Storm Eunice

[SpacedX]

18 minutes ago, fox_favourite said:

Wife and kids and trampoline secured ready for the storm! 

Why on earth are you and your family planning on bouncing around during hurricane force winds? 

[Samilktray]

Don’t think I’ve ever heard so many people sound genuinely worried about a storm over here 

[String fellow]

Putting some detail on the storm in our area, apparently the wind will gradually increase from 50mph during the morning, coming from the south west, then increase to a maximum of 77mph after 2.00pm, coming from the west. So cycling from Leicester to Uppingham in the afternoon will be a breeze!  

[Parafox]

4 hours ago, Line-X said:

This is a very dangerous intensifying extratropical cyclone packing a sting jet which looks to be funnelling directly over the South West. Picture a low level jet stream, enhanced and channeled by an explosively deepening depression, and then think October 1987. This is not going to be pretty. If you can stay at home tomorrow absolutely do. Stay off the road unless absolutely necessary - and if you get away with nothing more than a missing fence panel, be grateful. Storm Dudley ripped out several branches of my Elder last night - but there is also a 65 ft willow next door which is similarly brittle and most of the boughs overhang my garden. The sting jet itself at the end of the cold conveyor is very narrow, and so very hard to forecast, but it looks as though the strongest winds will be felt across Cornwall, Devon, the Bristol Channel and into South Wales. 

How come you know so much stuff about things?

Not criticising. Just asking.

[stripeyfox]

These are predicted max gusts for 1500 tomorrow. If this comes off it is going to cause massive disruption and damage. Sustained winds of this speed are unheard off inland.

 

Edited 17 February 2022 by stripeyfox

[Carl the Llama]

3 minutes ago, stripeyfox said:

These are predicted max gusts for 1500 tomorrow. If this comes off it is going to cause massive disruption and damage. Sustained winds of this speed are unheard off inland.

 

Oh wow, people were saying Cornwall would see the worst of it but looking at that it looks more like the Midlands/East Anglia bearing the brunt.

[Lionator]

2 minutes ago, Carl the Llama said:

Oh wow, people were saying Cornwall would see the worst of it but looking at that it looks more like the Midlands/East Anglia bearing the brunt.

That’s later in the day, the worst will hit the first places of land it hits hence why there’s a red warning for Cornwall and South Wales. 

[stripeyfox]

2 minutes ago, Carl the Llama said:

Oh wow, people were saying Cornwall would see the worst of it but looking at that it looks more like the Midlands/East Anglia bearing the brunt.

This is just one snapshot in the afternoon from one of the models. I think Cornwall and the SE will get "the worst" early tomorrow morning. The winds on the southern edge of the storm will track NE across England during the day.

 

 

[stripeyfox]

I'm suprised there isn't more "Red" warning given the predicted wind and the fact that the affected areas don't usually see these kind of winds. I mean, up in the Highlands this would be a "might bring the washing in" kind of day, but down here it has the potential to be a very bad day.

 

Let's hope things ease off a little...

 

[stripeyfox]

Big risk of coastal flooding too (and the Severn Estuary)

 

[stripeyfox]

good discussion on the storm on this forum if anyone is interested in some weather nerds talking about Eunice

 

https://www.netweather.tv/forum/topic/96767-storm-eunice-18th-february/page/75/

 

 

[Wymsey]

A very good example of climate change?

[stripeyfox]

3 minutes ago, Wymsey said:

A very good example of climate change?

Maybe. But these storms (usually referred to these days as "European windstorms" have occoured over the centuries. Occaisionally we get a big one (like the Great Storm of 1987 or the Burns Day Storm). 

 

This one is concerning because it is hitting large population centres during the day.

 

Stay safe people

 

[SpacedX]

42 minutes ago, Parafox said:

How come you know so much stuff about things?

Not criticising. Just asking.

Studied Applied Meteorology and Climatology. This phenomena is incredibly complex and far from understood though - and I really don't claim to myself. 

[String fellow]

55 minutes ago, stripeyfox said:

Maybe. But these storms (usually referred to these days as "European windstorms" have occoured over the centuries. Occaisionally we get a big one (like the Great Storm of 1987 or the Burns Day Storm). 

 

This one is concerning because it is hitting large population centres during the day.

 

Stay safe people

 

In that 1987 storm (in the days before storms were given silly names), a roof tile fell off the house and damaged the car. House insurance or car insurance jobby? The house insurance paid.

[st albans fox]

1 hour ago, stripeyfox said:

These are predicted max gusts for 1500 tomorrow. If this comes off it is going to cause massive disruption and damage. Sustained winds of this speed are unheard off inland.

 

These aren’t sustained - they’re gusts. Sustained winds are maxing about 40 mph. there will be a some damage tomorrow but it’s not looking like it will be burns day storm levels. @Line-X has already mentioned about the possible sting jet and that’s what’s likely to raise those numbers but it will be a localised track across the country and unpredictable 

 

1 hour ago, stripeyfox said:

good discussion on the storm on this forum if anyone is interested in some weather nerds talking about Eunice

 

https://www.netweather.tv/forum/topic/96767-storm-eunice-18th-february/page/75/

 

Nerds!  I’ll have you know I’m a well respected contributor on there …….(unlike here !) 
 

1 hour ago, Wymsey said:

A very good example of climate change?

it’s not 
 

1 hour ago, Line-X said:

Studied Applied Meteorology and Climatology. This phenomena is incredibly complex and far from understood though - and I really don't claim to myself. 

Jealous - if only I could have passed my physics a level ………

[stripeyfox]

2 minutes ago, st albans fox said:

 

 

Nerds!  I’ll have you know I’m a well respected contributor on there …….(unlike here !) 
 

 

It's actually a really good site isn't it? I like how they have their own FoxesTalk style meltdown when a predicted snowfall event turns out to be shit! 

 

[stripeyfox]

what do you make of this @Line-X and @st albans fox. This has been posted in isolation on the netweather forum and looks like the max gusts are even a bit higher?

 

[st albans fox]

4 minutes ago, stripeyfox said:

what do you make of this @Line-X and @st albans fox. This has been posted in isolation on the netweather forum and looks like the max gusts are even a bit higher?

 

Different weather models will give different predictions…….at short range as we are now at, I would be looking at the met office website for the most accurate prediction of conditions likely in your area ..

 

and the previous forecast wind speed chart posted earlier was for 3pm whereas this one is midday when winds are likely to be closer to their peak 

Edited 17 February 2022 by st albans fox

[ealingfox]

These things are always overblown 

[weller54]

5 hours ago, LVocey said:

Worse storm to hit Leicestershire in years + heavily pregnant wife.

 

We know where this is going don't we....

 

And no, I won't call the child Eunice if it does.

How about Stormzy?

[Vestan Pance]

3 hours ago, String fellow said:

Putting some detail on the storm in our area, apparently the wind will gradually increase from 50mph during the morning, coming from the south west, then increase to a maximum of 77mph after 2.00pm, coming from the west. So cycling from Leicester to Uppingham in the afternoon will be a breeze!  

Strava KOMs incoming 🤞😂

[dsr-burnley]

5 hours ago, LVocey said:

Worse storm to hit Leicestershire in years + heavily pregnant wife.

 

We know where this is going don't we....

 

And no, I won't call the child Eunice if it does.

It might not be a boy anyway.  

[Strokes]

I’m putting my bins out in anticipation.

[StanSP]

7 hours ago, Zear0 said:

How calm were those lot?  I'd be out like s*** off a shovel.

I don't get how they're all just casually sitting there as well watching it smash the windows anyway.