A fox for life Posted 18 March 2014 Posted 18 March 2014 I hope its home game!!! and before the 19th April as my business opens that week (in Nottingham )
ThurnbyLodgeFox Posted 18 March 2014 Author Posted 18 March 2014 Burnley away will be the day! Seriously if it is though, how nerve racking will the rest of the day be
Rincewind Posted 19 March 2014 Posted 19 March 2014 Is it an early kick off? (Burnley) drop in the Parcel Yard when you stagger off the train. I may be in there or the Kings Head if no one can make it. Still got some party poppers from NYE which i am saving for the occasion.
Leicester_Loyal Posted 19 March 2014 Posted 19 March 2014 Is it an early kick off? (Burnley) drop in the Parcel Yard when you stagger off the train. I may be in there or the Kings Head if no one can make it. Still got some party poppers from NYE which i am saving for the occasion. I originally thought that said you've got some poppers saved from NYE for when we get promotion lol
Bob Weasel Fox Posted 19 March 2014 Posted 19 March 2014 Great results tonightFookin excellent results again tonight. QPR lose and Wigan only draw. YeehaIt's looking better and better all the time
Number 6 Posted 19 March 2014 Posted 19 March 2014 I hope we get promoted ASAP but I also really hope it's a home game.
Reg Vardy Posted 19 March 2014 Posted 19 March 2014 Lot of talk about how many points required to get u, here's a list of games to the end of the season involving the top eight Derby Forest QPR Wigan Burnley Foxes Wigan Foxes Foxes Brighton QPR Forest Reading Foxes Wigan Reading Foxes QPR Burnley Wigan Forest Brighton Reading Burnley Looking at that lot and obviously one or both teams will drop points, I would say Burnley away or Brighton at Home could do it.....top four (excluding Derby) have three games against each other....Derby and Brighton have the easiest run ins, and I can't see Billy's Boys making it.....dare I say last game of the season they play Brighton at home......last minute breakaway goal for the Seagulls anyone? Sound familiar?
kingcarr21 Posted 19 March 2014 Posted 19 March 2014 dont write yeovil off getting a result. They know a win gets them out the drop zone and are fighting for their lives. Lets hope wigan get complacent and underestimate them. Come to me for your betting needs
Bob Weasel Fox Posted 19 March 2014 Posted 19 March 2014 I hope we get promoted ASAP but I also really hope it's a home game.This
4ever and ever Posted 19 March 2014 Posted 19 March 2014 But this post in another thread but really it should be in here: I have been doing the Maths and it is looking more and more likely it will be Wigan away. The maths below show three different scenarios with what I believe (subjective of course and I'm sure loads will disagree) as the most likely result and scenario 2 as what I believe again as the 2nd most likely result in the games and scenario 3 what I feel is the least likely result. I hope it all makes sense. Derby Derby v Nottingham Forest Most likely = 1 point 2nd most likely = 3 points least likely = 0 points Ipswich v Derby Most likely = 0 points 2nd most likely = 1 point least likely = 3 points Derby v Charlton Most likely = 3 points 2nd most likely = 1 point least likely = 0 points QPR Middlesbrough v QPR Most likely = 1 point 2nd most likely = 0 points least likely = 3 points QPR v Wigan Most likely = 1 point 2nd most likely = 3 points least likely = 0 Points QPR v Blackpool Most likely = 3 points 2nd most likely = 1 point least likely = 0 points Wigan Wigan v Watford Most likely = 3 points 2nd most likely = 1 point least likely = 0 points QPR v Wigan Most likely = 1 point 2nd most likely = 0 points least likely = 3 points Bolton v Wigan Most likely = 3 points 2nd most likely = 1 point least likely = 0 points So to summarise and give totals to my madness (this season has sent me delirious) I believe the most likely set of results will mean the following points total. Most likely results (Scenario 1) Derby = 4 points QPR = 5 points Wigan = 7 points 2nd most likely results (Scenario 2) Derby = 3 points QPR = 4 points Wigan = 2 points Least likely results (Scenario 3) Derby = 3 points QPR = 3 points Wigan = 3 points What this means for us and points needed to secure promotion. Scenario 1 - If we win against Blackburn, Yeovil and Burnley it would put us on 89 points but QPR could still get 89 points and Wigan could get 91 points so we could secure promotion by winning or drawing at Wigan it would also mean if we drew against one of the other teams before the Wigan game a win at Wigan would also secure promotion as Wigan could only then achieve 88 or 89 points and we would be on 90 points. Scenario 2 - If we win against Blackburn and Yeovil and then beat Burnley it would mean we would be on 89 points and promotion would be secured later that day when we are not playing as each of the teams drop points and the maximum Derby could achieve would be 87, QPR 88 and Wigan 85 Sceanrio 3 - If we win against Blackburn and Yeovil and then beat Burnley again it would mean that promotion could be secured without us playing after the Wigan game. What I am trying to say is that I believe it points towards the Wigan away game, I know I will be shot down as there are so many ifs and buts, BUT scenario one also has the most leaway in terms of a win at the DW stadium securing it for us. Hope I havent bored you too much with this and see you at Ewood on Saturday.
