Official Teams who cannot Mathematically catch us thread

[Aus Fox]

Time to start adding teams to the thread officially now:

1. Rotherham United 

2. Sheffield Wednesday 

[Itsthejoeker]

My favourite thread of the year, shame we missed it last year  

[Phube]

Just now, Itsthejoeker said:

My favourite thread of the year, shame we missed it last year  

Well we did have:

 

1) Southampton

2) Leeds (on the last day!)

[Jobyfox]

Yeah.

 

Another game and we could be mathematically safe from relegation 

[Aus Fox]

6 minutes ago, Jobyfox said:

Yeah.

 

Another game and we could be mathematically safe from relegation 

😂 We are staying up! Say we are staying up!

[Lillehamring]

2 hours ago, Jobyfox said:

Yeah.

 

Another game and we could be mathematically safe from relegation 

You joke, but there were a lot of people on here believing relegation was a distinct possibility.

 

You know who you are!

[The Doctor]

3 hours ago, Jobyfox said:

Yeah.

 

Another game and we could be mathematically safe from relegation 

We already are. There's a combination of results that allows QPR, Birmingham, Huddersfield and Stoke to all reach at least 73 points but requires Swansea to be unable to reach 72 and so can't catch us

[foxfanazer]

Crazy at the start of Feb

[Jobyfox]

20 minutes ago, The Doctor said:

We already are. There's a combination of results that allows QPR, Birmingham, Huddersfield and Stoke to all reach at least 73 points but requires Swansea to be unable to reach 72 and so can't catch us

Nerd! 

Edited 3 February by Jobyfox

[AKCJ]

 

Edited 3 February by AKCJ

[Robo61]

59 minutes ago, Jobyfox said:

Nerd! 

I'll beat that,. If all games had a result the average number of points across the division would be 69. So as soon as that figure is beat in a season when there were no draws there's no way you could be relegated. This season their have been 85 drawn games so far reducing the average number of points available to around 65.4, so the draw against Ipswich was the point at which we could not be relegated.

[Lillehamring]

On 03/02/2024 at 23:20, Robo61 said:

I'll beat that,. If all games had a result the average number of points across the division would be 69. So as soon as that figure is beat in a season when there were no draws there's no way you could be relegated. This season their have been 85 drawn games so far reducing the average number of points available to around 65.4, so the draw against Ipswich was the point at which we could not be relegated.

wow-

[HarryDee8]

On 03/02/2024 at 21:52, AKCJ said:

 

2 more wins and we can take QPR out of the equation aswell.

 

In 3 wins we can clear upto 16th place 😎😎😎

[davidhenson44]

15 minutes ago, HarryDee8 said:

2 more wins and we can take QPR out of the equation aswell.

 

In 3 wins we can clear upto 16th place 😎😎😎

I make it win the next game (vs Watford) and if QPR (vs Norwich) don’t, that’s them ticked off.

 

I like this thread. 

Edited 5 February by davidhenson44
Typo

[Pliskin]

Can’t see Coalville town catching us to be fair. 

[Foxmeister]

On 03/02/2024 at 22:20, Robo61 said:

I'll beat that,. If all games had a result the average number of points across the division would be 69. So as soon as that figure is beat in a season when there were no draws there's no way you could be relegated. This season their have been 85 drawn games so far reducing the average number of points available to around 65.4, so the draw against Ipswich was the point at which we could not be relegated.

Not correct I'm sorry, if the bottom 2 lost every game other than the ones against each other and all other games in the division were home wins then a team would go down with 75 points.

[whoareyaaa]

Derby

[Robo61]

43 minutes ago, Foxmeister said:

Not correct I'm sorry, if the bottom 2 lost every game other than the ones against each other and all other games in the division were home wins then a team would go down with 75 points.

You make a good point but we are now two thirds of the way through the season and the bottom two have not lost all their games so 75 points will clearly not send a team down.  Probably to much work to calculate the real figure for this season, but am confident that 70 points can not get you relegated.

[bmt]

On 03/02/2024 at 19:17, Lillehamring said:

You joke, but there were a lot of people on here believing relegation was a distinct possibility.

 

You know who you are!

I want a correlation chart with those who find us boring to watch

[Aus Fox]

Welcome to the list QPR

 

1. Rotherham United 

2. Sheffield Wednesday

3. Queens Park Rangers

[Aus Fox]

We are staying up, say we are staying up!

[skmanuk]

Perhaps more interesting than who mathematically can't catch us is who has a realistically chance.

 

If we maintain the current rate of 2.4 Points per game then nobody can.

 

If we drop to 2 points per game then only Leeds/Southampton/Ipswich mathematically can (assumes they win every game, very unlikely)

 

Even if we dropped to 1 point per game then it still is only the chasing 3 that have a realistic chance so effectively play-offs are guaranteed.

[Aus Fox]

7 minutes ago, skmanuk said:

Perhaps more interesting than who mathematically can't catch us is who has a realistically chance.

 

If we maintain the current rate of 2.4 Points per game then nobody can.

 

If we drop to 2 points per game then only Leeds/Southampton/Ipswich mathematically can (assumes they win every game, very unlikely)

 

Even if we dropped to 1 point per game then it still is only the chasing 3 that have a realistic chance so effectively play-offs are guaranteed.

There’s a million threads on here with speculation and what if we drop points…

 

This one is only for certainties! Even if you can get level on points with us and we have a 50 goal better GD, you don’t get in this thread. Mathematically certainty only.

[Pita]

What matters is when second and third place can’t catch us 

[jayfox26]

Could potentially add Millwall, Stoke, Birmingham and Huddersfield to the list after the midweek games. They'll come thick and fast now over the next few weeks.