Bobby Hundreds Posted 17 April 2014 Share Posted 17 April 2014 An endorsement from PuntersAdvice is not good for Liverpool's title hopes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grandad. Posted 17 April 2014 Share Posted 17 April 2014 **** sake, I started this thread from the start and couldn't see the point in this 'method' and now he's tipped Liverpool to win the League. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PuntersAdvice Posted 19 April 2014 Author Share Posted 19 April 2014 English Premier League: Chelsea v Sunderland-Chelsea are undefeated in their last 26 home matches in the Premier League.-Chelsea have kept a clean sheet in their last 6 home matches in the Premier League.-Chelsea have won 8 of their last 9 home matches against Sunderland in all competitions.-Sunderland have conceded at least 2 goals in their last 5 away matches in the Premier League.-Sunderland have failed to win their last 9 matches in the Premier League.-Expect plenty of passion from the visitors but Mourinho won't let his side take any games for granted and knowing that 4 wins will secure the title is incentive enough to ensure they don't slip up before the crucial match against Liverpool.-Eden Hazard is injured and has been Chelsea's most creative player this season.-Chelsea have a Champions League game against Atletico Madrid and a Premier League game against Liverpool which could decide the title in the following week and Mourinho has shown a tendency to revert to a very defensive formation when he gets the lead and save his players energy.Bet: Chelsea To Win & Under 3.5 GoalsStake: 49Bookmaker: Bet365Odds: 2.00 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Facecloth Posted 19 April 2014 Share Posted 19 April 2014 Gotta love the persistence! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
theessexfox Posted 19 April 2014 Share Posted 19 April 2014 Oh dear.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bobby Hundreds Posted 19 April 2014 Share Posted 19 April 2014 Don't give up the day job. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brooksy Posted 19 April 2014 Share Posted 19 April 2014 Matt, is that you? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bert Posted 19 April 2014 Share Posted 19 April 2014 lol lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stadt Posted 19 April 2014 Share Posted 19 April 2014 Do you know DJ Cambpell? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PuntersAdvice Posted 21 April 2014 Author Share Posted 21 April 2014 Chelsea 1-2 Sunderland Balance: 932 ----------------------- Champions League: Atletico Madrid v Chelsea -Chelsea's most creative player, Eden Hazard, is unavailable for this fixture. -Courtois will play for Atletico Madrid. -Atletico Madrid have 5 clean sheets in their last 8 Champions League matches including their last match against Barcelona. -5 of Atletico's last 6 Champions League matches have gone under 2.5 goals. -Chelsea have kept 5 clean sheets in their last 8 Champions League matches and Mourinho will almost certainly play a very defensive style in this first leg. -Atletico generally play a very defensive style against the top European teams and they will not want to concede an away goal. Bet: Under 2.5 Goals Stake: 47 Bookmaker: BetVictor Odds: 1.55 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Unabomber Posted 21 April 2014 Share Posted 21 April 2014 Cheers I'm betting over 2.5 goals. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itsthejoeker Posted 21 April 2014 Share Posted 21 April 2014 Christ! You'll get a better return sticking it in an ISA mate! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jimmeh Posted 22 April 2014 Share Posted 22 April 2014 No one wins at gambling mate in the long run. I've lost thousands. It's just impossible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PuntersAdvice Posted 23 April 2014 Author Share Posted 23 April 2014 Atletico Madrid 0-0 Chelsea Balance: 956 --------------------------- English Premier League: Liverpool v Chelsea -Jose Mourinho has claimed he is seeking permission to field a weakened line-up against Liverpool to save his players for the second leg of the Champions League semi-final against Atletico Madrid. While Mourinho likes to play these 'mind games' it is pointless in this case as Liverpool are going to play their best possible team regardless of the Chelsea lineup however Mourinho must ask the owner and the board for permission to basically concede the Premier League if he puts out a weakened team however this result is very unlikely to affect Chelsea's title prospects as they are currently 33/1 to win the league. -John Terry and Petr Cech are out for the season. Hazard and Eto's are doubtful. -Liverpool's only definite absentee is Jose Enrique with Sturridge expected to be fit. -Liverpool's home record in the league is 15-1-1 (scoring 51, conceding 15) while Chelsea have won less than 50% of their away league matches. Bet: Liverpool