Wolfox Posted 5 November 2019 Posted 5 November 2019 40 minutes ago, Woof said: I'll go with fivethirtyeight, they currently give us a 58% chance of top four I’ll take them odds…. It’s on! i understand they’re pretty accurate from our chat… link to the stats https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/soccer-predictions/premier-league/ and pic of the table prediction
Wolfox Posted 5 November 2019 Posted 5 November 2019 7 hours ago, StriderHiryu said: How did Palace win their last game ? and according to this table we lost at Southampton!
Fox85 Posted 5 November 2019 Posted 5 November 2019 3 minutes ago, Wolfox said: How did Palace win their last game ? and according to this table we lost at Southampton! Left to right is the form not right to left
Wolfox Posted 5 November 2019 Posted 5 November 2019 1 minute ago, Fox85 said: Left to right is the form not right to left Gotcha…. Reads really weird to my eyes
Wolfox Posted 5 November 2019 Posted 5 November 2019 Odds for us to continue winning are quite strong toO until we come up against Man City and Liverpool https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/soccer-predictions/premier-league/ hit the matches tab…. Also explains how the make their predictions https://fivethirtyeight.com/methodology/how-our-club-soccer-predictions-work/
KingsX Posted 6 November 2019 Posted 6 November 2019 11 hours ago, SO1 said: Guarantee Rodgers will sound like a drone as we keep on winning. How many ways can you say one game at a time? Allow me to quote the Maestro
HoChiMinhFOX Posted 6 November 2019 Posted 6 November 2019 Don't forget we've still got a core of players who know what it takes mentally to win a league title, so I can see them having a strong impact on the younger players around them and really giving them the confidence to go on and compete for top 4.
Sly Posted 6 November 2019 Posted 6 November 2019 15 hours ago, SO1 said: Rodgers really protected Liverpool 13/14 from the crazy hype that surrounded it. Lose a match and they were up for it 110% the next. No drop off. Guarantee Rodgers will sound like a drone as we keep on winning. How many ways can you say one game at a time? Claudio did it for an entire season!!
Sly Posted 6 November 2019 Posted 6 November 2019 10 hours ago, Wolfox said: How did Palace win their last game ? and according to this table we lost at Southampton! I think most recent is the furthest left on that chart isn’t it? We’ve won 3 in a row. Burnley, Southampton, Palace.
Sly Posted 6 November 2019 Posted 6 November 2019 10 hours ago, Wolfox said: Odds for us to continue winning are quite strong toO until we come up against Man City and Liverpool https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/soccer-predictions/premier-league/ hit the matches tab…. Also explains how the make their predictions https://fivethirtyeight.com/methodology/how-our-club-soccer-predictions-work/ The only issue I have with this, is that it’s statistics based. Look at the Liverpool matches Everton - home - 9% chance of losing Leicester - away - 24% chance of losing Manchester United - Home - 13% of losing Tottenham - away - 23% chance of losing Everton - away - 22% chance of losing Arsenal - away - 23% chance of losing Chelsea - home - 22% chance of losing It doesn’t factor in, when terms will raise their game.
Wolfox Posted 6 November 2019 Posted 6 November 2019 1 hour ago, Sly said: The only issue I have with this, is that it’s statistics based. Look at the Liverpool matches Everton - home - 9% chance of losing Leicester - away - 24% chance of losing Manchester United - Home - 13% of losing Tottenham - away - 23% chance of losing Everton - away - 22% chance of losing Arsenal - away - 23% chance of losing Chelsea - home - 22% chance of losing It doesn’t factor in, when terms will raise their game. It is statistics based… that’s what it does look into their methodology - it has quite a strong records of being quite accurate…. They start with a position in August and moderate based on performances…. There quite a lot of data (stats) assimilated to give % probability 58% is quite a strong prediction at this stage of the season compared with surrounding teams
Guest Eamonn Posted 8 November 2019 Posted 8 November 2019 An article on the BBBC sent me checking where we were 19 years ago. We were 3rd, with 22 ppints. I feel a bit sick. Need a good win tomorrow.
treer Posted 8 November 2019 Posted 8 November 2019 an easy way to see if their predictions are any good would be to compare their match odds with bookies odds. If their % are good and accurate, by betting matches when the site % is bigger than the bookie you will win money Southampton 2/1 Villa 7/2 Spurs 4/6 Newcastle 7/4 Man Utd 8/11 Man City 15/8 Liverpool 13/8 All these teams would be bets tomorrow, obviously seven bets would be not conclusive, but if you did the bets each week after 50 or 60 bets you would have an idea whether the site is all hype or the real deal
foxinsocks Posted 8 November 2019 Posted 8 November 2019 Man city and lpool are about evens.... we are only a few points off city with two thirds of the season to go... and we are getting better. I just put 25 quid on us to win the title at 60 to 2 with paddy power. Get on it.
HighPeakFox Posted 8 November 2019 Posted 8 November 2019 1 hour ago, foxinsocks said: I just put 25 quid on us to win the title at 60 to 2 with paddy power. Get on it. 60/2? Really?
Izzy Posted 8 November 2019 Posted 8 November 2019 1 hour ago, foxinsocks said: Man city and lpool are about evens.... we are only a few points off city with two thirds of the season to go... and we are getting better. I just put 25 quid on us to win the title at 60 to 2 with paddy power. Get on it. Good odds that. I only got 30/1
gurru991 Posted 8 November 2019 Posted 8 November 2019 4 minutes ago, HighPeakFox said: 60/2? Really? 40-1 on lots of sites
HighPeakFox Posted 8 November 2019 Posted 8 November 2019 13 minutes ago, gurru991 said: 40-1 on lots of sites My point was there's an easier way to write those odds, mathematically...
foxinsocks Posted 8 November 2019 Posted 8 November 2019 1 hour ago, HighPeakFox said: 60/2? Really? Whoops 60 to 1... but 20 back if I lose so my first bet of 25 will only cost 5... to win 1500 so that's effectively 300 to 1....
Bourbon Fox Posted 8 November 2019 Posted 8 November 2019 We're one horror tackle on Vardy away from an 11th place finish
foxinsocks Posted 8 November 2019 Posted 8 November 2019 4 minutes ago, Bourbon Fox said: We're one horror tackle on Vardy away from an 11th place finish Is your bourbon glass half full or half empty?
Bourbon Fox Posted 8 November 2019 Posted 8 November 2019 10 minutes ago, foxinsocks said: Is your bourbon glass half full or half empty? It's Scotch today, it's definitely half empty and I'm almost out of cheese
foxinsocks Posted 8 November 2019 Posted 8 November 2019 3 minutes ago, Bourbon Fox said: It's Scotch today, it's definitely half empty and I'm almost out of cheese I read a book that said to maximise a pleasure you should take a break and come back to it again and again... so you enjoy the anticipation and the initial reaction over and over.
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