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davieG

Good Deeds & News (Corona)

By davieG, in General Chat

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davieG

davieG

Posted
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The police might be very strict here in Mallorca about keeping us in, but they are doing their best also to break our boredom 😁

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ScouseFox

ScouseFox

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not really a good deed but what a fu cking time to release disney plus. 

 

gonna watch homeward bound, bugs life and moana today. 

  • Like 1
Toddybad

Toddybad

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45 minutes ago, Wolfox said:

Latest University of Oxford research is estimating actual fatality rate of COVID-19 at between 0.19% and 0.24% factoring in ALL infections not the ones hospitalised (and therefore known). Their findings are that there are very large numbers of infected people not counting in official infection stats.

https://www.cebm.net/global-covid-19...atality-rates/

Which they've presumably guessed at the numbers of?

rachhere

rachhere

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7 hours ago, ScouseFox said:

not really a good deed but what a fu cking time to release disney plus. 

 

gonna watch homeward bound, bugs life and moana today. 

Yup! Watching the Great Mouse Detective - the first ever film I saw in the cinema!

Toddybad

Toddybad

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7 hours ago, Wolfox said:

Works a bit like XG…

 

But what would they know?!

My point is that at the moment nobody knows enough about this particular virus to provide precise measurements like that. The mortality rate is different everywhere. There isn't 100 years of backwards analysis that can be done. I'd treat any numbers with extreme caution. They haven't even some mass testing of antibodies yet to understand how many have it without severe illness.

davieG

davieG

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Not good news as such but I guess it's an unrelated good deed.

 

Help needed to rescue UK's old rainfall records

By Jonathan AmosScience correspondent

 

At a loss to know what to do with your self-isolation time?

Well, why not get on the computer and help with a giant weather digitisation effort?

The UK has rainfall records dating back 200 years or so, but the vast majority of these are in handwritten form and can't easily be used to analyse past periods of flooding and drought.

The Rainfall Rescue Project is seeking volunteers to transfer all the data into online spreadsheets.

You're not required to rummage through old bound volumes; the Met Office has already scanned the necessary documents - all 65,000 sheets.

You simply have to visit a website, read the scribbled rainfall amounts and enter the numbers into a series of boxes.

"If you do just a couple of minutes every now and then - that's great," said Prof Ed Hawkins. "If you want to spend an hour doing 30 or 40 columns - then that'll be amazing. But any amount of time, it will all add up and be a tremendous help."

 

More info here - https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/science-environment-52040822

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Wolfox

Wolfox

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8 hours ago, Toddybad said:

My point is that at the moment nobody knows enough about this particular virus to provide precise measurements like that. The mortality rate is different everywhere. There isn't 100 years of backwards analysis that can be done. I'd treat any numbers with extreme caution. They haven't even some mass testing of antibodies yet to understand how many have it without severe illness.

You can’t get anything precise, but, there is enough data to make some reasonable assumptions…. We’ll find out soon enough what the reality is…. I do a lot of data modelling in my day job and as long as your solid data and assumptions are reasonable, you can make some remarkably accurate estimates…

Toddybad

Toddybad

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6 hours ago, Wolfox said:

You can’t get anything precise, but, there is enough data to make some reasonable assumptions…. We’ll find out soon enough what the reality is…. I do a lot of data modelling in my day job and as long as your solid data and assumptions are reasonable, you can make some remarkably accurate estimates…

Their assumptions appear to be way out though.

Toddybad

Toddybad

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Here's what various celebrities are offering you and your kids for free daily to help with their education while schools are closed: 👏🏼 

9.00am - PE with Joe Wicks https://youtu.be/6v-a_dpwhro

10.00am - Maths with Carol Vorderman www.themathsfactor.com

11.00am - English with David Walliams https://www.worldofdavidwalliams.com/elevenses/

12.00pm - Lunch (cooking with Jamie Oliver) https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=eJLA2RlZNq4&list=PLcpoB2VESJme7lSxXEcXyVtFPsMI78lcL

1.00pm - Music with Myleene Klass https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCQh2wgJ5tOrixYBn6jFXsXQ

1.30pm - Dance with Darcey Bussel https://twitter.com/diversedance…/status/1241098264373592065

2.00pm - History with Dan Snow (free for 30-days) https://tv.historyhit.com/signup/package

4.00pm - Home Economics with Theo Michaels (Mon/Wed/Fri) https://www.instagram.com/theocooks

Non-daily events include:
Science with Professor Brian Cox, Robin Ince & Guests https://cosmicshambles.com/stayathome/upcoming-schedule

=================

And something for parents - Free access for everyone to join Danny Clarke’s Fast Start programme free for 30 days (for network marketing professionals only) www.jointhevip.co.uk/30days

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Trav Le Bleu

Trav Le Bleu

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One of the people in a street I deliver to leant out of a window today and said, "we've left something for you in the porch" and there was a box of chocolates, a can of Pepsi and a thank you note. Nice to be appreciated. :D

 

Then you get the people who have ordered stuff, then refuse to take it. :angry: well don't farping well order stuff then, I'd rather be safe at home, keeping my family safe you Muppets!

  • Like 1
Wolfox

Wolfox

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On 26/03/2020 at 21:25, Toddybad said:

Their assumptions appear to be way out though.

Do they?

 

Further research from University of Oxford (remember who indicated an actual fatality rate of around 0.2% based on far more people having been infected than records indicate).

They have conducted more research based on Icelandic data (where testing per capita is much more widespread) and have a case fatality rate of between 0.05% and 0.14%

https://www.cebm.net/covid-19/global...atality-rates/

 

They’re pretty smart these people making the calculations…. 
 

Good news I hope…. But, time will tell…

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davieG

davieG

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1 hour ago, StanSP said:

Morrisons donating £10m worth of food to food banks. Not sure where but nevertheless a good gesture. 

That's where my Assam Tea went!  :P

  • Haha 1
MrsJohnMurphy

MrsJohnMurphy

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On 22/03/2020 at 17:01, MrsJohnMurphy said:

I'm just a driver for one of the parcel delivery companies (UPS, DPD, Fedex, DHL etc) and several people I delivered to on Saturday were thanking me for continuing to work to get them their orders (mainly flowers and gifts etc due to Mothers Day)

 

Perked me up no end

 

Busiest day since Christmas, good to know people are still getting their essential ASOS, River Island, New Look deliveries 

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