Benguin Posted 3 April 2016 Author Posted 3 April 2016 Sunderland -w West ham - D Swansea - w Man United - l Everton - w Chelsea -l Assuming spurs win all games apart from 1 draw which is very likely (more likely that they lose or draw more) that wins the title!
Motty Posted 3 April 2016 Posted 3 April 2016 Sunderland -w West ham - D Swansea - w Man United - l Everton - w Chelsea -l Assuming spurs win all games apart from 1 draw which is very likely (more likely that they lose or draw more) that wins the title! Arsenal can also get 79 points with their 7 remaining fixtures
Benguin Posted 3 April 2016 Author Posted 3 April 2016 Arsenal can also get 79 points with their 7 remaining fixtures I was talking of real life though not Woolwich's wild fantasies
Motty Posted 3 April 2016 Posted 3 April 2016 I was talking of real life though not Woolwich's wild fantasies 9 points should be enough
foxes_rule1978 Posted 3 April 2016 Posted 3 April 2016 Arsenal can also get 79 points with their 7 remaining fixtures And we can and are more likely to get 87 point
Mark7 Posted 3 April 2016 Posted 3 April 2016 I've made this handy spreadsheet. It shows where each team currently is, how well they should do based on current average points per game and how well they could do if they took maximum points from all remaining games. As you can see, based on our current points total we can only be surpassed by Spuds, Arsenal, Man City, Man U, West Ham... and Liverpool; if they score a shed load (or we concede a shed load). This scenario is based on us losing our final six games. So a top 6 finish is mathematically guaranteed. Defensive collapses not withstanding. Of course, this doesn't take into account the physiological effects that extra games (in the League, Cup and Europe) will have on some of our title rivals.
SystonFox Posted 4 April 2016 Posted 4 April 2016 You can call it maximum if you like - Potential points total and maximum points total mean the same thing. Yep - 4 wins will guarantee the title, and we'll only need that if Spurs win all 6 of their remaining games. Looking good at the moment. i suppose
Captain... Posted 4 April 2016 Posted 4 April 2016 C'mon people lets do this properly, it is a list of teams that can't catch us: 1. Villa2. Newcastle3. Sunderland4. Norwich5. Swansea6. Palace7. Bournemouth8. West Brom9. Everton10. Chelsea11. Watford 12. Stoke 13. Southampton Guaranteed 7th, just 6 to tick off: Liverpool - should be next week, can only catch us on goal difference West Ham - Could be next week if we better their result Man United - Could be next week if we win and they lose(but we don't want that to happen) Man City - Earliest possible date 16th April Arsenal - Earliest possible date 17th April Spurs - Earliest possible date 18th April We could seal the title by winning our next 2 games and Spurs losing to Man United and Stoke, Arsenal losing to Palace and West Ham and Man City only getting 1 point from West Brom and Chelsea...
Guest kristianity77 Posted 4 April 2016 Posted 4 April 2016 I had a look through the rest of the fixtures for both Arsenal and Spurs and I think this is what they will both probably get: Spurs: Man United (H) - WIN Stoke (A) - DRAW West Brom (H) - WIN Chelsea (A) - LOSE Southampton (H) - WIN Newcastle (A) - WIN So I see them getting 13 points from their last 18 in all probability. Meaning 7 points for us should get us over the line. 2 wins , 1 draw. Arsenal: West Ham (A) - DRAW Palace (H) - WIN West Brom (H) - WIN Sunderland (A) - WIN Norwich (H) - WIN Man City (A) - LOSE Villa (H) - WIN See them getting 16 from their remaining 21. So for us, 6 points should see them off too.
Rushden fox Posted 4 April 2016 Posted 4 April 2016 I've made this handy spreadsheet. It shows where each team currently is, how well they should do based on current average points per game and how well they could do if they took maximum points from all remaining games. As you can see, based on our current points total we can only be surpassed by Spuds, Arsenal, Man City, Man U, West Ham... and Liverpool; if they score a shed load (or we concede a shed load). This scenario is based on us losing our final six games. So a top 6 finish is mathematically guaranteed. Defensive collapses not withstanding. Of course, this doesn't take into account the physiological effects that extra games (in the League, Cup and Europe) will have on some of our title rivals. You must be a teacher with all this time on your hand. Good way of spending your Easter break. 10 points clear of Spurs before we return to school
ajthefox Posted 4 April 2016 Posted 4 April 2016 If we win 3, draw 1 and lose 2, Spurs have to win all 6 of their remaining games to stop us.
