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Koke

The case for Top 4!

By Koke, in Leicester City Forum

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Fox85

Fox85

Posted
Posted
3 minutes ago, Wolfox said:

How did Palace win their last game ?  and according to this table we lost at Southampton!

Left to right is the form not right to left 

  • Thanks 1
KingsX

KingsX

Posted
Posted
11 hours ago, SO1 said:

Guarantee Rodgers will sound like a drone as we keep on winning. How many ways can you say one game at a time?

 

Allow me to quote the Maestro  :worship:

 

 

  • Haha 1
HoChiMinhFOX

HoChiMinhFOX

Posted
Posted

Don't forget we've still got a core of players who know what it takes mentally to win a league title, so I can see them having a strong impact on the younger players around them and really giving them the confidence to go on and compete for top 4.

  • Like 2
Sly

Sly

Posted
Posted
15 hours ago, SO1 said:

Rodgers really protected Liverpool 13/14 from the crazy hype that surrounded it. Lose a match and they were up for it 110% the next. No drop off.

Guarantee Rodgers will sound like a drone as we keep on winning. How many ways can you say one game at a time?

Claudio did it for an entire season!! 

  • Like 1
Sly

Sly

Posted
Posted
10 hours ago, Wolfox said:

How did Palace win their last game ?  and according to this table we lost at Southampton!

I think most recent is the furthest left on that chart isn’t it? We’ve won 3 in a row. Burnley, Southampton, Palace.

  • Thanks 1
Sly

Sly

Posted
Posted
10 hours ago, Wolfox said:

Odds for us to continue winning are quite strong toO

 

until we come up against Man City and Liverpool

 

 https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/soccer-predictions/premier-league/

 

hit the matches tab….
 

Also explains how the make their predictions

 

https://fivethirtyeight.com/methodology/how-our-club-soccer-predictions-work/

The only issue I have with this, is that it’s statistics based.

 

Look at the Liverpool matches

 

Everton - home - 9% chance of losing

Leicester - away - 24% chance of losing

Manchester United - Home - 13% of losing

Tottenham - away - 23% chance of losing

Everton - away - 22% chance of losing

Arsenal - away - 23% chance of losing

Chelsea - home - 22% chance of losing

 

It doesn’t factor in, when terms will raise their game. 

 

 

 

 

Wolfox

Wolfox

Posted
Posted
1 hour ago, Sly said:

The only issue I have with this, is that it’s statistics based.

 

Look at the Liverpool matches

 

Everton - home - 9% chance of losing

Leicester - away - 24% chance of losing

Manchester United - Home - 13% of losing

Tottenham - away - 23% chance of losing

Everton - away - 22% chance of losing

Arsenal - away - 23% chance of losing

Chelsea - home - 22% chance of losing

 

It doesn’t factor in, when terms will raise their game. 

 

 

 

 

It is statistics based… that’s what it does

 

look into their methodology -  it has quite a strong records of being quite accurate…. They start with a position in August and moderate based on performances…. There quite a lot of data (stats) assimilated to give % probability 

 

58% is quite a strong prediction at this stage of the season compared with surrounding teams

Guest Eamonn

Guest Eamonn

Posted
Posted

An article on the BBBC sent me checking where we were 19 years ago. We were 3rd, with 22 ppints. I feel a bit sick. Need a good win tomorrow.

treer

treer

Posted
Posted (edited)

an easy way to see if their predictions are any good would be to compare their match odds with bookies odds.

If their % are good and accurate, by betting matches when the site % is bigger than the bookie you will win money

Southampton 2/1

Villa 7/2

Spurs 4/6

Newcastle 7/4

Man Utd 8/11

Man City 15/8

Liverpool 13/8

 

All these teams would be bets tomorrow, obviously seven bets would be not conclusive, but if you did the bets each week after 50 or 60 bets you would have an idea whether the site is all hype or the real deal

Edited by treer
foxinsocks

foxinsocks

Posted
Posted

Man city and lpool are about evens.... we are only a few points off city with two thirds of the season to go... and we are getting better.

I just put 25 quid on us to win the title at 60 to 2 with paddy power.   Get on it.

  • Like 1
Izzy

Izzy

Posted
Posted
1 hour ago, foxinsocks said:

Man city and lpool are about evens.... we are only a few points off city with two thirds of the season to go... and we are getting better.

I just put 25 quid on us to win the title at 60 to 2 with paddy power.   Get on it.

Good odds that. I only got 30/1

  • Haha 3
foxinsocks

foxinsocks

Posted
Posted
3 minutes ago, Bourbon Fox said:

It's Scotch today, it's definitely half empty and I'm almost out of cheese

 

I read a book that said to maximise a pleasure you should take a break and come back to it again and again... so you enjoy the anticipation and the initial reaction over and over.

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