Kilworthfox Posted 26 February 2013 Share Posted 26 February 2013 Simple maths! We need at least 80 points, probably even 84/85 to finish second. We have 14 games left to play. We can not afford to drop more than 11 -16 points from our next 14 games. We need a slight improvement over the next 14 games when comparing our results based over the last 32 games. Over the next 14 games we must win a minimum of 8 games preferably 9! 9 wins would see LCFC have at least 81 points. Where will we find 9/14? Fixtures remaining: Blackburn (H) Ipswich (A) Leeds (H) Sheff Wed (H) Cardiff (A) Derby (A) Millwall (H) Barnsley (A) Brighton (A) Birmingham (H) Bolton (H) Palace (A) Watford (H) Forest (A) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GingerrrFox Posted 26 February 2013 Share Posted 26 February 2013 Blackburn (H) - 1 Ipswich (A) - 2 Leeds (H) - 3 Sheff Wed (H) - 4 Cardiff (A) Derby (A) - 5 Millwall (H) - 6 Barnsley (A) - 7 Brighton (A) Birmingham (H) - 8 Bolton (H) Palace (A) Watford (H) Forest (A) - 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ealingfox Posted 26 February 2013 Share Posted 26 February 2013 Where will we find 9/14? Fixtures remaining: Blackburn (H) Ipswich (A) Leeds (H) Sheff Wed (H) Cardiff (A) Derby (A) Millwall (H) Barnsley (A) Brighton (A) Birmingham (H) Bolton (H) Palace (A) Watford (H) Forest (A) Pointless doing this because we know we are capable of beating any and all of them. We just have to take it week by week and put everything into each match individually. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ealingfox Posted 26 February 2013 Share Posted 26 February 2013 Having said that, if we go up in the top two from our current position I will be calling my first-born daughter Nigel F. Pearson. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KFS Posted 26 February 2013 Share Posted 26 February 2013 Having said that, if we go up in the top two from our current position I will be calling my first-born daughter Nigel F. Pearson. Oh my god hahahaha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fox92 Posted 26 February 2013 Share Posted 26 February 2013 Sheffield Wednesday, Derby, Millwall, Barnsley, Birmingham and maybe Bolton (as well as Blackburn) are games I'm looking at, but our fixtures are tough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kilworthfox Posted 26 February 2013 Author Share Posted 26 February 2013 Pointless doing this because we know we are capable of beating any and all of them. We just have to take it week by week and put everything into each match individually. Is it? History shows that you need to get over 80 points! From where we are we need at least 8 wins & 2 draws, so 9 wins is far more solid & chuck in the odd draw & we would, by the way the numbers this season & in history show be a very good bet for 2nd. I do not have a De Lorean either, & will have to take each game as it comes, but the numbers do indicate that this is the form that is required, I am sure the management team & players will be aware of this, Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dan LCFC Posted 26 February 2013 Share Posted 26 February 2013 It's not that simple though. Who's to say Watford, Hull, Cardiff & Palace won't all win 10 each? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dan LCFC Posted 26 February 2013 Share Posted 26 February 2013 Sheffield Wednesday, Derby, Millwall, Barnsley, Birmingham and maybe Bolton (as well as Blackburn) are games I'm looking at, but our fixtures are tough. I'm looking at all 14. Top two sides simply have to win win win win win and we're not doing it as much as the sides above us at the minute. I'm amazed how much we've dropped since January, what the hell happened? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Happy Fox Posted 26 February 2013 Share Posted 26 February 2013 I'm looking at all 14. Top two sides simply have to win win win win win and we're not doing it as much as the sides above us at the minute. I'm amazed how much we've dropped since January, what the hell happened? Wood got injured, some players dipped in form, the FA Cup wasn't treated respectfully, NP won the January manager of the month aka curse Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kingfox Posted 26 February 2013 Share Posted 26 February 2013 Didn't we have a thread like this last month, and we all jinxed ourselves. If we keep on losing games, at least we have someone to blame Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ealingfox Posted 26 February 2013 Share Posted 26 February 2013 Is it? History shows that you need to get over 80 points! From where we are we need at least 8 wins & 2 draws, so 9 wins is far more solid & chuck in the odd draw & we would, by the way the numbers this season & in history show be a very good bet for 2nd. I do not have a De Lorean either, & will have to take each game as it comes, but the numbers do indicate that this is the form that is required, I am sure the management team & players will be aware of this, No I meant it's pointless trying to pick out which of the remaining games we could win, you were quite right to point out the numbers and the kind of form we will need. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dan LCFC Posted 26 February 2013 Share Posted 26 February 2013 Wood got injured, some players dipped in form, the FA Cup wasn't treated respectfully, NP won the January manager of the month aka curse Very un-top 2 attitude, sadly. At the end of the day if we don't make the top 2, it really isn't a disaster like some think, play-offs is still a very solid effort and we've still come a long way in a year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kilworthfox Posted 26 February 2013 Author Share Posted 26 February 2013 Very un-top 2 attitude, sadly. At the end of the day if we don't make the top 2, it really isn't a disaster like some think, play-offs is still a very solid effort and we've still come a long way in a year. I agree, but I would be concerned if we made playoffs & did not win at Wembley, with NP's job security. I'd be very, very disapointed in the owners if we did not stick with a man who has done very well for this club. