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Renart

With TWO games remaining..

  

316 members have voted

  1. 1. I rate our chances of survival now at...

    • 0%
      3
    • pretty slim
      1
    • 50/50
      31
    • quite good
      177
    • near to 100%
      104


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Posted

Though I have studied the table and remaining fixtures every 5 minutes and I'm quietly confident, I have to say 50/50. You just never know. 

 

I think Hull will get a result at Spurs, as Spurs are really bad. 

Posted

50:50. Lose both games and I fear we will go down. It could easily happen. Head says it won't. Heart says it will. You don't have to have supported LCFC for very long to understand why I wrote that in that order !!

Posted

Voted 50/50 every time so far...this time I treated myself to a 'quite good'.

I'm with Gerry Taggart today.

We keep winning games but with only 2 left there is less margin for error. Losing the Sunderland game is not out of the question and Hull could get a result at Spurs

Posted

It can change in a week, Hull have shown themselves, like us, to be stronger against the better teams.

 

We lose at Sunderland, Hull win, and we are likely needing to beat QPR final day. A QPR with no pressure who would love to screw us over, at a nervy KP.

 

It's not over until we are safe.

Posted

I've gone for near to 100%.

 

I think if you were to play the scenario out from this point we'd stay up 9 times out of 10.

Posted

Nearly 100%, hull lose Saturday, we can get something, I think we are there, unless Man U roll over for hull last game of the season, but I think we will beat qpr

Posted

I've jumped from being 50/50 since when this started to near 100% this week

That burnley win was huge

Posted

I've always voted quite good, but now feel we are now near 100% - i think a draw next weekend and we will all but be safe - Hull have a really difficult run-in, and Sunderland wont get much from Arsenal or Chelsea (the latter being a better prospect than the gunners of getting points) i think next 2 games we will get 4 points, which should hopefully see us safe. However saying that, there could well be more surprises along the way - Think Hull will take the last relegation spot though.

  

Pretty much my view, though I've gone for near 100%, though I'd prefer something like "very good. Previously I've gone from 50/50 to quite good, to this.

I've gone quite good because I expect us to slaughter Sunderland.

Surely if we slaughter Sunderland then we will certainly stay up and therefore you actually rate our chances as near 100%?

Posted

I'm usually a bit more reserved, fearing the worst in case of jinxing it. But with the run we're currently on, it'd take a major catastrophe for us to manage 0 (yes, zero) points in the last two remaining games and Hull somehow gaining three.

 

Still, I'm a wee bit cautious.

 

Sunderland away will be a test of who dares more and my realistic scenario has us down with reaching a draw - QPR on the other hand, are already relegated and have nothing to play for. It'd also be a great opportunity for us to finish the season in style with one last and emphatic home win this season.

 

In my ideal world, we'll get four points. Job done. Thanks again. Here comes the summer.

Posted

50/50 lol 

 

You lot are ridiculous. More like 50/1 according to the bookies. 

 

Yes this is true but that involves:

 

Hull beating Spurs

Leicester losing to Sunderland,

A 4 goal swing in GD between these 2 games,

Newcastle winning an away game.

 

If you think all of that is a 50% chance then I'd urge you to hit the bookies because they are offering you some mad odds.

I take it maths is/was not your strong point at school/ college?

Hull could easily beat Spurs 2 0 this weekend. We could quite easily lose 2 0 at Sunderland. Therefore this weekend Hull would go above us on goal difference.

Newcastle I agree are poor but they will win this weekend at a very poor Qpr who are in turmoil. Therefore, we would be in the bottom three going into the last game of the season.

Thanks for the advice I have already put £20 on us at like you say silly odds so if the worse does happen I would be quids in.

Note. I don't want the bet to come in but bookies are stupid at times.

Posted

It's understandable but those voting 50/50 are just suffering from nerves.

When you work through the possibilities logically you realise our chances are definitely greater than 50%.

Posted

It's a tough call for me. We could find ourselves safe by 5.00pm on Saturday depending on the results of our game and the games involving Hull and Newcastle.

 

However, there are are 27 permutations of results from those 3 games and only 4 permutations would guarantee safety so I would certainly not bet on us achieving safety this weekend.

 

Beyond that the permutations multiply too far for me to quantify, as they involve 5 teams all of whom have 2 games left apart from Sunderland who have 3.

 

I would guess though that it stand like this.

 

Villa have the least chance of going down.

Sunderland have the next least chance after.

Leicester have the next least chance after.

Newcastle have the next least chance after.

Hull have the most chance of going down.

 

However I think we would all have settled for that scenario on April 3rd.

Posted

Still 50/50 as it's so close to call between 5 teams.......with the streak we're on and going back 6 games, one would have thought taking 5 of the those 6 games, we'd be safe with 2 games left. Not the case. The last few matches, there has so much fight in all relegation teams still alive save Newcastle but even they at this point will likely do anything to win.

Posted

I take it maths is/was not your strong point at school/ college?

Hull could easily beat Spurs 2 0 this weekend. We could quite easily lose 2 0 at Sunderland. Therefore this weekend Hull would go above us on goal difference.

Newcastle I agree are poor but they will win this weekend at a very poor Qpr who are in turmoil. Therefore, we would be in the bottom three going into the last game of the season.

Thanks for the advice I have already put £20 on us at like you say silly odds so if the worse does happen I would be quids in.

Note. I don't want the bet to come in but bookies are stupid at times.

 

And we somehow won't, at home?  I take it logic was not your strong suit in college.

Posted

Obviously it's better than 50% chance. Otherwise you just don't understand probability. We could still get relegated, but it's unlikely.

If I were a neutral I'd probably say it's about 95% safe. The worry is with my Leicester head on saying Hull will all of a sudden become awesome and not lose to either Spurs or Utd.

Let's just win this weekend and put it to bed. A win almost certainly keeps us up, whatever happens elsewhere.

Posted

And we somehow won't, at home?  I take it logic was not your strong suit in college.

Blimey? I am getting attacked from somebody across the pond? Two things come out of Arizona queers and steers? Which one are you boy!

Yes, your right we also have to play Qpr at home who are in turmoil and playing for pride so anything can happen. Add to that Newcastle are at home last game of the season to an even poorer West Ham who are also shocking and on the beach ala Spurs.

It will go to the wire but believe me we certainly are nowhere near safe as everyone seems to think we are?

Posted

Blimey? I am getting attacked from somebody across the pond? Two things come out of Arizona queers and steers? Which one are you boy!

Yes, your right we also have to play Qpr at home who are in turmoil and playing for pride so anything can happen. Add to that Newcastle are at home last game of the season to an even poorer West Ham who are also shocking and on the beach ala Spurs.

It will go to the wire but believe me we certainly are nowhere near safe as everyone seems to think we are?

 

Why do you pepper your writing with question marks, when you aren't asking questions, apart from the one instance where you DID ask a question?

Posted

Why do you pepper your writing with question marks, when you aren't asking questions, apart from the one instance where you DID ask a question?

It's annoying enough when people talk with a rising inflection,God help us when people start typing that way.

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