To Win 'Draw No Bet' Stake: 95 Bookmaker: Ladbrokes Odds: 1.36 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PuntersAdvice Posted 23 April 2014 Author Share Posted 23 April 2014 Europa League: Juventus v Benfica -Juventus are the best team left in the competition and while Benfica is worthy favourites at home, Juventus will have the advantage of playing the second leg at home and have shown they are one of the best home teams in the world having won every one of their home games in Serie A and concede an average of less than a goal away from home. -Juventus have almost certainly won Serie A (currently best priced 1/100) and have the extra motivation of the final of the Europa League in their stadium. Bet: Juventus To Qualify For Next Round Stake: 47 Bookmaker: Bet365 Odds: 1.5 --------------------------------------- Champions League: Chelsea v Atletico Madrid -Chelsea have a serious defensive problem with John Terry and Petr Cech out for the rest of the season. -Samuel Eto'o and Eden Hazard are doubtful. -John Mikel Obi and Frank Lampard are suspended. -Atletico have scored in 10 of their 11 Champions League games and will progress with a score draw against a team that have one clean sheet playing away in the Champions League since October. -Atletico had 69% possession in the first leg with 26 shots compared to just 5 from Chelsea. Bet: Atletico Madrid To Win Or Draw Double Chance Stake: 47 Bookmaker: Bet365 Odds: 1.67 --------------------------------------- Champions League: Bayern Munich v Real Madrid -The first leg was played in Madrid and Bayern had 64% possession, more shots, more corners and forced Madrid's goalkeeper into making 10 saved from direct shots on target. -Bayern have to win and might possibly have to score 3 goals if they fail to keep a clean sheet so we will see what is many people's best team in the world, at home and needing to win, against a team that were second best in the first leg on every stat except the final score and were outplayed at home. Bet: Bayern Munich To Win Stake: 47 Bookmaker: Ladbrokes Odds: 1.73 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stadt Posted 23 April 2014 Share Posted 23 April 2014 . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jimmeh Posted 24 April 2014 Share Posted 24 April 2014 Stats mean nothing. Anything can happen in football or any sport for that matter. No one can predict the future. How can a 100/1 horse win a race for example with no form ? How could bottom of the table Sunderland win away at chelsea. How could that unknown tennis player beat Nadal in the first or second round of Wimbledon last year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PuntersAdvice Posted 24 April 2014 Author Share Posted 24 April 2014 It was fate. Anyway, what most people seem to miss when I post a bet is this... I do not expect all the bets to win, otherwise I would bet 100% of the bankroll. You use statistical analysis, experience and a pinch of estimation to form an opinion on the percentage of each team/horses chance of winning and then you place enough bets at an appropriate bankroll stake to remove any negative variance. So if you feel that a horse has a chance of winning a race 1.5% of the time and you see Ladbrokes offering 100/1, you should bet about 0.25% of your bankroll. Of course even though this is a good bet, 98.5% of the time you will lose and will have people telling you that you are a bad gambler and you should get a new hobby. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bobby Hundreds Posted 29 April 2014 Share Posted 29 April 2014 Keep going lad, see if we can reach 0 before the end of the season! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PuntersAdvice Posted 30 April 2014 Author Share Posted 30 April 2014 Champions League: Chelsea v Atletico Madrid -First Leg finished goalless. -Chelsea have an ultra defensive lineup with 7 defensive outfield players. -Atletico Madrid are starting without their second highest scorer (Villa) and their second highest assister and all round midfield engine (Gabi) Bet: Under 2.5 Goals Stake: 94 Bookmaker: StanJames Odds: 1.57 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Salieri Posted 30 April 2014 Share Posted 30 April 2014 Already on it son. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
m00nie Posted 30 April 2014 Share Posted 30 April 2014 if your putting this much time into it may aswell match bet and guarantee a return. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Matt Posted 30 April 2014 Share Posted 30 April 2014 Matt, is that you? No, it certainly isn't, he makes me look like a professional. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ashley Posted 30 April 2014 Share Posted 30 April 2014 You're doing this so wrong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Facecloth Posted 30 April 2014 Share Posted 30 April 2014 lol lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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