Manwell Pablo Posted 19 March 2014 Posted 19 March 2014 I see your no romantic. All the posters over the whole forum love the speculation and discussion on probabilties that go with it. Of course time will tell, of course one can wait until the ifs n whens become definite, but then, that would make the season boring, its the ifs n buts that make a football season what it is. What I now find interesting is how many city supporters look at Wigan and believe they cant make a winning run. Why shouldnt they...city have, and many hope we can win all. looking at the fixtures, Wigan could pull off the impossible. It's also pointless discussing the merits of certain players or tactics as we don't pick the team. It's a bit of fun and not hurting anyone so why get so snooty about it? As I said, if you want to play a shit guessing game then fine but that's not what the thread was started as otherwise it'd be called "when do you think we will get mathematically promoted", but the OP asked when we could go up, and the answer at the moment is at any time depending on other results, very simple.
Chilwell_Fox Posted 20 March 2014 Posted 20 March 2014 94 points required. As poor as Derby and QPR have been over the last few weeks I expect them to both win at the weekend. In fact I think it is most likely to be the game against Sheff Wed or Brighton.
veezeeblue Posted 21 March 2014 Posted 21 March 2014 sheff wed .... Saturday March 22 Saturday March 22 Saturday March 22 Saturday March 22 target 24 14 14 15:00 15:00 15:00 12:15 LCFC BFC QPR DBY Championship Championship Championship Championship game 3 3 0 0 Blackburn Rovers fp Charlton Middlesbrough Derby County total pts 83 76 63 63 Leicester City Burnley QPR N Forest SS 1 HD diiff 7 20 20 Tuesday March 25 Tuesday March 25 Tuesday March 25 Tuesday March 25 target 21 8 8 19:45 19:45 19:45 19:45 LCFC BFC QPR DBY Championship Championship Championship Championship game 3 3 1 3 Leicester City Burnley QPR Ipswich Town total pts 86 79 64 66 Yeovil Town w Doncaster Rovers Wigan Athletic Derby County diiff 7 22 20 Saturday March 29 Saturday March 29 Saturday March 29 Saturday March 29 target 18 3 5 15:00 15:00 15:00 15:00 LCFC BFC QPR DBY Championship Championship Championship Championship game 1 1 3 3 Burnley fpr Burnley QPR Derby County total pts 87 80 67 69 Leicester City Leicester City Blackpool Charlton diiff 7 20 18 SS 1 HD SS 1 HD target 15 2 4 Tuesday April 1 19:45 LCFC Championship game 1 Wigan Athletic fp total pts 88 80 67 69 Leicester City diiff 8 21 19 target 14 1 3 Friday April 4 Saturday April 5 Saturday April 5 Saturday April 5 15:00 15:00 15:00 15:00 game LCFC BFC QPR DBY Championship Championship Championship Championship total pts 3 3 1 3 Leicester City Watford Bournemouth Middlesbrough diiff 91 83 68 72 Sheff Wed f Burnley QPR Derby County target 8 23 19 Tuesday April 8 Tuesday April 8 Tuesday April 8 Tuesday April 8 11 -4 0
Freeman's Wharfer Posted 21 March 2014 Posted 21 March 2014 But this post in another thread but really it should be in here: I have been doing the Maths and it is looking more and more likely it will be Wigan away. The maths below show three different scenarios with what I believe (subjective of course and I'm sure loads will disagree) as the most likely result and scenario 2 as what I believe again as the 2nd most likely result in the games and scenario 3 what I feel is the least likely result. I hope it all makes sense. Derby Derby v Nottingham Forest Most likely = 1 point 2nd most likely = 3 points least likely = 0 points Ipswich v Derby Most likely = 0 points 2nd most likely = 1 point least likely = 3 points Derby v Charlton Most likely = 3 points 2nd most likely = 1 point least likely = 0 points QPR Middlesbrough v QPR Most likely = 1 point 2nd most likely = 0 points least likely = 3 points QPR v Wigan Most likely = 1 point 2nd most likely = 3 points least likely = 0 Points QPR v Blackpool Most likely = 3 points 2nd most likely = 1 point least likely = 0 points Wigan Wigan v Watford Most likely = 3 points 2nd most likely = 1 point least likely = 0 points QPR v Wigan Most likely = 1 point 2nd most likely = 0 points least likely = 3 points Bolton v Wigan Most likely = 3 points 2nd most