exciting election for a long time. 

If it ends more like the polling then the false hope will be dreadful for those of us who suddenly perked up at seeing the bbc exit poll!

Looks like a late one lads - who's staying up?

I'm too terrified to sleep 

[foxfanazer]

2 minutes ago, toddybad said:

If nothing else the exit poll has made tonight the most exciting election for a long time. 

If it ends more like the polling then the false hope will be dreadful for those of us who suddenly perked up at seeing the bbc exit poll!

Looks like a late one lads - who's staying up?

I'm seriously tempted 

[Guest Kopfkino]

1 minute ago, ramboacdc said:

course they are. they both dont want a hung parliament. 

 

Lab expecting 50+ con maj

[foxes_rule1978]

3 minutes ago, toddybad said:

If nothing else the exit poll has made tonight the most exciting election for a long time. 

If it ends more like the polling then the false hope will be dreadful for those of us who suddenly perked up at seeing the bbc exit poll!

Looks like a late one lads - who's staying up?

Will be staying up for sure, can't sleep now... seeing that exit poll!

[ramboacdc]

Just now, KingGTF said:

 

Lab expecting 50+ con maj

not a chance. 

new labour want that to show they were right about corbyn.

corbynites want it to be bigger. 

[The Doctor]

2 minutes ago, foxes_rule1978 said:

2015 it was massively wrong, labour was suppose to be close but lost massively... 2 times it is harder so generally I admit it is right

 

The first two results coming out kind of makes me feel we will see conservative take this a by a margin though. Newcastle and Sunderland generally are huge labour areas. 

Not really, it predicted tories 10 short of a majority, they won a 5 seat majority: a 15 seat error - the highest error in 25 years. Facts are they're rarely wrong, and not by much. https://www.ft.com/content/0e38ae9e-4a16-11e7-a3f4-c742b9791d43

[Gary Eatfood]

2 minutes ago, ramboacdc said:

course they are. they both dont want a hung parliament. 

Labour would consider a hung parliament a victory.

[foxes_rule1978]

Another swing for conservative, this is interesting... 

[Guest]

I wonder if the current tory swing means anything nationwide or if we'll see regionsl variation. I'm led to think that london is likely to swing further to labour. 

[ramboacdc]

1 minute ago, foxes_rule1978 said:

Another swing for conservative, this is interesting... 

it is interesting. at this point you can just see people voting locally for "change"

[Gary Eatfood]

1 minute ago, foxes_rule1978 said:

Another swing for conservative, this is interesting... 

The Ukip vote is collapsing and swinging to the Tories. In areas where the Ukip vote isn't as strong the swing will move to Labour. But yeah, it is interesting.

[ramboacdc]

another thing to factor in is UKIP may be present in areas however without farage the party is nothing and they are regaining lost votes from 2015. 

[Captain...]

10 minutes ago, toddybad said:

If nothing else the exit poll has made tonight the most exciting election for a long time. 

If it ends more like the polling then the false hope will be dreadful for those of us who suddenly perked up at seeing the bbc exit poll!

Looks like a late one lads - who's staying up?

I've got 7 beers left so I'm up for a while 

[ScouseFox]

if the young vote actually does sway this then is rite. old people shouldn't rule the country. power to the people. 

[ramboacdc]

 

[Captain...]

2 minutes ago, toddybad said:

I wonder if the current tory swing means anything nationwide or if we'll see regionsl variation. I'm led to think that london is likely to swing further to labour. 

London will most likely swing to Labour, I think it is former UKIP voters reverting to type so in seats where Labour lost voters to UKIP will see a swing back to Labour.

 

It would be interesting to compare the swing from 2010 to 2015 to tonight.

[The Doctor]

7 minutes ago, Gary Eatfood said:

Labour would consider a hung parliament a victory.

Dubious. Shoring up their vote, taking back a bit of Scotland would be a victory. Brexit will likely be a poisoned chalice - a victory for Labour would be an improvement on 2015, vindicating the shift back to being a genuine left wing party; while leaving the tories with a slim majority to tear themselves apart over it. Lose the battle to win the war.

[ramboacdc]

Just now, Captain... said:

London will most likely swing to Labour, I think it is former UKIP voters reverting to type so in seats where Labour lost voters to UKIP will see a swing back to Labour.

 

It would be interesting to compare the swing from 2010 to 2015 to tonight.

a lot of UKIP may swing labour as they don't believe May will go "far enough"

[Vacamion]

4 minutes ago, ScouseFox said:

if the young vote actually does sway this then is rite. old people shouldn't rule the country. power to the people. 

 

Old people are still actually people.  Just older...

 

 

[ramboacdc]

that will shut these people up who were saying the swing was going in tories favour. 

[The Guvnor]

Have no fear fellow Tory voters the blue rinse postal vote will save the day