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Guest MattP

FT General Election Poll 2019

FT General Election 2019  

501 members have voted

  1. 1. Which party will be getting your vote?

    • Conservative
      155
    • Labour
      188
    • Liberal Democrats
      93
    • Brexit Party
      17
    • Green Party
      26
    • Other
      22


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26 minutes ago, MattP said:


I think our country is going to seriously change from tomorrow and I can't tell you whether it will be for better or worse, how or why and those with the insistence that they are choosing the correct path today are surely completely blinded by loyalty, we have two massive gambles in front of us that could have far reaching consequences and we hae to go for one.

This must have been how 1979 felt.

 

 

Good post, particularly this bit. Whatever happens, there's no easy route forward from here - and there's likely to be a fair amount of public anger, either way.

 

Good point about 1979, too. I only have vague memories as I was only 16-17, but remember people being dissatisfied over the Winter of Discontent and all that, but also finding it unthinkable at the time that Thatcher might become PM.

Though some of that was good old fashioned sexism.

 

If all these queues in the cities & university towns are a high turnout by Lab/LD-voting Remainers, we could easily end up with big Lab/LD majorities in those places, a clear majority voting for parties supporting a referendum......and still get a significant Tory majority if the Tories win a lot of seats in the North/Midlands, possibly on a lower turnout. We could end up as an even more divided nation than we already are..... :S

 

Anyway, let's wait and see.

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34 minutes ago, Foxin_Mad said:

Could be worse.

 

If your good news is waking up to Corbyn in number 10. It will be bad news for the many millions who end up on the dole in the coming months.

 

Is the poverty of millions worth it just to see the Tories out?

 

Again if people think Brexit is bad we ain't seen nothing yet. 

 

If the British public return a Corbyn government they really have excelled themselves.

 

Still I'm looking forward to receiving my wealth redistribution package from Stormzy, Lilly Allen, Gary Neville and Redknapp. I shouldnt have to work again.

lol

 

Matter of opinion! 

 

Labour clearly won't be winning a majority, whatever happens, so even if Corbyn ended up as PM (still unlikely, I think) he'd have to do major compromises with the SNP, Lib Dems & whoever....

 

Second referendum leading to a Remain vote, plus a moderate expansion of economic investment & public services sounds good to me! :D

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Just now, Alf Bentley said:

lol

 

Matter of opinion! 

 

Labour clearly won't be winning a majority, whatever happens, so even if Corbyn ended up as PM (still unlikely, I think) he'd have to do major compromises with the SNP, Lib Dems & whoever....

 

Second referendum leading to a Remain vote, plus a moderate expansion of economic investment & public services sounds good to me! :D

Well I will be on welfare, with all the extra cash,.I will not only have time but have the surplus cash to buy you a beer and have change to get 2 dances at a titty bar

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1 minute ago, ealingfox said:

Johnson isn't losing his seat ffs lol

 

Would require literally everyone who voted Lib Dem or Green last time to vote Labour plus Johnson picking up no more votes than he got before, which is pretty unlikely given he is now the actual Prime Minister.

But you're not taking turnout into account at all.

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2 minutes ago, ealingfox said:

Johnson isn't losing his seat ffs lol

 

Would require literally everyone who voted Lib Dem or Green last time to vote Labour plus Johnson picking up no more votes than he got before, which is pretty unlikely given he is now the actual Prime Minister.

It makes it more likely now he’s prime minister. Being high profile makes him a target. Resources would have been poured into that seat like never before.

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Just now, Legend_in_blue said:

Leicestershire South.

Well nothing's changing significantly there surely. In fairness it looks like there's always pretty high turnout there, on top of the huge Tory majority.

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As I’ve already stated two of the main polling stations in central Leeds have been choka both times I’ve walked past today. Mine was quiet but I went late. I know a few of my mates who haven’t bothered in the past have been and done the deed today too. 
 

I think Leeds central will have a labour win margin of about 15k tomorrow. 

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1 hour ago, MattP said:

It's not just the betting markets, look at the pound - this will surely be the consequences of internal polling from the hedge fund companies etc

 

IMG_20191212_184850.jpg

Well if you're right to equate a dip in the value of the pound with a strong Labour performance, sounds like you're in for a good Exit Poll now? :(

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