likely = 1 point least likely = 0 points So to summarise and give totals to my madness (this season has sent me delirious) I believe the most likely set of results will mean the following points total. Most likely results (Scenario 1) Derby = 4 points QPR = 5 points Wigan = 7 points 2nd most likely results (Scenario 2) Derby = 3 points QPR = 4 points Wigan = 2 points Least likely results (Scenario 3) Derby = 3 points QPR = 3 points Wigan = 3 points What this means for us and points needed to secure promotion. Scenario 1 - If we win against Blackburn, Yeovil and Burnley it would put us on 89 points but QPR could still get 89 points and Wigan could get 91 points so we could secure promotion by winning or drawing at Wigan it would also mean if we drew against one of the other teams before the Wigan game a win at Wigan would also secure promotion as Wigan could only then achieve 88 or 89 points and we would be on 90 points. Scenario 2 - If we win against Blackburn and Yeovil and then beat Burnley it would mean we would be on 89 points and promotion would be secured later that day when we are not playing as each of the teams drop points and the maximum Derby could achieve would be 87, QPR 88 and Wigan 85 Sceanrio 3 - If we win against Blackburn and Yeovil and then beat Burnley again it would mean that promotion could be secured without us playing after the Wigan game. What I am trying to say is that I believe it points towards the Wigan away game, I know I will be shot down as there are so many ifs and buts, BUT scenario one also has the most leaway in terms of a win at the DW stadium securing it for us. Hope I havent bored you too much with this and see you at Ewood on Saturday. I've been saying Wigan away for a couple of weeks now. If we beat Blackburn on Saturday I'm convinced that, at the very least, we'll have the chance to secure promotion with a win at Wigan.
LanguedocFox Posted 21 March 2014 Posted 21 March 2014 Wigan would be just my luck: one of only two matches in the three weeks from 29 March that's not on television. So I am hoping for a dropped couple of points along the way, so it is Sheff W when we get promoted, and Reading or - even better - QPR when we get to be Champions. Always assuming, of course, that we do get promoted and, if we do, we do become Champions.
Monk Posted 21 March 2014 Posted 21 March 2014 If we can win it at Wigan I'd be seriously tempted to drive down to the game. Would be immense.... but I still think the Sheff Weds game.
Happy Fox Posted 21 March 2014 Posted 21 March 2014 If Dierby and QPR pick up 4 points from their next 3 games and we pick up 9 we are up come on City!
fazzyfox Posted 22 March 2014 Posted 22 March 2014 Before QPR at home so that Barton has to be part of a guard of honour and hand a bouquet of flowers to De Laet (muttering "It was never a red card") whilst Johnson, Zamora and Jenas all suffer from broken arms due to the weight of the flowers so squad numbers 59-61 get late call ups.
Jfox Posted 22 March 2014 Posted 22 March 2014 For us to be promoted vs Wigan, QPR have to drop points at home to Blackpool and Derby have to drop points at home to Charlton, so its more likely going to be Wednesday at home.
Foxes Blue Blood Posted 23 March 2014 Posted 23 March 2014 New calculations please... We still need 13 points, so if Qpr, Derby & Wigan drop points it will be sooner
CPW22 Posted 23 March 2014 Posted 23 March 2014 We still need 13 points, so if Qpr, Derby & Wigan drop points it will be sooner So, if we were to win our next three games we would be there? Either QPR or Wigan will drop points when they play each other and Wigan would drop points against us. We would just need Derby to not win all three of their next games? Either way I hope we secure this on the pitch against Wigan, Sheffield Wed or even Brighton. Something about being promoted by other teams dropping points on a day we aren't playing which wouldn't be as fun. I am thinking of results going our way the Saturday after our Friday night game as an example.
Happy Fox Posted 23 March 2014 Posted 23 March 2014 Sheffield Wednesday at home is probably the most likely game when it is going to happen.
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