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harpendenfox Posted 26 February 2013 Share Posted 26 February 2013 I agree, but I would be concerned if we made playoffs & did not win at Wembley, with NP's job security. I'd be very, very disapointed in the owners if we did not stick with a man who has done very well for this club. You are probably right, I agree with stability, but an interesting counter argument in the Times today which points to the success of Swansea and West Brom, and the fact that they have changed manager regularly. Perhaps that's what we have to do with Nige, even though he has been more successful than not during his two spells. So wherever we finish this season, the questions the owners need to ask are: 1. Have we strengthened the squad successfully? 2 Have we met or exceeded expectations for the season? 3. Does he have the ability to improve us again during the following season? 4. Is there anyone who we feel has a 75% chance of performing significantly better than the incumbent? A rationale decision can then be made Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AKCJ Posted 26 February 2013 Share Posted 26 February 2013 Blackburn (H) - Win Ipswich (A) - Win Leeds (H) - Win Sheff Wed (H) - Win Cardiff (A) - Lose Derby (A) - Draw Millwall (H) - Win Barnsley (A) - Draw Brighton (A) - Draw Birmingham (H) - Win Bolton (H) - Win Palace (A) - Lose Watford (H) - Draw Forest (A) - Win 31 points for me. That puts us on 85. But that seems unlikely! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lakes fox Posted 26 February 2013 Share Posted 26 February 2013 I'm new on here an wondered how to add a quote under someone else's comments Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kilworthfox Posted 26 February 2013 Author Share Posted 26 February 2013 I'm new on here an wondered how to add a quote under someone else's comments the "quote" button in the post you wish to quote from Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lakes fox Posted 26 February 2013 Share Posted 26 February 2013 the "quote" button in the post you wish to quote from Thanks for that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dan LCFC Posted 26 February 2013 Share Posted 26 February 2013 I agree, but I would be concerned if we made playoffs & did not win at Wembley, with NP's job security. I'd be very, very disapointed in the owners if we did not stick with a man who has done very well for this club. As would I. Anyone who thinks we should sack him on principle is a nobhead. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kilworthfox Posted 26 February 2013 Author Share Posted 26 February 2013 As would I. Anyone who thinks we should sack him on principle is a nobhead. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Year Of The Fox Posted 26 February 2013 Share Posted 26 February 2013 I'm looking at all 14. Top two sides simply have to win win win win win and we're not doing it as much as the sides above us at the minute. I'm amazed how much we've dropped since January, what the hell happened? It came as no suprise surely? I'm not saying 'I told you so' but I got slated by Kitchandro amongst others for saying that the more games you keep on winning the higher the probability we'd lose the next. In other words a blip was bound to happen. Maybe some didn't expect it against Posh and Charlton but there you go. Most knew it was always going to be tight and that football and Leicester City in particular are never predictable. I've resigned myself for us to be in the playoffs come May- at best. Nothing to do with Pearson or tactics or anything like that. We (and me) spent so long saying Cardiff were going to bottle it, that we only needed to keep winning games to finish 2nd that something bad was bound to happen to us. As well as usually there's one team who drops off and another who appears from nowhere. Hopefully my mindset will alter following a win later. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
5waller5 Posted 26 February 2013 Share Posted 26 February 2013 9 from 14 is just about do-able ..... 9 from 13 isn't ..... hence the must-win? argument all over again!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Col city fan Posted 26 February 2013 Share Posted 26 February 2013 Simple maths! We need at least 80 points, probably even 84/85 to finish second. We have 14 games left to play. We can not afford to drop more than 11 -16 points from our next 14 games. We need a slight improvement over the next 14 games when comparing our results based over the last 32 games. Over the next 14 games we must win a minimum of 8 games preferably 9! 9 wins would see LCFC have at least 81 points. Where will we find 9/14? Fixtures remaining: Blackburn (H) Ipswich (A) Leeds (H) Sheff Wed (H) Cardiff (A) Derby (A) Millwall (H) Barnsley (A) Brighton (A) Birmingham (H) Bolton (H) Palace (A) Watford (H) Forest (A) Right.. Ta.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kristianity77 Posted 26 February 2013 Share Posted 26 February 2013 Im not even looking at 2nd anymore. I just want to get enough wins under the belt to get in the playoffs. Then look at whats left! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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