Foxfan501 Posted 4 April 2016 Posted 4 April 2016 If we win 3, draw 1 and lose 2, Spurs have to win all 6 of their remaining games to stop us. Yeah, am thinking similar. Am thinking that's what we might need, but .... but..... I don't know. In the last 6 games, going on the reverse fixtures we won 5 and drew 1.... too early to call yet though, am still unsure and nervous.
nnfox Posted 5 April 2016 Posted 5 April 2016 Permutations permutations permutations. Lots of ifs and buts and I have done my best to stay grounded and not think ahead too much... BUT this could be wrapped up by full time against Swansea. We could go into the Swansea game knowing that a win would clinch the title IF we beat Sunderland and West Ham beforehand. Spurs play Man U at home and Stoke away - they would need at least a win and a draw to stay alive. Arsenal will have played 4 games by the time we take to the pitch against Swansea. They will be out of the reckoning if they haven't won all 4. Stranger things have happened. I hope it plays out a little longer as I'm not going to be at the Swansea game.
Weller in Tights Posted 5 April 2016 Posted 5 April 2016 Permutations permutations permutations........ I hope it plays out a little longer as I'm not going to be at the Swansea game. Selfish bugger!!!Yeah we can all sweat it out at the Swansea game because you can't make it!!!
Hollism Posted 5 April 2016 Posted 5 April 2016 C'mon people lets do this properly, it is a list of teams that can't catch us: 1. Villa 2. Newcastle 3. Sunderland 4. Norwich 5. Swansea 6. Palace 7. Bournemouth 8. West Brom 9. Everton 10. Chelsea 11. Watford 12. Stoke 13. Southampton Guaranteed 7th, just 6 to tick off: Liverpool - should be next week, can only catch us on goal difference West Ham - Could be next week if we better their result Man United - Could be next week if we win and they lose(but we don't want that to happen) Man City - Earliest possible date 16th April Arsenal - Earliest possible date 17th April Spurs - Earliest possible date 18th April We could seal the title by winning our next 2 games and Spurs losing to Man United and Stoke, Arsenal losing to Palace and West Ham and Man City only getting 1 point from West Brom and Chelsea... Yeah the earliest we could win would be a Monday night when we aren't playing. How shit would that be?
Captain... Posted 5 April 2016 Posted 5 April 2016 Yeah the earliest we could win would be a Monday night when we aren't playing. How shit would that be? I'd get over it... ...would you prefer to win it early on a day we weren't playing or go into the Chelsea game with it all to play for?
C-man Posted 5 April 2016 Posted 5 April 2016 I'd get over it... ...would you prefer to win it early on a day we weren't playing or go into the Chelsea game with it all to play for? Definitely the former. Ticker can't manage much more of this. Productivity at work certainly can't.
Aus Fox Posted 10 April 2016 Posted 10 April 2016 Add West Ham and Liverpool to the list... Certain of 5th now!!
Aus Fox Posted 10 April 2016 Posted 10 April 2016 We could win the league next weekend!!! Of we win, Arsenal and Spurs lose and Man City draw, we could be champions on Monday night!! And Spurs lose against United today
Captain... Posted 10 April 2016 Posted 10 April 2016 1. Villa 2. Newcastle 3. Sunderland 4. Norwich 5. Swansea 6. Palace 7. Bournemouth 8. West Brom 9. Everton 10. Chelsea 11. Watford 12. Stoke 13. Southampton 14. West Ham 15. Liverpool Guaranteed 5th, just 4 to tick off Man United - Could be added in a few hours, but we don't want that.
Bob Weasel Fox Posted 10 April 2016 Posted 10 April 2016 And guaranteed 4th now. Upside :-)IndeedUnbelievable season so far
Mark7 Posted 10 April 2016 Posted 10 April 2016 If we can beat West Ham, and Chelsea can get a draw or better against Man City, we'll be almost guaranteed to go straight into the group stage. Even if we slip up in the final four games and finish third. As long as City don't win this season's Champions' League and 'Pool don't win the Europa.
Corky Posted 10 April 2016 Posted 10 April 2016 We only need one win to guarantee automatic qualification as Arsenal play Man City so one or both of those is guaranteed to drop points.
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