Election prediction time

[StriderHiryu]

Just now, Tommy Fresh said:

Channel 4 is superb

No ad-breaks, all star cast...

 

But they also have Nadine ****ing Dories and Kwasi Kwarteng

[Izzy]

2 minutes ago, Izzy said:

Blyth and Sunderland running around like nutters 

Newcastle looking fit too, clearly been in training.

[Daggers]

1 minute ago, Tommy Fresh said:

Channel 4 is superb

Needs privatising to save the public’s money 

[Sol thewall Bamba]

1 hour ago, goose2010 said:

To be fair when I've just been to vote they were shocked I hadn't brought my own.... 

But isn't the suggestion that "they" rub out your pencil vote if "they" don't like who you've voted for? 

[bovril]

Mordaunt only 25% chance of winning. Middle aged foxestalkers on suicide watch

[LCFCCHRIS]

1 minute ago, Col city fan said:

Discussion around whether people have really voted for Labour or voted against the Tories.

That’ll come out more as we go along 

I’d say mostly against tories. 

[Corky]

Just now, Izzy said:

Newcastle looking fit too, clearly been in training.

Politics is a religion up there.

[leicsmac]

5 minutes ago, kingkisnorbo said:

I think Sunak gets the boot and the party move further to right to hoover back up the voters/members that have moved over to Reform. Shadow cabinet made up of the far right leaners like Braverman. 

Yeah, quite possibly.

 

It remains to be seen whether or not that (or a reiteration of Reform, whichever) will perform better at the next election, depending on events.

[Daggers]

[Tommy Fresh]

2 minutes ago, StriderHiryu said:

No ad-breaks, all star cast...

 

But they also have Nadine ****ing Dories and Kwasi Kwarteng

That's what makes it superb, she definitely said Cameron kept Farage at bay, sure thing 

[MattFox]

Labour wining 410 seats with under 40% of the vote

 

Shows how effective Starmer has been in the marginals and wining the voters that matter compared to magic grandpa

[Daggers]

[Daggers]

4 minutes ago, StriderHiryu said:

No ad-breaks, all star cast...

 

But they also have Nadine ****ing Dories and Kwasi Kwarteng

But Anne Widdecombe looks like being the first politician to die live on air, that’s worth something

[st albans fox]

I wonder if labour’s vote share will top 40%? 
 

if it doesn’t then that’s going to be a stick that the opposition use for the next few years -  not that it matters under the system we have 

[Mark_w]

1 minute ago, Col city fan said:

Reform look like getting 13 seats which is a bigger share of the vote (not sure how that works?) than the Lib Dems

You're not sure how that works? Did you not question the SNP having more seats than the Lib Dems for the last 10 years?

The percentage of the vote you get nationally, and the number of constituencies you win aren't the same thing Col, what is playing dumb on here gaining you?

[Guest Col city fan]

2 minutes ago, LCFCCHRIS said:

I’d say mostly against tories. 

I’d agree, but it’ll become more clear as the night unfolds I guess.

People very very angry with the Tories.

[The Doctor]

5 minutes ago, Col city fan said:

Reform look like getting 13 seats which is a bigger share of the vote (not sure how that works?) than the Lib Dems

it's about national swing basically. if we had a functional democratic system which apportioned power in relation to support rather than First Past the Post which is a shit or bust system, then reform would get more seats than the lib Dems on the vote share, but under FPTP they'll probably get a decent amount of votes nationwide but not enough to concentrate into a large number of seats, where as the lib dems support is concentrated into a few constituencies so they'll keep the seats they were in/gain a few where they were in second 

[Guest Col city fan]

2 minutes ago, Mark_w said:

You're not sure how that works? Did you not question the SNP having more seats than the Lib Dems for the last 10 years?

The percentage of the vote you get nationally, and the number of constituencies you win aren't the same thing Col, what is playing dumb on here gaining you?

Eh? I’ve never mentioned the SNP or the Lib Dems that I can recollect?

Genuinely don’t know how ‘ the share’ thing works

Edited 4 July 2024 by Col city fan

[David Hankey]

No surprise in what the exit polls are telling us. In fact it would be a complete surprise if Labour didn't win by a landslide.

[bovril]

Anywhere you can see the predictions by constituency? 

[Guest Col city fan]

1 minute ago, The Doctor said:

it's about national swing basically. if we had a functional democratic system which apportioned power in relation to support rather than First Past the Post which is a shit or bust system, then reform would get more seats than the lib Dems on the vote share, but under FPTP they'll probably get a decent amount of votes nationwide but not enough to concentrate into a large number of seats, where as the lib dems support is concentrated into a few constituencies so they'll keep the seats they were in/gain a few where they were in second 

👍

[fox_favourite]

4 minutes ago, Daggers said:

Listen to me very carefully, I shall say this only once...

[StriderHiryu]

Just now, David Hankey said:

No surprise in what the exit polls are telling us. In fact it would be a complete surprise if Labour didn't win by a landslide.

But some of us wanted to see them totally wiped out! Still take the result any day though. 

[Tommy Fresh]

Kwasi looks soggy

[StanSP]

Kwasi and Nadine are absolutely fuming on Channel 4.

 

And I'm here for it